tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5872697144418699382024-03-01T03:55:48.550-08:00Cascadia Planet From Cascadia. For the Planet.Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.comBlogger53125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-80368164578390427502016-10-09T09:48:00.000-07:002016-10-11T10:34:06.724-07:00Community Solutions – Lifting people up while bringing fossil fuels down<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZWYT0YPtE4_G6Y9ePouQz9wbjJjAA5EDOaw7ZqTQgOHi24LSW74dvvyPVU1VMwH5WI_bMrj6ZOP3pMzGMcuSmJdWV7hzS4SzrwQnYW1B8qp_YZE5-NkRrI9vC5C7-o2aqEzOkRXhgk6Q/s1600/Shiloh+temple+solar+being+built.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="480" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZWYT0YPtE4_G6Y9ePouQz9wbjJjAA5EDOaw7ZqTQgOHi24LSW74dvvyPVU1VMwH5WI_bMrj6ZOP3pMzGMcuSmJdWV7hzS4SzrwQnYW1B8qp_YZE5-NkRrI9vC5C7-o2aqEzOkRXhgk6Q/s640/Shiloh+temple+solar+being+built.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b>A community solar array being installed on the roof of Shiloh Temple at the center of the African-American community in Minneapolis. This will supply power to 40 families, helping them control their power bills. This is an example of community climate solutions which rebuild the commons and empower communities while reducing fossil fuel use. </b></td></tr>
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<i><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Following is my talk given at the
Faith and Climate Action Conference in Seattle Saturday, Oct. 8.</span></i></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Your coming
to this conference is an act of faith, hope and love, and this is exactly what
we need facing climate disruption that has spiked to a new level.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>As we gather, Hurricane Matthew has been
ravaging the Caribbean and Southeast Coast.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>The hotter seas and wetter atmosphere of global warming pumped Matthew
up to be the longest running category 4 or 5 on record in the Caribbean, and
the longest for October in the entire Atlantic basin.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Haiti is devastated, and hundreds or maybe
more are dead, driving home the reality of climate injustice.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The people who have done the least to cause
the problem are hit the hardest.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The climate crisis is careening forward as never
before.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This year has seen global
temperature spiking one-third over the previous record, the second lowest
Arctic sea ice ever observed, and extreme weather events around the world
including<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>a plethora of 500- and
1,000-year floods, as well as killer heat waves and droughts affecting an
estimated half-billion people. Most of those were in India, again, underscoring
the reality of climate injustice.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Never has it been more imperative to keep hope alive,
especially in the face of a political environment that manifests two forms of
denial.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>One, the hard denial that there
is a problem at all.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The other, a soft
denial that acknowledges climate change but pushes it into the background,
barely mentioning it at all.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It is clear
that only an uprising of concerned and committed people will make a
difference.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
challenge for the climate movement over coming years is to present solutions
that scale to this monumental crisis.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It
will not be enough to be taking “steps in the right direction,” as climate
solutions are often portrayed.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It will
be imperative to draw a connection between those steps and outcomes that can
credibly recover climate stability.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The
crux of the issue, and this can hardly be emphasized enough, is that unless
this pathway is clearly drawn and understood, people will turn their attentions
away from climate to matters they believe lend themselves to solutions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In short,
the greatest enemy the climate movement has to face is not the fossil fuel
industry, but despair.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The movement
needs to keep hope alive by developing a solutions path that illustrates the
course from what can be practically achieved in the moment to what must be
ultimately accomplished.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In making those
connections, success in immediate steps should be a springboard to the larger
accomplishments.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Immediate successes should
be designed to change the story in people’s minds, which is the foundation of
all real change. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p><br /></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p><b>COMMUNITY SOLUTIONS FOR CLIMATE JUSTICE</b></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">This is the
goal of the 350 Seattle’s Community Solutions Project. The
effort is to identify immediate climate change solutions around which people
can mobilize and build power, which at the same time also help create a hopeful
story about larger, achievable solutions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Community solutions are about fundamentally transforming how we generate
and use energy, how we transport people and goods.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The effort is also about how we shape our
communities in ways that promote social justice and climate recovery at the
same time.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>For example, one of the
absolutely most crucial community climate solutions is affordable housing in
areas well served by transit, and close to destinations such as work and
schools.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In the spirit of climate
justice, this is about more than technology change, though that is a vital
element – This is about structural changes that deepen democracy and recover
the commons, without which real climate recovery is unlikely.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Community
solutions for climate justice aim to build community power and resilience while
reducing carbon pollution.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>To lift
people up while bringing fossil fuels down.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>In doing so, community solutions address two of the greatest challenges
confronting us today, climate disruption and the increasing wealth-and-power
divide in society.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The two are
related.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The world has arrived in this
place of climate turbulence, after decades of warnings and solid scientific
research, because the political system has not responded in any way remotely
proportional to the crisis.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This is
because power in society is increasingly tipped toward concentrated corporate
control and the interests of large shareholders.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/business-35339475">Oxfam calculates</a> that as
of 2015 the world’s richest 1% own more than the other 99%, and the 62 richest
people are worth more than the bottom 50%.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>The share held by the top 1% has increased each year since 2010, after
declining from 2001-2009, indicating that the response to the global financial
crisis that began in 2008 has benefitted the wealthy at the expense of everyone
else. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">A political
system hobbled by the power of special interests, especially fossil fuel
companies, has not adequately responded to accelerating climate disruption.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>To address the climate crisis, we need to
build people power.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>And we can begin to
do that here where we live. <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><o:p></o:p></b></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">This gets
to what I call the climate action paradox. It is clear that the spike in
climate disruption impacts that a massive national and global response on a
World War II-scale is needed.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Groups
such as <a href="http://www.theclimatemobilization.org/">The Climate
Mobilization</a> are working for this.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>And
a call for such a mobilization made it into the Democratic Party platform. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Yet action at the federal level is stalemated.
The U.S. House of Representatives is expected to remain in Republican hands,
perhaps until major demographic shifts in the 2020s.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The U.S. Senate may tip to the Democrats in
2016, but they face a very tough 2018 election map and are expected to lose
seats.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A President Clinton will
presumably create opportunities for executive action, though not to the scale
required by the science and emerging impacts.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>The other option, well, let’s not go there for the moment.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Arguably, until there is a sharp tipping in
national politics, implementation of climate solutions at the federal level
will not go much further.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Meanwhile,
the levers of power available to people are more at the local and state
levels.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Even at the state level, a
combination of recalcitrant Republicans and climate squishy Democrats offers
only limited hopes.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The major
opportunities for mobilization around climate solutions that truly scale to the
crisis are, paradoxically, at the local level.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>For those of us who face the stark reality of accelerating climate
disruption, and understand the science calling for rapid carbon reductions, the
situation can easily stir despair, and at least requires some leaps of faith.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">We know
that purely local action cannot be sufficient to address the climate
crisis.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But we also know significant
carbon-reducing actions are possible at the local scale. From the standpoint of
creating and validating replicable models to reduce carbon pollution, local
action is hugely important.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In that
sense, local work connects to larger possibilities in crucial ways.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The changes we must make to address climate
require transformation of multiple systems and infrastructures – energy, transportation,
housing, food, water – to name some of the more prominent.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Each of those takes expression at a local
level.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This is where we as people connect
with them in a real way, where the bicycle rubber meets the road.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">When
envisioning transformatory changes in the way we live, it is easiest to do this
in terms of the places we live. In other words, when we try to wrap our heads
around what kind of changes we would make in a national and global
mobilization, we can start by imagining what it would look like here in our
home places.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We need to build a local
movement for transformatory change that works with similar movements across the
country. We can push the needed national tipping point from the ground up with
a local mobilization for community solutions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>This is where we can begin to create popular demand and political
will.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The need is to develop and
communicate a credible vision of transformation, beginning where we live.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Let’s get
down to some specifics. I am going to concentrate on two broad areas that mesh
technology change with systems change.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>The first is community energy resilience. The second is the transit-affordable
housing connection. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">COMMUNITY ENERGY RESILIENCE<o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">A world
run 100% on renewable energy is coming into sight.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Scenarios have been developed by a team led
by Mark Jacobsen of Stanford University that propel the world to <a href="http://thesolutionsproject.org/">100% renewables</a> in all sectors by
2050, with 80-85% of the task completed by 2030.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The accelerating pace of climate disruption
evidenced in the recent surge in temperatures and extreme weather events
indicate such a rapid transition is required. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The opens the way for a dual win. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Not only can the move to renewables recover
the climate – It can also lead to broad democratization of the energy system and
widespread sharing of benefits to lower-income and people of color
communities.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Wind and
sun are available everywhere, so renewable energy can be economically harnessed
at small scales across the country, state and community,” writes <a href="http://ilsr.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/democratizing-electricity-system.pdf">John
Farrell of Institute for Local Self Reliance</a>. “This nature of renewable
energy, coupled with an exponential increase of renewable energy generation
here and abroad promises to transform the structure and scale of the nation’s
grid system. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“But the
greater transformation is the democratization of the electric grid, abandoning
a 20th century grid dominated by large, centralized utilities for a 21st
century grid, a democratized network of independently-owned and widely
dispersed renewable energy generators, with the economic benefits of
electricity generation as widely dispersed as the ownership.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In Seattle
we won’t develop wind farms.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Solar is
our best option. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The form of solar that promises
greatest climate justice benefits is community solar.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The <a href="http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy12osti/54570.pdf">National Renewable Energy
Laboratory</a> (NREL) defines community solar “as a solar-electric system that
provides power and/or financial benefit to multiple community members.”
Community solar can be developed by utilities or private institutions, often in
a nonprofit model. Community solar installations are larger than typical
rooftop installations, and can range to megawatt scales capable of serving many
homes.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Rooftop
solar faces many limitations that count out low-income people and large
segments of people of color communities, as well as many others.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><a href="http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy15osti/63892.pdf">NREL estimates</a> that 49%
or residences and 48% of businesses do not lend themselves to solar
arrays.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Many buildings lack appropriate
roof space.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Renters facing a multi-year
payback period cannot invest in a system on a roof they do not own. Many
homeowners also do not have the financial capacity to afford a system.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In addition, the long-term sites needed to
justify solar installations may not be available in areas undergoing wholesale
redevelopment of the building stock.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Community
solar overcomes these challenges in several ways.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It provides a common and secure site for mass
solar installations.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It allows purchase
of modest shares, often in the $100-$150 range, allowing people with limited
financial wherewithal to own a piece, including renters.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Community solar owners typically receive
credits on their power bills for the portion they own, an arrangement known as
virtual net metering. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The first
community-owned solar energy coop in Washington, and one of the first in the
US, is the <a href="http://communitypowernetwork.com/node/222">Edmonds
Community Solar Cooperative</a>.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This
nonprofit model started in 2010 and in operation since 2011. The cooperative
has 90 members who supported installation of a 23-kilowatt (kW) of solar array
on the roof of the Frances Anderson Center in two phases in 2011 and 2012.
Members bought in with a $1,000 “SunSlice” purchase that provides ownership of
a 100-watt share of the array, and is expected to fully pay back fully by
2020.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The coop has built partnerships
with the City of Edmonds, Sustainable Edmonds and solar companies<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">A number
of models are emerging to create energy resilience for low-income people
through community solar.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The <a href="http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy11osti/51075.pdf">Northeast Denver (CO)
Housing Center</a> provides a model that reduces power bills for low-income
people while creating green jobs. The nonprofit housing provider has installed
48 kW of solar panels serving 30 affordable housing units in the Whittier
Affordable Housing Project<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“in order to
reduce the electric bills of Denver’s most economically distressed families and
provide electricity cost stability for 30 low-income residents,” NREL
reports.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The units are scaled to 85% of
average tenant annual electricity use, and in some cases cover 100%.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The effort included a solar installer
job-training program for 15 residents.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>The installing company was required to use five on the project.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Another
model that helps families control power costs is <a href="http://www.lowincomesolar.org/placeholder-1/">Shiloh Temple</a> in
Minneapolis.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This year a 202-kilowatt
community solar array was installed on this African-American community church.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Around 40 congregation families will earn
credits from solar production that will reduce home power bills.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They had the option to buy in with a single
up front payment for 25 years of credits, or monthly payments lower than their
credits.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Around 70% chose the latter
option.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Community
solar is being used to help keep housing affordable. </span><a href="http://hudsoninc.com/gateway-elton-street/" style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Gateway Elton</a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> is a
project to develop 659 affordable housing units in New York City.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Common areas will be partially powered by
over one million watts of solar. </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">The
214-kW array on the first phase is the largest on any residence in New York
state.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">With an estimated payback period
of 5-6 years, and a lifetime of 25, the array will help preserve housing
affordability. Developer Hudson Companies previously installed an 80.5-kW array
at </span><a href="http://www.theenergycollective.com/kitkennedy/178741/renewable-energy-nyc-affordable-housing" style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Dumont
Green</a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">, another New York City affordable housing project.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.seattle.gov/light/solarenergy/commsolar.asp">Seattle City
Light</a> already operates five community solar installations.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>One is on an affordable housing complex run
by Capitol Hill Housing.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We need more
community solar arrays here to build community energy resilience for families and the community as a whole.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Community solar plants on community anchor
buildings such as community centers, schools, libraries, health facilities and
churches, backed by storage, could create community resilience centers. People
could charge devices during blackouts caused by weather and seismic events,
including crucial medical devices.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>These
facilities could also act as cooling centers that will be more needed as the
climate heats.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">We also
need community solar in the city grid to make it more resilient. Seattle
already has a substantially clean hydropower supply. But climate impacts will make
hydropower less reliable. Seattle City Light projects this<a href="http://www.seattle.gov/light/enviro/docs/Seattle_City_Light_Climate_Change_Vulnerability_Assessment_and_Adaptation_Plan.pdf"> happening by 2030</a>,
and even in 2015, wildfires cut off transmission of power from the North
Cascades dams. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>SCL points to solar as
the solution.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>And the more solar we
develop, the more clean hydropower we have to sell to the grid and reduce
carbon emissions elsewhere. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">We can’t
talk about solar without also talking about efficiency, the cleanest energy
source. <span style="color: #141414;">Since the Northwest began focusing on
electrical energy efficiency in buildings and equipment in 1978 it has saved
five Seattle’s worth of electricity, or over four times the generating capacity
of the Transalta Centralia coal-fired power plant, the </span><a href="https://www.nwcouncil.org/energy/energy-efficiency/home/">Northwest Power
and Conservation Council</a><span style="color: #141414;"> reports. That makes
efficiency the region’s second largest power source after hydropower. The
Council projects that energy efficiency investments will keep power demand from
growing at all through 2030. But even then the council still projects Northwest
coal and gas power generation will pour 53 million tons of carbon dioxide into
the air annually. This is unacceptable. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We need to actively reduce power demand with
efficiency while we ramp up renewables.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>We also need electrified buildings that replace oil and gas heat with
use high performance electric heat pumps.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #141414; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Seattle has strong building codes, but they need to be upgraded
to make all new buildings </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://architecture2030.org/2030-districts-expanding/">zero-energy
by 2030</a><span style="color: #141414;"> or earlier, requiring highly efficient
buildings that produce as much energy as they use. Seattle’s </span><a href="http://www.bullittcenter.org/">Bullitt Center</a><span style="color: #141414;">
is a world-leading example of a zero-energy building, actually producing more
energy than it uses. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Seattle is
a leader in efficiency, but there are gaps.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>We fall short of where we need to be in terms of home and multifamily
efficiency retrofits.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We lack a
concerted effort at building fuel switching, though a proposed building code
change would make us the nation’s first city to require high performance
electric heating in new and renovated commercial buildings. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">An
important backdrop is the failure of the solar production incentives bill in
the 2016 Legislature.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We have had the
best incentives in the nation.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But they
sunset in 2020, so their effectiveness is starting to fade. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A local climate mobilization needs to push
demands for community energy resilience funding by the city.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The city needs to step up to do more, not
only through electric ratepayer revenues, but also through city general
revenues.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We need to prioritize
efficiency retrofits on housing occupied by low-to-moderate income homeowners
and renters, and community solar installations that provide climate justice
benefits. Our community solutions effort will seek ways to build political will
around community energy resilience funding.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #0e0e0e; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">THE TRANSIT-AFFORDABLE
HOUSING CONNECTION<o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="color: #141414; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Now let’s move on to the transit-affordable housing connection. Because
our hydropower-centered electrical system is relatively clean, our region’s
largest carbon pollution problem is transportation.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><a href="https://fortress.wa.gov/ecy/publications/documents/1202034.pdf">Around 44%</a>
of Washington state carbon emissions come from burning oil in cars and other
vehicles.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The <a href="http://www.seattle.gov/Documents/Departments/OSE/2013_CAP_20130612.pdf">Seattle
City Climate Plan</a> aims to reduce passenger vehicle emissions 82% by 2030
and 97% by 2050.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We need a
transportation revolution to achieve those goals.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #141414; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">To the extent we still use cars, we want them to be electric
vehicles, and we want them charged on renewable energy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But even if all personal vehicles were
electrified, traffic would still clog our communities and degrade the quality
of life, and continue the demand for natural resources needed to make vehicles.
<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In fact, electric cars have a higher
upfront carbon cost because of resources used in making the batteries. That
will be as true of self-driving vehicles expected in coming years as it is of
today’s cars. The best transportation option is to make a car-free life
possible, and high-quality public transit is key to that. For lower- and
middle-income people increasingly stressed by the cost of maintaining a
personal car, improved transit is crucial.</span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #141414; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">We need to continue to build up transit.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The best transit systems have several key
characteristics. Transit stops are within a quarter-mile from homes and
destinations. Service is frequent, every 10 minutes or so on
well-travelled routes. And coverage is widespread. Railed options
including light-rail and street trolleys are increasing. Light rail is
seeing record ridership, and passing the Sound Transit 3 bond initiative in
this November’s election will be an important step forward. And sometimes just
improving bus service is the quickest and most economical way to build up
transit. Express bus service and Bus Rapid Transit lanes are coming to
cities including Seattle. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #141414; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Light-rail runs on electricity.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>We also want to move buses to electric power. Electric trolleybuses that
draw energy from overhead wires are a familiar sight in Seattle, where a clean
power supply makes them a genuinely low-carbon transportation mode. Now
rapidly dropping battery prices spurred by the growing market for EVs are
spilling over into city buses. Heavy-duty electric buses propelled by
batteries are reaching service. Washington state in 2015 signed a
contract with Proterra through which Northwest transit agencies could buy </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.proterra.com/proterra-selected-in-major-electric-bus-contract-by-washington-state-department-of-transportation/"><span style="color: #698190; text-decoration: none;">up to 800
electric buses</span></a><span style="color: #141414;"> over the next five years.
</span><a href="http://insideevs.com/proterra-catalyst-electric-bus-completes-reliability-test-by-king-county-metro/"><span style="color: #698190; text-decoration: none;">King County</span></a><span style="color: #141414;"> plans to use the buses and recently completed a rigorous
test that demonstrated they are fully capable of replacing diesel equivalents.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #141414; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The social justice angle is also hugely important.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Transit service should be affordable,
particularly for low-income people. In Seattle the </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="https://transitriders.org/"><span style="color: #698190; text-decoration: none;">Transit Riders
Union</span></a><span style="color: #141414;"> has successfully gained the ORCA Lift pass offering </span><a href="http://metro.kingcounty.gov/programs-projects/orca-lift/"><span style="color: #698190; text-decoration: none;">low-income fares</span></a><span style="color: #141414;">. The group provides a climate justice framework for building up
transit: “</span><span style="color: #272727;">every human being has a right to
safe, reliable, affordable, and accessible public transit . . . for the future
of humanity and of the planet, we must move beyond the car- and fossil
fuel-based economy . . . the public transit system must be expanded and
improved, not merely preserved.”</span><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="color: #272727; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Transit Riders Union adds, “We want high-capacity rapid transit,
including buses and rail – but not at the cost of cutting off those who need
public transit the most,” and maintains “that public transit must be paid for
by corporations and the wealthiest section of the population, not by further
squeezing poor and working people.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #272727; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">350 Seattle and Transit Riders Union will join in putting on an
early 2017 public forum focused on how we can bring free public transit to the
Seattle area. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Free transit exists at
many levels around the world.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Washington, DC lets youth ride for free. Tallinn, Estonia has completely
removed the farebox.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It is the largest
example of comprehensive free public transit in the world.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Our forum will look at examples, and how to
pay for it with progressive revenue options such as an employer’s tax and a
local income tax on high earners.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">We need to build up transit, electrify it, and make it more
affordable.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But none of this will be
sufficient if our exploding housing costs continue to drive people out of the
city.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The suburbanization of poverty is
a huge climate justice issue. R</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">ents are <a href="http://www.seattletimes.com/business/real-estate/seattle-rents-now-growing-faster-than-in-any-other-us-city/">rising
in Seattle faster</a> than anywhere else in the US, nearly 10% over the last
year.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Average rentals are over
$2,000.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This is pushing low-to-moderate
income people out of the city. We are going exactly the wrong direction here by
forcing people who use transit the most out to suburban areas where service is
the poorest.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>One of the most crying
needs for climate justice in our city is affordable housing in areas well
served by transit.<span style="color: #1a1a1a;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #141414; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Transit works best at a </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.vtpi.org/tdm/tdm45.htm"><span style="color: #698190; text-decoration: none;">certain level of
density</span></a><span style="color: #141414;">. A line with 20 buses per
day should have 4 dwelling units per acre near stops, and one with 40, 7 units.
Light rail should have 5-9 units per acre within walking distance of
stops. Thus it is important when expanding service to focus first on
denser areas, and to plan transit-oriented development to build up compact
communities around rail stations.</span><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> </span><span style="color: #141414;">But unless it is done with social justice at the
forefront, transit oriented development will increase trends toward urban
gentrification. It already is. </span><a href="http://www.pugetsoundsage.org/downloads/TOD%20that%20is%20Healthy,%20Green%20and%20Just.pdf"><span style="color: #698190; text-decoration: none;">Puget Sound Sage</span></a><span style="color: #141414;"> has lined out a series of steps to incorporate justice
concerns. </span><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #141414; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">A </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://gotgreenseattle.org/2016/03/08/our-people-our-power-our-planet-community-led-research-in-south-seattle/"><span style="color: #698190; text-decoration: none;">recent report</span></a><span style="color: #141414;"> from Puget Sound Sage and Got Green identifies one of the
most important steps – community control of land and housing. These two
Seattle climate justice groups call on the city to establish strong goals for
community control through land trusts, non-profit housing development and local
ownership of cultural anchors and businesses. Sound Transit, already
obligated to devote 80% of surplus land around stations to affordable housing,
should do so through community-based organizations, the groups say. The
ST3 initiative will require that nonprofit housing developers gain first option on surplus land.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #141414; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">350 Seattle is looking to the leadership of climate justice
groups including SAGE and Got Green as we support efforts to build up affordable,
community-owned housing in our city and region. </span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #0e0e0e; font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-size: 19px;"><b>REBUILDING THE COMMONS</b></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #0e0e0e; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">We have looked at two areas where a community climate
mobilization movement can demand transformatory change.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A community energy resilience initiative that
builds up community solar and energy efficiency, with concerted efforts to
target benefits to lower and moderate-income families.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>And efforts to make public transit more
accessible and clean, and linked to affordable, community-controlled
housing. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>There are others, including
local food, bicycle access and distributed, green infrastructure, to name
some. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>By focusing on community solutions,
we can move toward climate recovery while rebuilding the commons in our society.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #0e0e0e; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In our fractured society, we urgently need to begin rebuilding
our common life.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We can do this by
pushing for community energy,<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>community
housing, community transportation, and community climate solutions in general.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We can empower communities and lift people
up while taking fossil fuels down.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We
can mobilize around a transformatory vision for the kind of world and nation we
want to make starting here at home, where we live.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This is what community solutions for climate
justice is all about.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Let’s join
together, make a movement, and make it happen.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="color: #0e0e0e; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="color: #0e0e0e; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">KEYWORDS: CLIMATE, CLIMATE CHANGE, CLIMATE DISRUPTION, CLIMATE JUSTICE, GLOBAL WARMING, RESILIENCE, COMMUNITY SOLAR, ENERGY EFFICIENCY, ZERO ENERGY BUILDINGS, TRANSIT, AFFORDABLE HOUSING, SEATTLE, FAITH AND CLIMATE</span></span></div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com5tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-5366026301606953192016-07-20T14:40:00.001-07:002016-07-20T16:00:26.286-07:00A business-as-usual climate rule for a climate crisis world<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><i style="font-family: arial; font-size: 14pt;">Following is my testimony submitted to the Washington State Department of Ecology in response to its draft Clean Air Rule to limit climate pollution. Comments are due by 5pm this Friday, July 22. They can be filed on line <a href="http://www.ecy.wa.gov/programs/air/rules/wac173442/1510inv.html">here</a>,or emailed to AQComments@ecy.wa.gov. Please </i><i style="font-family: arial; font-size: 14pt;">take a moment to ask Ecology for a stronger rule that meets the scientific requirements to restore climate stability. You can also sign a petition for a stronger rule <a href="http://petitions.moveon.org/sign/demand-the-best-climate?source=c.em&r_by=15643117">here</a>.</i></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">When Washington Gov. Jay
Inslee in 2015 ordered the state Department of Ecology to draft a rule limiting
greenhouse gas emissions, he set a precedent.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>For the first time, a state government moved to cut climate pollution on
the authority of existing environmental legislation.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The groundwork for the rule
was the state Clean Air Act, which mandates state government to </span><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“(p)reserve, protect
and enhance the air quality for current and future generations.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>On this basis, Ecology has drafted a rule
that is in a public comment phase ending this week.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Pollution
reductions called for under the rule fall substantially far short of what it
would take to actually meet the Clean Air Act mandate.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The rule calls for annual 1.7% emissions cuts
from large polluters.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It would eventually
cover two-thirds of state greenhouse gas (ghg) emissions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Thus the overall yearly pollution reduction
is more like 1%. That assumes that offsets, which polluters can purchase to
meet 100% of their obligations, will actually all generate the real emissions
reductions that are claimed.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Many are
skeptical, and loopholes in the draft rule actually allow one unit of carbon
reduction to count for two units in some circumstances. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
actual scientific requirement is closer to an 8% annual ghg cut, and this curve
is rapidly growing steeper.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>By next year
it will be around 9%.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>These numbers are
based on the target for recovery of climate stability, returning atmospheric
carbon dioxide concentrations to 350 parts per million by 2100.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>350ppm is where the atmosphere stops trapping
solar heat, the basis of global warming.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>The longer that CO2 levels are higher than 350ppm – they are now above
400ppm – the more heat the planet will absorb, and the more probable that
feedbacks will push global warming beyond human control – feedbacks including
loss of natural carbon sinks such as Arctic permafrost. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">This
is based on science done by leading climatologist <a href="http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0081648">James Hansen </a>and his team for
a series of lawsuits promoted by Our Children’s Trust.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Youth lawsuits are being brought against a
number of state governments, the federal government and other national
governments.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They argue, along the same
lines as the theory under which Gov. Inslee ordered the climate rulemaking,
that existing constitutional and statutory obligations to protect natural
resources are sufficient grounds regulate carbon and other ghgs.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In
one of the cases, eight youth have won a court order requiring Washington state
to limit climate pollution.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>King County
Superior Court Judge Hollis Hill said the state must issue a rule by the end of
the year.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Though the state opted to
appeal the order, it nonetheless is the legal requirement under which the state
is now operating.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
state claims it might need more time.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>But truly, there is no more time for delay.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><a href="http://climate.nasa.gov/news/2465/2016-climate-trends-continue-to-break-records/">NASA
just reported</a> that the first six months of the year were the hottest on
record, 1.3°C warmer than the late 19<sup>th</sup> century.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That is perilously close to the 1.5°C target
set by the recent Paris climate summit to avert the worst consequences of
climate disruption.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Even more alarming
is the fact this is 0.3°C above any temperature high previously recorded – a
phenomenal spike indicating the planet may be moving into a new climate state. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgJeNxP9tzkBzerIk9UDRk_UbqWA2StFB4w1gNh16yHHYcKMX6XAb0M2Qr-Y_RzYvqYmC5lSoRm-kdGkBmP7HpMCWhxZtmooYydSzkqUvjySpUypFMeaQtAbghCdk96-FRJ9UeEJE4FXvs/s1600/NASA_first_six_months_2016.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="510" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgJeNxP9tzkBzerIk9UDRk_UbqWA2StFB4w1gNh16yHHYcKMX6XAb0M2Qr-Y_RzYvqYmC5lSoRm-kdGkBmP7HpMCWhxZtmooYydSzkqUvjySpUypFMeaQtAbghCdk96-FRJ9UeEJE4FXvs/s640/NASA_first_six_months_2016.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: start;"><b><span style="font-size: small;">This chart from NASA illustrates the dramatic 2016 temperature spike. Never before this year had temperates gone 1 degree Celsius above the late 19th century level. The first six months of this year, temperatures averaged 1.3 degrees Celsius, an 0.3 degree spike above anything before. </span></b></td></tr>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p><br /></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">NASA
also reported that Arctic sea ice was at record lows five of the year’s first
six months.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>During winter, Arctic sea icepack
typically peaks at 40% of its early 1980s extent. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That drives growing heat. Ice sends 90% of
solar heat back to space, while blue water absorbs 90%.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Global warming is already feeding global
warming in the Arctic, with a worldwide impact. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">If
ever the climate crisis was upon us, it is upon us now.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Yet the world continues to operate as if it
was business as usual – As if minor course corrections can possibly avert a
collision with the physical realities of an increasingly disrupted
climate.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>No, they can’t.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This is why Ecology’s draft climate rule is
not an adequate response to the Clean Air Act mandate. It is not a climate
crisis rule.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It is a business-as-usual
rule.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">A fundamental problem is a contradiction in the rulemaking
process itself.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>When Gov. Inslee ordered
the rulemaking, it was done not only </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">on the basis of the Clean Air Act, but also a 2008 law that
set ghg limits for the state: 1990 levels by 2020; 25% below 1990 levels by
2035, and 50% below 1990 levels by 2050.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>There is wide agreement that these limits are too low, including from
Ecology.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In a December 2014 update
required by law, the department said <a href="https://fortress.wa.gov/ecy/publications/documents/1401006.pdf">(on page
18): </a><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Washington
State’s existing statutory limits should be adjusted to better reflect the
current science. The limits need to be more aggressive in order for Washington
to do its part to address climate risks and to align our limits with other
jurisdictions that are taking responsibility to address these risks. . . Ecology
concludes that Washington’s existing statutory statewide reductions limits
under RCW 70.235.020, especially limits for 2035 and 2050, need to be updated
through changes to the statute.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Critically,
Judge Hill also found those limits inadequate to meet Clean Air Act requirements.
In a November ruling she said, <span style="color: #1d1d1d;">“. . .<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>the emission standards currently adopted by
Ecology do not fulfill the mandate to ‘(p)reserve, protect and enhance the air
quality for current and future generations.</span></span><span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 19.0pt;">’”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Ecology
is required under law to submit updates in the limits to the Legislature.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In its 2014 report the department recommended
waiting until after the Paris summit.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In
her most recent ruling in April the Judge ordered Ecology to fulfill this legal
mandate. That is also part of the ruling that has been appealed.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>At a July 14 public hearing on the rule in
Olympia an Ecology representative said the department is exploring an update
and hopes to make recommendations by the end of the year. Everyone understands
the 2008 limits are inadequate.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Thus, it is
clear that to base the rulemaking on both the Clean Air Act and the 2008 limits
sets up a contradiction. If Ecology holds within the 2008 limits, it cannot
meet the legal requirements of the Clean Air Act to protect the atmosphere for
present and future generations. It’s either one or the other. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">To say the
rule proposed by Ecology even meets the 2008 standard would be a misnomer.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In fact, parallel to its coverage of
polluters, the rule would only hit around two-thirds of the 2035 target.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The remaining emissions reductions would have
to come from currently uncovered sectors.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGc90S2uk-08O6q17dgCgVRwsEJhdRB1l2PPeHcQOxSL7x_FH9pCUEhqlYXBj3LnEYRZtasCwdf5kAaDCVBCyumsab9rPLZMMFfZvmKeJYQle3Hyv9gst9cFE9PheHVqEb7oVWRYyeHIk/s1600/WA+reduction+pathways+-+OCT.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="214" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGc90S2uk-08O6q17dgCgVRwsEJhdRB1l2PPeHcQOxSL7x_FH9pCUEhqlYXBj3LnEYRZtasCwdf5kAaDCVBCyumsab9rPLZMMFfZvmKeJYQle3Hyv9gst9cFE9PheHVqEb7oVWRYyeHIk/s640/WA+reduction+pathways+-+OCT.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: left;"><b><span style="font-size: small;">Chart from Our Children's Trust shows how far short the current proposed Washington state climate rule falls compared to the scientific necessities for climate stabilization. The green line second from the bottom depicts the stabilization pathway. The red line shows what meeting the state's 2008 carbon limits would accomplish. The proposed rule does not even reach the 2008 limits, only around two-thirds of them, reflecting its limited coverage of state emissions. </span></b></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">One reason
state officials give for holding the rulemaking within the 2008 limits, making
them a ceiling rather than a floor, is because they believe it provides more
solid footing to fight off inevitable industry lawsuits than basing the process
on the Clean Air Act alone.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">They would
rather win a 1% annual pollution reduction than lose with a requirement closer
to scientific necessities.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">But just how
solid a groundwork the 2008 law actually provides is open to question.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">In 2015 State Sen. Doug Ericksen, the oil
industry’s best friend in Olympia, asked the state attorney general his opinion
on what the law actually required.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The AG
responded that it places no requirement on the Legislature.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“There is no language in the statute
requiring the legislature to create a program to achieve greenhouse gas
emission reductions.” <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Neither does it
provide a legal ground to sue the state if it does not meet the limits.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The law “does not expressly create a cause of
action for obtaining a court order requiring that the greenhouse gas emission
reductions identified in that statute be enforced.” Nor can anyone collect
damages for failure to reach the limits. “There is no language in RCW
70.235.020 that expressly creates a cause of action for damages against the
state for a failure to achieve the greenhouse gas emission reductions
identified in that statute.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Certainly
any lawsuit brought by the oil industry and other interests will cite that AG
opinion to undermine the legal authority of the 2008 law in the
rulemaking.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They will argue the law is
essentially toothless, and have a basis on which to make that case.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The Clean Air Act authority is far more
solid, and really meeting its mandate would require much more than the business
as usual rule now proposed by Ecology.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">These are
legal points, and they are important.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>But beyond the legal, technical and bureaucratic framework in which this
rule is conceived, another force is at play.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>It was evident in the July 14 Ecology hearing when person after person
placed the issue in the overriding moral context.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Around 24 people <a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2016/07/hungry-for-climate-justice-fasting-at.html">had been fasting </a>the three
days before, mostly parents and grandparents, to ask for a rule worthy of our
children.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I was one of them.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I concluded my testimony with this:<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“The
ultimate test of any climate policy is what happens on this planet.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>What will the world look like in 44 years
when my 19-year-old daughter is my age?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>I fear it will be a nightmare world in which civilization is breaking
down.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The longer we delay acting in
proportion to the crisis, the more likely this catastrophic future becomes.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“I implore
you, as people I know are aware of these facts, and as concerned about them as
I am, to listen to your heart and enact a rule to save our children’s generation.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It is up to us to act now in proportion to
the crisis we face.” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Once again,
I make that call to Ecology, and the governor.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>This is no longer a business-as-usual world. We need a climate crisis
rule for a climate crisis world.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Please
give us one. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">KEYWORDS: CLIMATE, CLIMATE CHANGE, CLIMATE DISRUPTION, GLOBAL WARMING, WASHINGTON STATE, JAY INSLEE, CLEAN AIR RULE</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-62583800655078075922016-07-12T12:50:00.004-07:002016-07-12T13:57:00.324-07:00Hungry for climate justice: Fasting at the Washington State Capitol<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">I am
sitting at the foot of the north stairs of the Washington State Capitol,
outside Gov. Jay Inslee’s office.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">I am
one of 17 parents and grandparents who are here in the early part of a three-day
fast for climate and our children’s future.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">
</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">We are joined by a number of others fasting at home.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">We share
many feelings.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Grief over the many
losses our world faces because our parental generations have not honestly
addressed the climate crisis.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Deep concern
for what we are leaving our children and grandchildren.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Even a measure of hope that our modest act of
self-denial can have an impact.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">I am the
father of a 19-year-old, and I know the world she will face when she reaches my
age in 44 years will be hotter and more turbulent, no matter what we do
now.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">This is the tough fact we must all
face.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">By increasing the concentration of
carbon in the atmosphere to levels not seen in millions of years, our
civilization has set our planet on a disastrous pathway.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Our task now, as parents and grandparents of
coming generations, is to steer our world as much off this course as
possible.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">We must do all we can to leave
our kids a world with which they can cope.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">We are
here on these days because the Washington Department of Ecology has proposed a
rule to limit carbon pollution, and will have a public hearing here in Olympia
Thursday night.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It starts at <span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">6 p.m. at </span>The Red Lion Hotel, 2300
Evergreen Park Dr. SW. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjWQvAFd1vukbx-jbERxVYTBXTZXkwyGHDSSAxWOUl0RLzcjU2baUCJbSE9Xi-NAN1Nyc1iDQxgfFGGH-f7ZzRdQmgeOQW8LJTnJaRAP64dLzAB0lv83IrTPMYi06q7N7DUtOYyIS5CZFw/s1600/Climate+fast2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="424" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjWQvAFd1vukbx-jbERxVYTBXTZXkwyGHDSSAxWOUl0RLzcjU2baUCJbSE9Xi-NAN1Nyc1iDQxgfFGGH-f7ZzRdQmgeOQW8LJTnJaRAP64dLzAB0lv83IrTPMYi06q7N7DUtOYyIS5CZFw/s640/Climate+fast2.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b>Parents and grandparents fasting for climate and our children's future at the Washington State Capitol</b></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">The rule
is built on a groundbreaking legal theory, that existing environmental
protection laws provide a ground on which to regulate carbon pollution. </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Inslee last year ordered the rulemaking under
the authority of the state Clean Air Act, which mandates that the state </span><span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">“(p)reserve, protect and enhance the air quality for
current and future generations.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">But the draft rule proposed by Ecology doesn’t hit that mark.
It’s in the numbers.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The essential goal
is to reduce atmospheric carbon dioxide to 350 parts per million by 2100.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That is the point where the atmosphere stops
trapping heat, and the climate can begin to recover stability.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Currently, the Earth is accumulating extra
solar energy at a mindboggling rate equal to <a href="http://www.skepticalscience.com/4-Hiroshima-bombs-worth-of-heat-per-second.html">four
Hiroshima bombs</a> exploding every second.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>To reach that 350ppm goalpost, dramatic and deep carbon pollution
reductions are needed now, in the range of 10% annually on a global basis.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Because Washington state has a cleaner economy, our contribution
to reaching the global goal is around 8% annually.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The Ecology Clean Air Rule calls for large
polluters which emit two-thirds of Washington carbon emissions to cut at a rate
of 1.7% per year, amounting to 1% against the whole state economy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The effect is even less because the rule does
not kick in for some polluters until 2020.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Offset trading can be used to meet 100% of requirements, creating
uncertainties about how much carbon will actually be cut.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Piling onto that, the rule’s flawed language
allows some offsets to count for double their carbon reductions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Clearly, there is a vast gap between what science requires and
what the rule offers.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The parents and
grandparents out here today are calling on Ecology to strengthen the rule so it
actually does what the Clean Air Act requires.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>We will all be at the hearing Thursday to make that call, and we
encourage others to do the same, or to send in comments </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">to <a href="http://www.ecy.wa.gov/climatechange/engagement.htm">this site</a> by July
22, the cut-off date<span style="color: #1d1d1d;">. </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
question is whether Washington, or any state, can achieve such deep and rapid
carbon reductions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This has everything
to do with how we are approaching the climate challenge, as people, as
governments, as a society. We are still largely treating climate as just
another issue on the plate that we can handle in a business as usual
context.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Acting as if it is sufficient
to alter the course by a few degrees.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That
is the context of the Ecology rule.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">But it
isn’t sufficient.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Any honest appraisal
of the science and the escalating impacts now emerging, from spiking temperatures
to melting polar ice, can lead to only one conclusion.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We need to very rapidly change the course we
are on, or soon a catastrophic level of climate impacts will lock in.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Our children will face a world that stresses
their capacity to cope.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Human societies
and economies will crack under the load.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">That is
why we are committing this unusual act, a three-day climate fast for our
children’s future.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It is a small way of
breaking free from our own everyday lives, sitting in front of the Capitol, the
center of our state government, calling on our governor and state officials to
themselves break away from the assumptions of business and politics as usual. It’s
just too late for anything else.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">We need a
stronger climate rule that moves as close to science-based carbon limits as
humanly possible, and we need a wide range of policies and initiatives to back
it up.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We need a commitment to move to
100% renewable energy in all sectors as fast as we can.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That involves shutting down fossil fueled
power plants, electrifying transportation and renovating buildings. This calls
for an ambitious climate agenda to rapidly transform our economy, with direct
public investments and mandates to drive the process.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Before
any of this can happen, we need to change the dialogue, and the context.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We need to move beyond the business as usual
assumptions that undergird Ecology’s Clean Air Rule draft, and create a
comprehensive state climate recovery effort.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>We need to honestly address what we must do to protect our children’s
world, the dramatic change in course this requires us to make.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The parents
and grandparents here today are fasting to make this point. We are hungry for
climate justice, for our kids and all the youth who must cope with the world we
will leave them. Particularly the poor and non-white who will take the hardest
hits. Let’s do all we can to give them a fighting chance.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">KEYWORDS: CLIMATE, CLIMATE JUSTICE, GLOBAL WARMING, WASHINGTON CLEAN AIR RULE, GOVERNOR JAY INSLEE</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-69842092124370215572016-06-23T08:17:00.000-07:002016-07-20T14:14:56.914-07:00The “greenest governor” vs. the climate kids - Running from Hansen’s science?<div class="MsoNormal">
<b><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">HANSEN HAD IT NAILED</span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">June 23 is
milestone in climate history.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> To</span>day in 1988, then NASA scientist James Hansen told Congress human-caused </span><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/1988/06/24/us/global-warming-has-begun-expert-tells-senate.html?pagewanted=all"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">global warming was with us</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Already
esteemed as one of the world’s leading climate scientists, Hansen cited the
string of record hot years starting to break out in the 1980s.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>He told the Senate Energy and Natural
Resources Committee that the probability this was caused by human greenhouse
gases was </span><a href="http://climatechange.procon.org/sourcefiles/1988_Hansen_Senate_Testimony.pdf"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">99%.</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The fossil
fuel industry knew it too.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><a href="http://insideclimatenews.org/news/15092015/Exxons-own-research-confirmed-fossil-fuels-role-in-global-warming"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">ExxonMobil</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> scientists had accurately projected
the track of climate disruption. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Its oil
</span><a href="http://insideclimatenews.org/news/22122015/exxon-mobil-oil-industry-peers-knew-about-climate-change-dangers-1970s-american-petroleum-institute-api-shell-chevron-texaco"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">industry peers</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> were also well aware. But
corporations whose capital assets and profits are totally tied to continued
fossil fuel burning instead funded a monumentally evil disinformation campaign
to block action.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Today some </span><a href="http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/09/27/climate-change-kills-400-000-a-year-new-report-reveals.html"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">400,000 people die</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> annually from heat waves, hunger,
disease, storms and other climate disruption-connected impacts. Fossil industry
executive hands are soaked in blood. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">If
political leaders had been listening to Hansen then, we could have avoided a
lot of death and destruction.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In fact,
they should have been listening earlier, in 1981, when Hansen made temperature
projections that have proven remarkably close.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>He </span><a href="http://www.skepticalscience.com/lessons-from-past-predictions-hansen-1981.html"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">wrote</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">, <span style="color: #262626;">"Potential
effects on </span><span style="color: #063531;">climate</span><span style="color: #262626;"> in the 21st century include the creation of </span><span style="color: #063531;">drought</span><span style="color: #262626;">-prone </span><span style="color: #063531;">region</span><span style="color: #262626;">s in North
America and central Asia as part of a shifting of climatic zones, erosion of
the West Antarctic </span><span style="color: #063531;">ice sheet</span><span style="color: #262626;"> with a consequent worldwide rise in sea level, and
opening of the fabled Northwest Passage."<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">It is the 21<sup>st</sup> century and Hansen’s predictions have
materialized. California and the Southwest have suffered long-term
drought.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><a href="http://www.desertsun.com/story/news/environment/2016/05/19/lake-mead-declines-new-record-low/84597120/"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Colorado River</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> dam pools are at
record lows.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/oct/14/sea-level-rise-unmatched-6000-years-global-warming"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Sea levels</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> are rising the
fastest in 6,000 years. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><a href="http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2015/11/just-nudge-could-collapse-west-antarctic-ice-sheet-raise-sea-levels-3-meters"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">West Antarctic</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> ice is on death
watch.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The Northwest Passage has been
opening since 2007, and in 2016, a year when climate disruption has spiked to a
new level, Arctic Ocean <a href="http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2016/06/low-ice-low-snow-both-poles/">ice
melt</a> is a month ahead of the 2012 record.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>An </span><a href="http://www.truth-out.org/news/item/35975-arctic-sea-ice-could-disappear-this-summer"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">ice-free ocean</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> is seriously possible
this year or soon, promoting a deadly climate feedback – white ice that
reflects 90% of solar heat back into space replaced by blue water that absorbs
90%. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Global warming is already feeding
global warming in the Arctic, threatening to unlock huge land and ocean stores
of super-potent global warming gas </span><a href="http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2011/02/17/207552/nsidc-thawing-permafrost-will-turn-from-carbon-sink-to-source-in-mid-2020s-releasing-100-billion-tons-of-carbon-by-2100/"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">methane</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Humanity faces the real prospect of global
warming beyond its control, short of highly uncertain geoengineering schemes. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Meanwhile, global temperatures are jumping in ways that have
scientists shouting out </span><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/jun/17/shattered-records-climate-change-emergency-today-scientists-warn"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">climate emergency</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>For 13 months temperatures have not only been
exceeding the record – They have been exceeding it by such a wide margin that
it is virtually certain, halfway into 2016, that it will be the hottest year on
the books. This plays out as drought and extreme heat searing hundreds of
millions in <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2016/05/20/asia/india-record-temperature/">India</a>, and an unprecedented three years of <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/06/20/u-s-coral-reefs-are-next-in-the-crosshairs-in-ongoing-global-bleaching-event-u-s-scientists-say/">coral-killing bleaching</a>, the <a href="http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2015/100815-noaa-declares-third-ever-global-coral-bleaching-event.html">third ever </a>global coral bleaching. It has hit almost all of Australia’s <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/05/29/a-whole-new-ballgame-scientists-find-35-percent-coral-death-in-parts-of-great-barrier-reef/">Great Barrier Reef</a>.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">HANSEN FORECASTS HAVOC,
UNLESS<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>. . . <o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Hansen got it right in 1981, virtually on the back of the
envelope.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In 1988 he accurately told us global
warming had arrived.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Now, in 2016, he
and his team are projecting worldwide havoc. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>All of us should be listening. In a </span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JP-cRqCQRc8"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">video discussion</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> of his new, peer-reviewed</span><a href="http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/3761/2016/acp-16-3761-2016.pdf"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> paper</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">, “Ice Melt, Sea Level
Rise and Superstorms,” Hansen calls out feedbacks between oceans and ice sheets
that “raise questions about how soon we lock in points of no return, which lock
in consequences that cannot be reversed on any time scale people can care
about.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Those include multi-meter sea level rise this century, or next
at latest, causing the “loss of all coastal cities.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“Sea level is known to have risen rapidly
many times.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That ice sheet meltwater is
apparently already slowing the circulation of tropical water into the North
Atlantic – fresh meltwater reduces saltiness and makes water lighter, which
stops it from sinking into the depths. This hinders the mechanism that keeps circulation
moving.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>So currents back up, warm water
stays in the south and the north becomes cooler.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That temperature contrast “will drive
superstorms stronger than any in modern times.” In past geologic eras they were
strong enough to hurl 1,000-ton boulders onto land.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“All hell will break loose in the North Atlantic.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“We are
in a position of potentially causing irreparable harm to our children,
grandchildren and future generations,” concludes the scientist, who now serves
as<span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;"> director of Columbia University’s
Climate Science, Awareness and Solutions program.<b> </b></span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">But we have not reached the point of no return, Hansen
believes.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In an earlier paper he and his
team lined out the scientific necessities to avoid this climate havoc. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Hansen developed the science in 2013 as the
basis for </span><a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/08/the-kids-call-us-out-filing-lawsuits.html"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">atmospheric trust cases</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> filed by youth
plaintiffs seeking action by governments to protect their future. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The effort led by Eugene, Oregon-based </span><a href="http://ourchildrenstrust.org/"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Our Children’s Trust</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> (OCT) has filed cases in a number of states, including
Washington, as well as against the federal government in U.S. District Court in
Oregon. Hansen and his granddaughter, Sophie, are plaintiffs in the federal
case, which two weeks ago won an </span><a href="http://ourchildrenstrust.org/sites/default/files/2016.06.09AikenHearingPR.pdf"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">important decision</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> allowing it to move
forward.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<a href="http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0081648"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The science</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> Hansen et al developed
for the litigation is demanding, and complex.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>But it boils down to several key points:<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></div>
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</div>
<ul>
<li><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">The critical goal is
to bring down the level of carbon dioxide, the major greenhouse gas, to 350
parts per million by 2100. 350ppm is
where planetary energy balance is restored – The planet is no longer taking in
more solar energy than it is sending back to space. (The level has now reached </span><a href="http://www.climatecentral.org/news/unprecedented-spike-co2-levels-2015-20125" style="text-indent: -0.25in;"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">over 400ppm</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">, spiking recently
over 407ppm, and in fact grew at a record pace in 2015.) Staying above 350ppm
much longer than 2100 risks radical climate feedbacks.</span></li>
<li><span style="color: #0b0b0b; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">Achieving 350ppm x
2100 requires immediate and large carbon pollution reductions.</span><span style="color: #0b0b0b; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;"> </span><span style="color: #0b0b0b; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">If the world had started in 2013, an annual
rate of 6% would have been needed.</span><span style="color: #0b0b0b; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;"> </span><span style="color: #0b0b0b; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">If we
wait until 2020, the figure grows to 15%.</span><span style="color: #0b0b0b; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">
</span><span style="color: #0b0b0b; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">In 2016, the figure is probably around 10%.</span><span style="color: #0b0b0b; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;"> </span><span style="color: #0b0b0b; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">Besides pollution reductions, 100 billion
tonnes of carbon must be soaked from the atmosphere into plants and soil. </span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">The threshold for dangerous climate
warming is sometimes given as 2° Celsius, or the more ambitious 1.5° C limit
set at the recent Paris climate summit. </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">The
350ppm pathway would hold total warming to the peak seen since the last ice
age, just a little over 1°C, with a temporary spike this century around 1.2°C. Hansen
asserts we should aim at the lower temperature target to reduce the odds for
dangerous feedbacks.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">Warming of recent
months puts us in this range, underscoring the urgent necessity for rapid
carbon reductions.</span></li>
</ul>
<br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg81BBxuweb3ku_tDS2gbNl49lt3QflGOXca5qx0JqtsxY0YfGwDfKDCDvgBy0AocSwRgsIT3Og6CbXB_B08MZ7HGB9qTElnKb5uXJOPhWgOkQoFFsliRj6eF_-o4lc9ZFcfDDY-Kd_i4Y/s1600/Climate+Kids.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="440" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg81BBxuweb3ku_tDS2gbNl49lt3QflGOXca5qx0JqtsxY0YfGwDfKDCDvgBy0AocSwRgsIT3Og6CbXB_B08MZ7HGB9qTElnKb5uXJOPhWgOkQoFFsliRj6eF_-o4lc9ZFcfDDY-Kd_i4Y/s640/Climate+Kids.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: small;">Five of the Washington Our Children's Trust lawsuit plaintiffs with their attorney, Andrea Rodgers.</span></b></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
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<span style="color: #0b0b0b; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span><b><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">THE KIDS TAKE IT ON</span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
Washington OCT case has won a series of court rulings that could eventually
force the state onto the Hansen carbon reduction pathway.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But, ironically, <span style="color: #262626;">the
administration of Gov. Jay Inslee, who came into office as the “greenest
governor” with stellar credentials as a Congressional climate leader, is trying
to overturn the most recent victory through an appeal to a higher court. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In an astounding move guaranteed to provoke
intense cognitive dissonance, it’s the “greenest governor” versus the climate
kids.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The kids are the eight youths who last year filed suit against the
state Department of Ecology in King County Superior Court.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Foster et al v. Ecology asks the state to
protect their generation by implementing carbon limits based on the Hansen
science.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That followed an unsuccessful
petition to Ecology along the same lines. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Limits enshrined in a 2008 Washington law are
far below what science requires – reaching </span><span style="color: #2e2a24; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">1990 levels by 2020, reducing 25% below 1990
levels by 2035, and 50% by 2050.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This is
the basis of a </span><a href="http://www.ecy.wa.gov/climatechange/carbonlimit.htm"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">carbon cap rulemaking</span></a><span style="color: #2e2a24; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> ordered by Inslee in
July 2015 to give the limits some teeth.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span></span><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In her arguments before the court the youths’ attorney, Andrea
Rodgers of Western Environmental Law Center, asserted that because carbon pollution
endangers air, land, water and natural resources, the state is obligated to
regulate carbon under its constitutional and legal responsibilities, and to
levels indicated by science. The plaintiffs gained a partially favorable </span><a href="http://ourchildrenstrust.org/sites/default/files/15.11.19.Order_FosterV.Ecology.pdf"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">ruling</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> from Judge Hollis
Hill in last November.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“In fact, as Petitioners assert and this court finds, their very
survival depends upon the will of their elders to act now, decisively and
unequivocally, to stem the tide of global warming by accelerating the reduction
of emission of GHG’s (greenhouse gases) before doing so becomes too costly and
then too late.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The scientific evidence
is clear that the current rates of reduction mandated by Washington law cannot
achieve the GHG reductions necessary to protect our environment and to ensure
the survival of an environment in which the petitioners can grow to adulthood
safely.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Judge Hill ruled that the state has an obligation to cap carbon
under its Clean Air Act and the Public Trust Doctrine in the Washington Constitution.
“In this context, the emission standards currently adopted by Ecology do not
fulfill the mandate to ‘(p)reserve, protect and enhance the air quality for
current and future generations’ (quoting the Clean Air Act).” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In fact, when Gov. Inslee ordered Ecology to implement a Clean
Air Rule to cap carbon in July 2015, he did it on a </span><a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/07/wa-gov-inslee-orders-carbon-regulation.html"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">fundamental premise</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> of the OCT case, that
sufficient authority to cap carbon exists under the state Clean Air Act.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>He did it on his own executive authority,
rather than that of the court ruling though.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>That has important implications discussed below.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The ruling was also a partial victory for Ecology.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Because the department had already undertaken
the carbon cap rulemaking, Hill declined to uphold the youth’s original
petition to Ecology. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">BACK TO COURT<o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Under pressure from industry and other stakeholders, Ecology
withdrew its first rule draft in February. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Rodgers and the kids went back to court.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In April they won a second victory.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Judge Hill ordered Ecology to produce a rule
by year’s end, and to recommend science-based greenhouse gas reductions to the
2017 legislature.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Ecology must consult
youth plaintiffs on those recommendations, she said. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“The reason I'm doing this is because this is an urgent
situation,” </span><a href="http://www.thestranger.com/slog/2016/04/29/24025118/king-county-judge-makes-historic-judgment-against-washington-state-in-climate-change-case"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Judge Hill said</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">. “<span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">These children can't wait, the polar bears can't
wait, the people of Bangladesh can't wait. </span>I don't have jurisdiction
over their needs in this matter, but <span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">I
do have jurisdiction in this court</span>, and for that reason I'm taking this
action.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“For the first time, a U.S. court not only
recognized the extraordinary harms young people are facing due to climate
change, but ordered an agency to do something about it,” </span><a href="http://ourchildrenstrust.org/sites/default/files/2016.04.29WAFinalRulingPR.pdf"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Rodgers
said.</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> “Ecology is now court-ordered to issue a rule that fulfills its
constitutional and public trust duty to ensure Washington does its part to
reduce greenhouse gas emissions and protect the planet.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Gov. Inslee himself lauded the decision in a May 10
email to his supporters entitled, “HUGE ruling for our planet.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Eight courageous kids went to court to compel us adults to
take action on climate change. I'm happy to say that they won. These eight kids
know that our state can do more to fight climate change -- and I do, too. Their
case has been a call for action to no longer ignore our climate and our kids.
And now, the court has affirmed that our plan to reduce carbon pollution is the
right thing to do, and now is the right time.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Then,
last Thursday, in what would seem a stunning contradiction of those statements,
the administration </span><a href="http://ourchildrenstrust.org/sites/default/files/2016.06.16InsleeAppealPR.pdf"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">filed an appeal</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> against the victory in the
Washington Supreme Court. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The “greenest
governor” was going crosswise of the climate kids. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“The governor and Ecology continue to deceive the
public by claiming they are doing all they can to protect our children from
climate change, but their actions in court prove otherwise</span><a href="http://ourchildrenstrust.org/sites/default/files/2016.06.16InsleeAppealPR.pdf"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">,”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Rodgers charged.</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> “<span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">It is important for the public to know that their leaders have many of
the legal tools they need to address climate change, but instead work to avoid
being held accountable for protecting the rights of young people.”</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">STATE PLAN
FALLS SHORT<o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In one particular, crucial to understanding this
turn of events, Inslee’s email was less than accurate.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The court did not, in fact, affirm “that our
plan to reduce carbon pollution is the right thing to do . . . “ Ecology’s
second draft Clean Air Rule released on June 1 instead uses the outdated
science that Judge Hill ruled did not meet the legal test.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The rule falls short in at least three major
ways:</span></div>
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<ul>
<li><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">It
mandates only 1.7% annual carbon reductions.</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">Those are
only on a set of large polluters that will represent at most two-thirds of the
state’s economy, so the actual yearly statewide carbon reduction is more like one percent. </span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">It allows
polluters to meet obligations through a broad set of offsetting schemes, which
many analysts find uncertain and leaky.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></li>
</ul>
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">“Emission reductions of only 1.7 percent per year
are not much different than business as usual,” </span><a href="http://ourchildrenstrust.org/sites/default/files/2016.06.01CleanAirRulePR.pdf"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">said
Hansen</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">. “They would leave young people with an intolerable burden to somehow
suck enormous quantities of CO2 from the air if they are to avoid a climate
system running out of control. The state should live up its obligations to
young people, reducing emissions 8% per year, which is what the science
indicates is needed to stabilize climate.”</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“The stark
reality is that the leading climate scientists tell us that one percent annual
reductions of GHG emissions, which Ecology has proposed, are essentially
useless,” Rodgers and fellow OCT attorney Julia Olson <a href="https://medium.com/@OCT/about-gov-inslees-appeal-of-youth-climate-victory-fc465b7c350e#.56wgylcl3">wrote</a>.
“The glaciers will still melt, the seas will still rise, the oceans will
acidify, communities will be relocated, and we and our children will suffer . .
. This is simply not a problem that can be handled by half-measures.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<!--EndFragment--><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">While the governor is enmeshed in a complex politics
pulling him many different directions, it is up to the state’s climate advocacy
community to stand up for science-based limits.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">
</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Two of the state’s leading climate groups did take that position in an
Oct. 29, 2015 letter to Ecology.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“The Washington State Clean Air Act is a
health-based statute that directs Ecology to set standards on air pollution to
protect the health and welfare of the state,” wrote Climate Solutions and the Washington
Environmental Council (WEC).<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“While the
legislature established statewide emissions limits in 2008, these limits should
be a floor for climate action, not a ceiling preventing the state from
responding to the critical threats that global warming poses to public health
and the environment.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“The best available science<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>. . . clearly indicates that emissions in
developed world economies need to drop more steeply than the 2008 law
established.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This would require Washington
State to achieve at least an 80% reduction from 1990 levels by mid-century, or
a 4% annual reduction in overall CO2 emissions to achieve the 2050 target.” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">CLIMATE URGENCY – TALK ABOUT IT<o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In
calling for 4% the groups endorsed the original science developed for the
Washington OCT case. The state has slightly less challenging targets than the
global numbers because <span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">Washington carbon
emissions have peaked. If reductions had started in 2013 or soon after, 4%
would be the number. The 8% figure cited by Hansen comes from a current
scientific review being done by his team. This shows how rapidly the challenge
is moving beyond control, and why Washington state and Inslee need to rapidly
step up to the plate for science-based carbon reductions. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">So far Climate Solutions and WEC have not reflected
this urgency in their communications strategies.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Even though they have supported science-based
limits in their comments to Ecology, this position has not made it into their
public messaging. An April 11 action alert from WEC called on supporters to
make comments to Ecology on the rule, and specified a number of needed
improvements for which to ask.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But </span><a href="http://org2.salsalabs.com/o/5168/p/dia/action3/common/public/?action_KEY=22714"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">the list</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> left
science-based limits off the table. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The need
for science-based limits was also absent from <a href="http://www.climatesolutions.org/news/news-releases/washington-state-moves-closer-strong-rule-reduce-global-warming-pollution">comments</a>
by leaders of Climate Solutions, WEC, Sierra Club and other environmental
groups in statements lauding the June 1 re-release of the rule. <span style="color: #1a1a1a;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Comments were more
in the tone of Climate Solutions Washington Director Vlad Gutman, who said it
took “ . . . steps in the right direction.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>WEC </span>Climate and Clean Energy Program Director<span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> Sasha Pollack called it “an important step
forward.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The post carried a number of calls
for policy improvements, but again did not include science-based limits.</span></span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "font"; font-size: 14.0pt;">
</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">I can only hope that the groups will foreground the
science-based limits message when they encourage public comment at upcoming July
hearings</span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This is an issue of utterly critical
importance. The state’s most prominent climate advocacy groups need to bring
their public weight to bear on it. Public comment opportunities are </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.ecy.wa.gov/climatechange/engagement.htm">here</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">. </span>The big westside public hearing is in Olympia <span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">Thursday, July 14, 6 p.m., at </span>The Red
Lion Hotel,<span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;"> </span>2300 Evergreen Park
Drive SW<span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">.</span></span><b><span style="font-family: "verdana"; font-size: 11.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">And while the groups have also </span><a href="http://climatesolutions.org/article/1462219181-court-agrees-these-kids-washington-must-curb-pollution"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">enthusiastically praised</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> the youths’ victory
in the Washington OCT suit, as of this writing they have not issued any public
comment on the Inslee Administration appeal of the case. Admittedly the groups
are in a tough spot.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They have been
among Inslee’s strongest supporters.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But
now is time for them to push harder, and publicly, using all their resources,
for science-based limits.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They should be
calling on the governor to withdraw the appeal and conduct the rulemaking under
the authority of Judge Hill’s order. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">THE NUB OF THE ISSUE<o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Ecology is
an agency under Inslee’s executive control.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>He could have instructed Director Maia Bellon to accept Judge Hill’s
order, and write the carbon rule under the color of this order.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But instead Inslee chose to move the
rulemaking forward under his own executive authority.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That makes it far less secure. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A Governor Bryant, perish the thought, could
as easily use his executive authority to revoke the order. That would not be so
easy with a rulemaking under the color of a court mandate<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
administration has now decided to contest Judge Hill’s order to produce a rule
by year’s end.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This is another step to
deny her rulings, and the youth on whose behalf they were made, any legal
standing in the process.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Ecology
spokeperson Camille St. Onge claimed this was about the timeline. “One of the
things that’s important in a rule-making process is that we need a rule to be
strong and durable, and the public needs an opportunity to influence the
outcome,” she told<span style="color: #262626;"> <a href="http://www.thestranger.com/slog/2016/06/22/24246069/governor-inslees-administration-is-appealing-the-climate-kids-court-win">The
Stranger</a>. </span>“A court-ordered deadline would hamper that.” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">But St.
Onge also “said that the state still expects the rule to be finalized by the
end of the summer—a schedule that doesn’t conflict with the court-ordered
deadline,” wrote reporter Sydney Brownstone. “Nevertheless, the state is
appealing the judge’s ruling in the event that they need to change the plan.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">It seems
quite an assertion of bureaucratic prerogatives to move against a
groundbreaking legal precedent for climate protection, and a precedent won by
those most affected, youth, on the theoretical possibility that more time might be
needed.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> In response to Judge Hill's ruling, and her statement, "</span></span><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 19px;">These children can't wait," Ecology is saying, wait a little longer. </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">It seems that if the need for an
extension actually arose, a motion to Judge Hill would be a better course. The
judge has granted extensions to Ecology in the proceedings, and has proven she
too wants a strong and durable rule.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">What really
seems at play is a desire on the part of the state to operate on its own
authority, rather than the legal mandates under the rulings.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>One can only surmise this is because the
implications of the rulings lead to Public Trust responsibilities. And those
ultimately lead to the science-based carbon reduction goals specified under the
Hansen science. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>At 4% a year, now rising
to around 8% or even greater, that might seem impossibly greater than any one
state can accomplish.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Indeed,
meeting carbon reduction goals that do not leave the world a wreck for our
children and theirs requires far more broad reaching efforts than most political
leaders or climate groups are yet addressing. We need a rapid shift to <a href="http://thesolutionsproject.org/">100% renewable energy</a> in all sectors, with deep transformations in transportation
and buildings. We need transformation of
forestry and agriculture. This is the context for achieving deep carbon
reductions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It involves a complex set of
public initiatives that include carbon caps and prices but go beyond them, such
as power grid modernization and vehicle electrification. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">To accomplish
needed transformations quickly enough to avert climate meltdown, we need a World War II-scale mobilization of resources at all levels, from state to
nation to world.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Something this huge
will require immense political will.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The
only way to build this will is to bring it to the foreground of discussion and advocacy.
That new World War II message needs to be taken up by political leaders who claim
a climate commitment, and all groups working in the climate arena. At this
point, just about the only major U.S. group focusing the message is </span><a href="http://www.theclimatemobilization.org/"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The Climate Mobilization</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Everyone
should study TCM’s approach. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">DEAR JAY . . . <o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Now let me
address some words to Jay Inslee personally. I have known you for more than 15
years, maybe better than any politician in my life. I know you have more
understanding of the climate challenge than probably at least 95% of
politicians.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We have traded clean energy
economy ideas.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>You even told me how you
challenged the President of the United States to a basketball game, and how
Obama played.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In being critical of you,
I have heard back from people close to you how you are doing the best you can
in difficult situations. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>On a human
level, I confess a level of personal pain in all of this.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Though others might, I do not doubt your
sincerity. But your policy directions have left me with many questions, particularly
about the level of advice you are receiving. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Consider the
political optics of the “greenest governor” going against the climate kids.
They are simply horrible.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They undermine
your credibility with a green constituency that you need for reelection.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Among the grassroots progressive and
environmental constituencies I touch nowadays, there is a lot of skepticism
about your “greenest governor” credentials.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>They have been undermined by your support for gigantic methanol refineries
in Tacoma and Kalama fed by fracked natural gas, with questionable carbon
reductions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>And by allowing oil train
terminals to go in three refineries without environmental review, before a
citizen uprising gained such review for the proposed Shell Anacortes refinery terminal.
<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Your support of a massive $9 billion
highway construction package did not help much either. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">And you
have not yet called for a moratorium on oil trains running through Washington.
In sharp contrast </span><a href="http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2016/06/oregon_calls_for_indefinite_mo.html"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Oregon Gov. Kate Brown</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> just made that call following the
fiery oil train derailment in Mosier on the Oregon side of the Columbia Gorge
June 3.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>If anything, Washington has more
to lose.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Explosive oil trains run some
distance from downtown Portland, but in a tunnel under the Seattle downtown
core.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>An explosion in the city would be
utterly catastrophic.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In an
email sent this week you acknowledged that the Mosier explosion was “yet
another reminder of the dangers that oil trains pose to our communities. We
need stronger protections for our residents in Washington state.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The Take Action box has the headline, “Get
dangerous oil trains off our tracks.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>But the<span style="color: #4b4e4b;"> </span></span><a href="http://www.jayinslee.com/action/stop-oil-trains?utm_source=sp9085974&utm_medium=email&sc=sp9085974&refcode=sp9085974&ta=0"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">button</span></a><span style="color: #4b4e4b; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">goes to a petition that only calls
for “stronger safety standards.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>You
have thus bought into the argument that there is such a thing as a safe oil
train.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In fact, no level of standards
could make the inherently dangerous animal that is the unit oil train safe. The
Oregon crash was the result of a broken bolt that might well have been
invisible to inspectors, rendering any train improvements moot. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">While many people in the Washington climate community with whom
I have worked in the past will be inside the Washington State Convention Center
tomorrow night for your fundraiser with President Obama, I will be </span><a href="https://www.facebook.com/events/967523880026822/"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">on the outside</span></a><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> with members of the climate grassroots.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We will be demanding you ask for an oil train
moratorium, as well as that you order the youth lawsuit appeal dropped.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In other words, we really want you to live up
to your “greenest governor” title.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">I really wish I could go back to the old days when I was one of
your unabashed supporters.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But your
positions on carbon-intensive fossil and transport infrastructure have undermined
that. And going crosswise of the climate kids, the real climate leaders of
Washington state, has left me deeply disappointed.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>To really look our kids in the face we need
to stand up for their world.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That means
accepting science-based carbon limits, using every legal pathway at our disposal,
and pushing for all the policies needed to reach them.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Just going in the right direction is not enough. Our test will
be in what ultimately happens to our children’s world.</span><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">That is the test you face now, as Governor of
the State of Washington. </span><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Please step up
now as a climate leader, stand with the kids, and put the state on the pathway
to 350ppm. We’re just one state, but we need to pick up our share of the
load.</span><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Help mobilize us to do it. The science
and our children’s world demand nothing less. </span><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><br />
<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">KEYWORDS: WASHINGTON STATE, GOV. JAY INSLEE, CLIMATE POLICY, CLIMATE CHANGE, CLIMATE DISRUPTION, GLOBAL WARMING, JAMES HANSEN, OUR CHILDREN'S TRUST, ATMOSPHERIC TRUST LAWSUITS</span></div>
Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com14tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-834404198545917032016-06-15T10:33:00.000-07:002016-06-15T10:35:58.318-07:00A brother’s tragic passing: Facing death in life<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Death came
to my family’s door in recent weeks. My brother’s son, who has experienced
psychotic episodes for years, stabbed my brother Chris to death.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Alex had just been released from a mental
hospital a month before, and stopped taking his medications.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">He always relapsed when he did this, and he
did again.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Ironically,
my brother was a psychiatric nurse who along with his wife, Pam, undertook heroic
efforts to try to help Alex.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In the end,
Chris died trying to save Alex from the demons of schizophrenia that plague his
soul.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Our family finds the loss of Chris
and the life potential of a young man who had great promise a twofold
tragedy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span></span></div>
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiu9XymqSTjgPKZaO2vK5hTwkp2M-xijsH2J0nYUnhNBNx8MuH84le7BAXI0QCdQwdJE0TTXtzZFaAIHH1zlEpWKao8pojinjTHW_hUED8-_Wm9Cchs2kVMo4i5_e0yjQdZIbDcW04IEps/s1600/Chris.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="626" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiu9XymqSTjgPKZaO2vK5hTwkp2M-xijsH2J0nYUnhNBNx8MuH84le7BAXI0QCdQwdJE0TTXtzZFaAIHH1zlEpWKao8pojinjTHW_hUED8-_Wm9Cchs2kVMo4i5_e0yjQdZIbDcW04IEps/s640/Chris.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: large;">Christopher Mazza 1958-2016 <br />"There is no death, only a change in worlds." Chief Seattle</span></b></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Having one
close family member killed by another is one of the great tragedies anyone can
face.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">And my family and I have now faced
this.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">We live in a society noted for its
denial of death, obsessed with pushing it out of mind.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Shoved hard up against the brute reality of death,
and one that was untimely and senseless, denial is not an option.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">It brings to the surface every sense of
vulnerability and mortality that normally stays buried, or which comes out as
surface anxiety about this or that life circumstance, but really in the end is
about dying.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">It has me musing a lot on
the reality of death in life, and about how we must grapple with this reality
to live life with authenticity.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The reality
of death has surrounded us lately. The day before my brother’s demise, it came
close on my Northwest home ground when a Union Pacific oil train derailed and
exploded in the Columbia Gorge, forcing evacuations in Mosier, Oregon.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Very fortunately for Mosier, only a few tanker
cars burst into flames, and no one died.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>If more had gone up, the town could have shared the fate of
Lac-Mégantic, Quebec, where an oil train exploded July 6, 2013, destroying 30
buildings and killing 47 people.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>After
the Gorge derail, Mosier Fire Chief Jim Appleton said that to continue running
these bomb trains is <a href="http://www.opb.org/news/series/oil-trains/oil-sheen-slick-found-columbia-river-mosier-train-derailment/">“insane.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></a><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In
this case, the mental illness is a virtually sociopathic pursuit of profit at
all cost, and a denial of the deaths that might come to others as a
consequence.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">A week to
the day after Chris was killed, another tragic event brought the reality of
death in life to the whole nation. <span style="color: #16191f;">As my daughter
and I left the motel to return from my brother's funeral in Pennsylvania the
next morning, CNN was blasting news of the many dead in Orlando </span>from<span style="color: #16191f;"> the lobby TV.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #16191f; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In
a Facebook post some days before, I had written, “</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">People around the world suffer
tragic and senseless losses of loved ones to violence.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>From Syria and Iraq to mass shootings in the
U.S.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Now my family has. I can’t take
away much meaning in this except to deepen my sense of compassion for those who
have suffered similar losses.” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #16191f; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">I
could not have expected such a monumental event to come so close in time, 49
dead, 53 injured, in the largest mass shooting by an individual in U.S.
history. An individual driven by hatred and derangement. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I know, in a way I would not have known before,
the deep grief and soul wounding that at least hundreds of family and friends
of the Orlando victims are feeling now. It is a feeling of darkness that burns
like a deep black fire into the depths of your soul. The loved one taken
away.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The loss you can never
replace.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The empty hole that you know can
never be completely filled.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The
experience of death in life.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #16191f; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">I
have spent many years working to address one of the largest life and death
issues ever to confront humanity, the radical climate disruption caused by
carbon pollution.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A 2012 report puts
annual deaths due to climate disruption at <a href="http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/09/27/climate-change-kills-400-000-a-year-new-report-reveals.html">400,000</a>,
from people dying in heat waves to children extinguished by hunger and
disease.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But climate can seem like a
large wonky, abstract issue and numbers are themselves abstractions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They obscure the reality of the human beings
behind them. Of a child dying in the arms of a mother wracked by despair at her
helplessness to save her dearest.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Of a
father whose absence will leave his wife and sons and daughters pitted with
sorrow. To really comprehend the large issue of climate, we need to touch those
human realities of death in life, to feel these losses as our own.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #16191f; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Death
is coming upon our world, and we cannot deny its reality.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>From the death of much of Australia’s Great
Barrier Reef and other corals around the world, along with the biodiversity
they represent, to the multitude of deaths brought by drought and heat waves searing
hundreds of millions in India.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Because
of the momentum of climate change, the losses will be greater no matter what we
do.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We will lose coastal cities to sea
level rise, from New Orleans to Venice.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Innumerable species will go extinct. Superstorms will wrack
continents.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Breadbaskets will become
dustbowls.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The wrenching reality, so
hard to face, is that now we can only contain the damage and hope to leave a
world with which our kids can at least cope.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>We must also confront the very real chance that we might not make it,
and our world will plunge into civilization-destroying catastrophe.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Somehow, pierced by the reality of a death so
close, I have found a new grace to take in the possibility of failure.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #16191f; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Much
climate denial is about denying the reality of these deaths we must face as a
world. The climate movement itself finds it difficult to grapple with these
realities or honestly communicate them. But we are late in the game, rushing
headlong into oblivion. We can no longer afford to downplay, soft-pedal or
bright side what faces us. Ourselves the products of a culture dedicated to the
denial of death, we have to summon up the courage to speak the truth and say we
have already visited the future with a legacy of death. That unless we rise to
the challenge rapidly and in a massive way, many more will die and we well might
collapse our civilization. We must confront the reality of death in life,
knowing that much will be lost, in order to save that which we can.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #16191f; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">To
come to terms with the many challenges we face, both personally and as a world,
we need a quality that my brother exemplified, that of empathy and concern for
other human beings.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>As a psychiatric
nurse, Chris did not have a glamour job, or one that was particularly high
paid.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But he dedicated his life to
helping the most troubled among us.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Many
of his fellow workers showed up on the viewing line.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They testified to how much he cared for
patients and for them.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Chris was the
glue for his state mental hospital ward and the union shop steward. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Nurses on the women’s ward the floor below described
him as their protector, the one who showed up first when they had trouble.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Some were in tears. Their grief at his
passing was real and deep.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Chris was
also was the one among our four siblings who most took care of our aging mom,
and who last summer drew the family together for the first time in over a dozen
years. I will forever prize those last times with him.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>He was one of those good, humble
human beings who put others first, the kind of human being the world needs more
of. The hundreds who showed up for his viewing and funeral were testimony to
how many lives Chris touched.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>As I said
in my words at his funeral, if I die with as many friends as Chris, I will
count my life a success.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="color: #16191f;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #16191f; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">If
there is any grace in my brother's tragic death, it is to deepen my empathy for
my fellow human beings. In the end, I don't know if we get through what we face
without that quality. Whether as individuals coping with our own personal
realities, or as a people dealing with the tragic consequences of our
time.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I will miss my brother, and take
from his life the example of caring.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A
death, even a senseless one, can have redemptive value if it makes those left
behind become better human beings.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I can
only hope that my brother’s death, the way it is making me confront the
realities of death in life, and calling me to empathy and compassion, will have that
value.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That will be a legacy of life in
the midst of death. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-37834010168542994252016-05-18T10:50:00.001-07:002016-05-18T14:48:45.440-07:00Breaking free from fossil fuels in Cascadia - The solutions path forward<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Over
the first half of May climate warriors put their bodies in the way of fossil
fueled business as usual around the world.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Break Free civil disobedience events targeted major carbon bombs on six
continents.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Here
in Cascadia a <a href="http://breakfreepnw.org/">tent city held a rail line</a> leading into the region’s largest oil
refinery complex at Anacortes, Washington for 36 hours.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In Newcastle, Australia people power disrupted the
world’s largest coal port by land and sea.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Some of the largest coal plants in Brazil and Germany, and the world’s
largest open-pit coal mine in Britain, were just some of the 20 sites around
the world where around 30,000 people stood up to say now is time to <a href="https://breakfree2016.org/?utm_medium=email">break free</a> from coal,
oil and gas, and the carbon pollution disrupting weather patterns across the
planet.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>An off-the-charts <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/may/16/april-third-month-in-row-to-break-global-temperature-records">April
temperature spike</a> underscored the urgency of rapid transition to clean,
renewable energy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
Break Free actions were always intended to focus this necessity, to put forward
a powerful solutions “yes" to complement the fossil fuels “no.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Now the real work begins.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Fortunately,
the solutions are with us, and already working in many places.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We can move beyond an economy based on energy
from coal, oil and gas.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We can make a
just transition to a world run on 100% renewable energy, create millions of new
jobs, and build stronger communities. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Following are eight solutions that we can
forward to break free from fossil fuels in Cascadia: </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
</div>
<ul>
<li><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">Four Solutions for
Clean Energy show how we can move to 100% renewables in electrical power,
transportation and buildings.</span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;"> </span></li>
<li><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">Four Solutions for a
Socially Just Transition line out how to move our communities beyond fossil
fuels while improving the quality of life, especially for lower-income people,
and providing new opportunities for displaced workers.</span></li>
</ul>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
solutions are given in an order, but it does not indicate a ranking. All are important and necessary.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We need to pursue all eight to meet the huge
climate and energy challenges facing us.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>We can unite a broad movement around these solutions, and create a
better world for ourselves and our children.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>It’s up to us, and the solutions are at hand.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: center;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-size: x-large;">FOUR SOLUTIONS FOR
CLEAN ENERGY</span><span style="font-size: medium;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></b></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Move to 100% clean,
renewable energy in electricity, transportation and building heating/cooling.</span></span></b></div>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiLeVzC8SwYBZjS9mmdEBNsbVu1NrzpGzAUUQYLuAsh92ODlh1ySiogBzRqKWMzCtzoJVYDoE43mlR8YaZSvQOLtqHTydd-Hk3omWKF-Q41Sf4r4p5JgdBUuRJM7Qzs8olv0YFVRUl9r6Q/s1600/BF+solutions+-+100%2525+renewables+wind-solar+image.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="271" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiLeVzC8SwYBZjS9mmdEBNsbVu1NrzpGzAUUQYLuAsh92ODlh1ySiogBzRqKWMzCtzoJVYDoE43mlR8YaZSvQOLtqHTydd-Hk3omWKF-Q41Sf4r4p5JgdBUuRJM7Qzs8olv0YFVRUl9r6Q/s400/BF+solutions+-+100%2525+renewables+wind-solar+image.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "arial"; text-align: start;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;">We can run the world 100% on renewable energy largely by expanding wind and solar energy.</span></b></span></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">An
avalanche of studies points the way to a world run on 100% renewable energy,
largely by building up wind and solar energy. The studies show how to reach
100% in all sectors – electricity, transportation, and heating/cooling.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Most prominent are roadmaps for 139 countries
and 50 U.S. states done by Stanford’s <a href="http://thesolutionsproject.org/">Mark
Jacobson</a> and his team, and the <a href="http://www.greenpeace.org/international/en/campaigns/climate-change/energyrevolution/">Energy
Revolution</a> series done by Greenpeace.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>There are <a href="http://cleantechnica.com/70-80-99-9-100-renewables-study-central/">many
others</a>. The Jacobson team uses a 2050 target date for 100%, but says 2030
is feasible if we overcome political and economic hurdles. The emergence of
severe climate disruption across the planet calls for achieving the 100%
transition as soon as possible.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That
will likely take a <a href="http://www.theclimatemobilization.org/">climate
mobilization</a> with a scale of unified effort not seen since World War
II.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="color: #420178;"><a href="http://www.greenpeace.org/international/Global/international/briefings/climate/COP21/The%20solution%20to%20the%20climate%20crisis.pdf">Nations</a></span> are acting. Costa Rica plans to reach
100% renewable electricity this year, and Scotland by 2020. Denmark has
targeted 100% in electricity, heating and cooling by 2030, and to end all
fossil fuel burning by 2050. <a href="http://cleantechnica.com/2016/02/25/sri-lanka-targets-100-renewable-energy-share-2030/"><span style="color: #420178;">Sri Lanka</span></a> aims for 100% renewable electricity
by 2030. <a href="http://ecowatch.com/2015/06/11/hawaii-renewable-energy-standard/"><span style="color: #420178;">Hawaii</span></a> is the first U.S. state to enact a 100%
renewable electricity standard, with a 2045 goal. <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/apr/10/vancouver-commits-to-run-on-100-renewable-energy"><span style="color: #420178;">Some 50 cities</span></a> including <a href="https://weather.com/science/environment/news/clean-energy-cities"><span style="color: #420178;">15 in the U.S</span></a>. have made a 100% commitment including
San Diego, San Francisco, San Jose, Copenhagen, Sydney, Frankfurt, Munich and
Vancouver, B.C. Some cover only electricity, while others sweep in all
sectors. <a href="http://ecowatch.com/2015/11/19/cities-100-renewable-energy/#slide1"><span style="color: #420178;">Four U.S. cities</span></a> now draw 100% of their
electricity from renewables, as do <a href="http://www.greenpeace.org/international/Global/international/briefings/climate/COP21/The%20solution%20to%20the%20climate%20crisis.pdf"><span style="color: #420178;">74 German localities</span>.</a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The Northwest
is already the most renewable-powered region in the U.S., with hydropower and
growing wind generation.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>With a regional
commitment for rapid transition to wind and solar we could rapidly phase out
coal and natural gas power plants, as well as eliminate hydropower dams on the
Snake River that endanger some of the region’s most important salmon runs. Some
Northwest utilities want to replace coal power with natural gas.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We can’t let that happen, and must insist
that any new power plants are renewable.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="color: #10131a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Sierra Club officially launched its </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.sierraclub.org/ready-for-100">Ready for 100</a><span style="color: #10131a;"> campaign in </span><a href="http://content.sierraclub.org/press-releases/2016/01/sierra-club-launches-new-national-campaign-100-clean-energy">January</a><span style="color: #10131a;"> to forward coal replacement with renewables.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><a href="http://www.environmentamerica.org/programs/ame/100-renewable-energy">Environment
America</a><span style="color: #10131a;"> is also forwarding the 100% message. </span><a href="http://350.org/campaigns/">350.org</a> is making 100% a central part of
the Break Free actions. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">A 100%
renewables energy base provides new opportunities to empower communities.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Instead of being dependent on fossil fuels
imported from other regions or countries, we can use natural energies available
in our own communities and region, sunlight and gusting winds.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Money that would have flowed to giant fossil
fuel companies can instead continue to circulate locally and regionally.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>New options open for local and community
ownership of energy generation.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>One option
is <a href="http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy11osti/49930.pdf">community solar</a>,
local solar arrays capable of feeding a number of homes and businesses, which
allow community members to buy a share for a modest sum.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><a href="http://www.seattle.gov/light/solarenergy/commsolar.asp">Seattle City
Light</a> has a community solar program.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><a href="http://350seattle.org/sustainable-solutions/">350 Seattle</a>
is exploring ways to make community solar options more available, particularly
to low-income people.</span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Transform buildings
for efficiency and clean energy</span><span style="font-size: medium;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></b></div>
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<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhYuKiB00o31Q1kTKPhUNuXwt97weY7zx1GrEzdZWogRWa0eN0At6DgMHCxnK2yaU9BzYZHGndi0pELVpKdyyO-gZyduZcnlO5V1aI3qYeyPZ4u4JXQdxD1bmlstFwLAX4RcfhTzjoT3kM/s1600/BF+solutions+-+building+energy+efficiency.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="227" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhYuKiB00o31Q1kTKPhUNuXwt97weY7zx1GrEzdZWogRWa0eN0At6DgMHCxnK2yaU9BzYZHGndi0pELVpKdyyO-gZyduZcnlO5V1aI3qYeyPZ4u4JXQdxD1bmlstFwLAX4RcfhTzjoT3kM/s400/BF+solutions+-+building+energy+efficiency.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; text-align: start;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;">Seattle’s Bullitt Center is a highly efficient zero energy building that actually produces more energy than it uses.</span></b></span></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Since
the Northwest began focusing on electrical energy efficiency in buildings and
equipment in 1978 it has saved five Seattle’s worth of electricity, or over
four times the generating capacity of the Transalta Centralia coal-fired power
plant, the </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="https://www.nwcouncil.org/energy/energy-efficiency/home/">Northwest Power
and Conservation Council</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> reports. That makes
efficiency the region’s second largest power source after hydropower.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The Council projects that energy efficiency
investments will keep power demand from growing at all through 2030. But
Northwest coal and gas power generation still pours 53 million tons of carbon
dioxide into the air annually.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We need
to actively reduce power demand and shift buildings to clean energy such as
solar panels and electric heat pumps powered by renewable energy. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Our
best opportunity to begin cutting power demand, as well as oil and gas use in
building heating/cooling, is with </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.rmi.org/deep_retrofit_value_guide_for_investors">deep energy
retrofits</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>These achieve far greater efficiency than typical “low hanging fruit”
retrofits done on 2-3 years payback period. Longer payback times will require
dedicated sources of funding including grants and low-interest loans.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>These can come from carbon revenues, patient
investors with social responsibility objectives, and </span><a href="http://www.publicbankinginstitute.org/">public banking</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">, such as is being forwarded in</span><a href="http://www.seattlepublicbanking.org/"> Seattle</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">.
<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Low-income housing should receive priority
for building retrofits. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">We
also need building codes upgraded to make all new buildings </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://architecture2030.org/2030-districts-expanding/">zero-energy by
2030</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> or earlier, requiring highly-efficient
buildings that produce as much energy as they use. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Seattle’s </span><a href="http://www.bullittcenter.org/">Bullitt Center</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">
is a world-leading example of a zero-energy building, actually producing more
energy than it uses. San Francisco just became the first major U.S. city to </span><a href="http://ecowatch.com/2016/04/20/san-francisco-solar/">require solar panels</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> on all new buildings under 10 stories. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.nwenergy.org/">Northwest Energy Coalition</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> promotes improved energy efficiency policies. </span><a href="http://solarwa.org/">Solar Washington</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> and </span><a href="http://www.washpirg.org/sites/pirg/files/cpn/USN-050516-A1/index.html">WashPIRG</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> work for policies to support solar.</span></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Electrify cars and
light trucks, and build up car sharing</span><span style="font-size: medium;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></b></div>
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<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1g25Nmx42B5gPmc7UARUAJBbAd0wfj9_HbflJ2vxB8dxf5GG8pjqS1xbxGBdzYcNh2jfBIHssTm6dZk_01192rSMvsfdkzLx53DkMAZSs7sud4nWsMB3A9j-WrTAhXBdBn_X73pk_bDM/s1600/BF+solutions+-+EV2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1g25Nmx42B5gPmc7UARUAJBbAd0wfj9_HbflJ2vxB8dxf5GG8pjqS1xbxGBdzYcNh2jfBIHssTm6dZk_01192rSMvsfdkzLx53DkMAZSs7sud4nWsMB3A9j-WrTAhXBdBn_X73pk_bDM/s400/BF+solutions+-+EV2.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b style="text-align: start;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-size: x-small;">Electric vehicles, still a small sliver of the market, are expected to become cheaper to own and operate than gasoline cars in just a few years. </span></span></b></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">While almost all fossil fuel electricity in
the U.S. comes from coal and gas, U.S transportation runs </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://needtoknow.nas.edu/energy/energy-use/transportation/"><span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">86% on oil-based
fuels</span></a><span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Transportation is the source
of the</span><a href="https://www.epa.gov/greenvehicles/fast-facts-transportation-greenhouse-gas-emissions"><span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;"> 27% of greenhouse
gas emissions</span></a><span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;"> </span><span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">(GHGs), and the vast
bulk of that comes from oil.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic;">Cars,
and light-duty trucks are responsible for around 60% of transportation GHGs.
They can also be readily electrified. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In
states with cleaner power supplies such as Oregon and Washington EVs are </span></span><a href="http://www.climatecentral.org/news/a-roadmap-to-climate-friendly-cars-2013-16318"><span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">already the
cleanest</span></a><span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;"> option. (Hybrids are still best in coal-heavy states.) </span>With a
100% renewable power supply, we can zero out GHGs from electrified cars and
light trucks.<span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">U.S. electric vehicle (EV) sales more than
doubled to nearly 120,000 in 2014, from 53,000 in 2012, and 2015 sales remained
near 2014’s at 116,000 despite low oil prices. The </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://insideevs.com/monthly-plug-in-sales-scorecard"><span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">pace continued
steady</span></a><span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;"> in 2016 with nearly 28,000 in the first three months. Growth is
expected with new offerings and major initiatives by automakers including Tesla
and General Motors that lower costs and extend ranges, overcoming the prime
obstacles to market growth.</span> EVs to this point have mostly been purchased
by upscale people, but are on their way to beating gas-powered cars for
price.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Bloomberg New Energy Finance <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/features/2016-ev-oil-crisis/">recently predicted</a>
the tipping point by sometime in the 2020s, perhaps as early as 2022, and
projected that EV’s could account for one-third of auto sales by 2040.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
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<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">But we need
to go faster to recover and stabilize our disrupted climate. We can accelerate
EV growth with improved incentives for EV purchases and low-interest loans to
buy them. Much work is needed on the regional scale to make EV ownership and charging
practical, such as for residents of multifamily housing.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A recent Northwest Energy Coalition <a href="http://www.nwenergy.org/data/Exec-Sum-Pull-Out-1-27-2016.pdf">report</a>
lined out key steps. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">An even
better option than ownership is car sharing.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>People who shift from ownership to sharing typically <a href="http://www.vtpi.org/wwclimate.pdf">cut their driving miles 30-60%.</a> The
option is growing around the world, including Northwest cities.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Numbers are still small, around 1% of cars on
the road in the region’s urban areas at any one time, but up to 5% in denser
neighborhoods, <a href="http://www.sightline.org/2016/05/10/and-the-most-car-sharing-city-in-cascadia-is/">Sightline
Institute</a> reports.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Since most
car-share trips are local, this option meshes well with electrification when
good charging spots are available.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Though
Northwest car shares still use gasoline vehicles, companies such as Car2Go
offer EV options in Europe.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></div>
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<div class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: center;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Electrify buses and
trains, and rebuild rail</span></span></b></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
</div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;">Around
the world nearly one-quarter of rail mileage is electrified. With a public-led effort rail electrification
can come to the U.S.</span></b></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Buses
and trains mostly run on diesel now, but electricity is a well-established
alternative, and new options are opening. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Electric
trolleybuses that draw energy from overhead wires are a familiar sight in
cities such as Seattle, where a clean power supply makes them a genuinely
low-carbon transportation mode.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Now
rapidly dropping battery prices spurred by the growing market for EVs are
spilling over into city buses.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Heavy-duty electric buses propelled by batteries are reaching
service.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Washington state in 2015 signed
a contract with Proterra through which Northwest transit agencies could buy </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.proterra.com/proterra-selected-in-major-electric-bus-contract-by-washington-state-department-of-transportation/">up
to 800 electric buses</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> over the next five years.
</span><a href="http://insideevs.com/proterra-catalyst-electric-bus-completes-reliability-test-by-king-county-metro/">King
County</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> plans to use the buses and recently
completed a rigorous test that demonstrated they are fully capable of replacing
diesel equivalents.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Most
urban transit rail in the U.S. is already electrified, such as light rail in
Portland and Seattle.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Around the world
much freight and interurban passenger rail also runs on electricity. </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Around a <a href="https://www.sci.de/fileadmin/user_upload/presse/pdf_downloads/Press_Release_Railway_Electrification.pdf">quarter
of the world’s rail lines</a> are electrified.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Western Europe leads with 53% of lines propelled by electricity, while
North America trails with 1%. <span style="color: #1a1a1a;">While electrified rail is cheaper to operate,
upfront costs of electrification are huge. Most world railroads are publicly
owned, so they can access the public capital needed to accomplish the task.
U.S. railroads are largely privately owned, so they have difficulties making
the investment.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.solutionaryrail.org/">Solutionary Rail</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> is a proposal developed by </span><a href="http://backbonecampaign.org/">Backbone Campaign</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> to create a multi-state Steel Interstate Development Authority that
could partner with railroads to raise low-cost public capital and build
publicly owned electrification infrastructure run on renewable energy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A campaign of electrification and track
modernization would bring the speed and reliable service that railroads need to
attract freight from trucks and passengers from highways and aviation.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The effort would provide a </span><a href="http://breakfreepnw.org/2016/05/09/solutionary-rail/">just transition</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> for workers in rail and energy industries. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: center;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-size: x-large;">FOUR SOLUTIONS FOR A SOCIALLY
JUST TRANSITION</span><span style="font-size: medium;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></b></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Build up transit
options, and make them affordable</span></span></b></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgquta-KD29RGoKKMYLxZw3dUJLw9kXJfPiXpyXtJMCcRuxYDkV4-0RNuHSevTHpo5td5hXDna9oef6So7OgZGCskFzxyQK4cALTYQjzq_ZoSru09jv2RnWp0LmEhifQpHCCT4QXWC3OZg/s1600/BF+solutions+-+Build+up+trasnit.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="217" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgquta-KD29RGoKKMYLxZw3dUJLw9kXJfPiXpyXtJMCcRuxYDkV4-0RNuHSevTHpo5td5hXDna9oef6So7OgZGCskFzxyQK4cALTYQjzq_ZoSru09jv2RnWp0LmEhifQpHCCT4QXWC3OZg/s400/BF+solutions+-+Build+up+trasnit.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; text-align: start;">Bus Rapid Transit with its own dedicated lanes is a growing option coming to King County and elsewhere.</span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; text-align: start;"> </span></span></b></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Even
if all personal vehicles were electrified, traffic would still clog our
communities and degrade the quality of life, and continue the demand for
natural resources needed to make vehicles. That will be as true of self-driving
vehicles expected in coming years as it is of today’s cars. The best
transportation option is to make a car-free life possible, and high-quality
public transit is key to that.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>For
lower- and middle-income people increasingly stressed by the cost of
maintaining a personal car, improved transit is crucial.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
best transit systems have several key characteristics. Transit stops are within
a quarter-mile from homes and destinations.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Service is frequent, every 10 minutes or so on well-travelled
routes.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>And coverage is widespread. Railed
options including light-rail and street trolleys are increasing.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But sometimes just improving bus service is
the quickest and most economical way to build up transit.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Express bus service and Bus Rapid Transit
lanes are coming to cities including Seattle.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Victoria Transportation Policy Institute offers a guide on how to make </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.vtpi.org/tdm/tdm47.htm">Public Transit Improvements</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Transit
service should be affordable, particularly for low-income people.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In Seattle the </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="https://transitriders.org/">Transit Riders
Union</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> has successfully gained </span><a href="http://metro.kingcounty.gov/programs-projects/orca-lift/">low-income
fares</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>TRU
provides a climate justice framework for building up transit: “</span><span style="color: #343434;">every human being has a right to safe, reliable,
affordable, and accessible public transit . . . for the future of humanity and
of the planet, we must move beyond the car- and fossil fuel-based economy . . .
the public transit system must be expanded and improved, not merely preserved.”
<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #343434; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">TRU
adds, “We want high-capacity rapid transit, including buses and rail – but not
at the cost of cutting off those who need public transit the most,” and maintains
“that public transit must be paid for by corporations and the wealthiest
section of the population, not by further squeezing poor and working people.”</span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Create compact
communities with affordable housing</span><span style="font-size: medium;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></b></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhneRSO0dhPR9jH8WtnjX3MuiGEPwgrEVf3cHj0XvPWiG5b6gOcqMtXIL1tebQ0HXMM1oimx8YO2U2Gp7zvh_urcGKQjG-SRDuUKm1zoWxK4_Z_KSQ6EQwyr7IoD7KndrkrN0tLJ3Zptsk/s1600/BF+solutions+-+Affordable+Housing.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="265" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhneRSO0dhPR9jH8WtnjX3MuiGEPwgrEVf3cHj0XvPWiG5b6gOcqMtXIL1tebQ0HXMM1oimx8YO2U2Gp7zvh_urcGKQjG-SRDuUKm1zoWxK4_Z_KSQ6EQwyr7IoD7KndrkrN0tLJ3Zptsk/s400/BF+solutions+-+Affordable+Housing.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><div class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: center;">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;">Transit-oriented development must include affordable housing, such as in this plan done by Capitol Hill Housing for development around Sound Transit's Capitol Hill Light-Rail Station in Seattle.</span></b></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: start;">
<div style="text-align: left;">
</div>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: start;">
<div style="text-align: left;">
<br /></div>
</div>
</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">To break free from oil we need communities that reduce the need to travel. Instead of spread-out sprawl where homes, workplaces, shopping and schools are segregated and far apart, we must build compact communities where homes are close to stores, work and other destinations.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">This really is all about returning to the traditional neighborhood pattern that prevailed before suburbanization.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Compact communities are places where walking is easy, biking provides a great option and transit is convenient.</span> </span><br />
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Transit works best at a </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.vtpi.org/tdm/tdm45.htm">certain level of density</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A line with 20
buses per day should have 4 dwelling units per acre near stops, and one with
40, 7 units. Light rail should have 5-9 units per acre within walking distance
of stops.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Thus it is important when
expanding service to focus first on denser areas, and to plan transit-oriented
development (TOD) to build up compact communities around rail stations. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">TOD
is a key element of transit plans in Northwest cities including Portland and
Seattle.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But unless it is done with
social justice at the forefront, TOD will increase trends toward urban
gentrification.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Ironically this will
push low-income communities that use transit the most to outer areas less
served by transit, making people who can afford a car drive more. </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.pugetsoundsage.org/downloads/TOD%20that%20is%20Healthy,%20Green%20and%20Just.pdf">Puget
Sound Sage</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> foresees this danger in South
Seattle and has lined out a series of steps to incorporate justice
concerns.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">A
</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://gotgreenseattle.org/2016/03/08/our-people-our-power-our-planet-community-led-research-in-south-seattle/">recent
report</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> from Puget Sound Sage and Got Green
lined out one of the most important steps – community control of land.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>These two Seattle climate justice groups call
on the city to establish strong goals for community control through land trusts,
non-profit housing development and local ownership of cultural anchors and
businesses.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Sound Transit, already
obligated to devote 80% if surplus land around stations to affordable housing,
should do so through community-based organizations, the groups say.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: center;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Create a comprehensive
bicycle network</span><span style="font-size: medium;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></b></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: center;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></span></b></div>
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhLofbnxQ0N_4TwHap9aUm4uPtu4E6ZH3_3NKf_cGmIkVGMPApSZIm01IbhH8U7KqC9Sx2Fp2VpvitOv8g8YexeCyPq1vk-JTF8IE6aA5icqBPgL1W1wrvWOf7eL6R-mGz_15Cf8tMLQgM/s1600/tilikum-bridge-portland-TRIMET-03.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="280" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhLofbnxQ0N_4TwHap9aUm4uPtu4E6ZH3_3NKf_cGmIkVGMPApSZIm01IbhH8U7KqC9Sx2Fp2VpvitOv8g8YexeCyPq1vk-JTF8IE6aA5icqBPgL1W1wrvWOf7eL6R-mGz_15Cf8tMLQgM/s400/tilikum-bridge-portland-TRIMET-03.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; text-align: start;">Portland’s new Tilikum Crossing, the largest car-free bridge in the world, provides separate lanes for bicyclists.</span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; text-align: start;"> </span></span></b></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Bicycling
is one of the best alternatives to driving.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>But bicycling in U.S. cities, where auto and bike traffic commonly mix
on the same streets, poses risks to life and limb.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>While Portland and Seattle </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.outsideonline.com/1930411/10-best-bike-cities-north-america">rank
high</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> among U.S. cities for bike-friendliness,
and have extensive have bike networks, lanes still are mostly not physically
separated other traffic.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.wired.com/2015/06/copenhagenize-worlds-most-bike-friendly-cities/">two
best biking cities</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> in the world, Copenhagen and
Amsterdam, are distinguished by extensive, separated lane networks reserved for
biking use - no cars and no pedestrians.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Copenhagen is building new bike-only bridges, and saw the bicycle share
of transportation climb from 36% in 2012 to 45% in 2014. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Also important are bike racks and other
facilities that let people park their bikes at destinations. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Seattle
and Portland are starting to create some separated lanes.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Portland’s recently opened Tilikum Crossing
is the </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="https://www.portlandoregon.gov/transportation/68548">largest car free
bridge</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> in the U.S.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It is reserved for bikes, pedestrians and
railed transit. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In
Washington state, </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://wabikes.org/">Washington Bikes</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> and </span><a href="https://www.cascade.org/">Cascade Bicycle Club</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">
recently merged to create the </span><a href="http://www.seattlebikeblog.com/tag/bicycle-alliance-of-washington/">largest
bicycle advocacy group</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> in the U.S.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In Oregon bicycle advocacy is led by the </span><a href="https://btaoregon.org/">Bicycle Transportation Alliance</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> and </span><a href="http://bikeportland.org/">Bike
Portland</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Provide a just
transition for displaced workers</span><span style="font-size: medium;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></b></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></span></b></div>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEitrb7WZx5yZOWm3vt3s1xhyYwdZL2jD-rcLs4p-XC4cMzACO4Nf25PDvdTHMqKgIk6nXBKBUq4mEPJY-m8zDlDWua7du0u6tAilUmk3l41Tr0MvOwi66dLIYuuoudfoxBrwxQE8ZRELdI/s1600/BF+solutions+-+Just+Transition.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="227" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEitrb7WZx5yZOWm3vt3s1xhyYwdZL2jD-rcLs4p-XC4cMzACO4Nf25PDvdTHMqKgIk6nXBKBUq4mEPJY-m8zDlDWua7du0u6tAilUmk3l41Tr0MvOwi66dLIYuuoudfoxBrwxQE8ZRELdI/s400/BF+solutions+-+Just+Transition.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "arial"; text-align: start;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;">A mobilization to rapidly move from fossil fuels to clean energy will create millions of jobs in fields including energy efficiency retrofits, solar, wind and transit.</span></b></span></td></tr>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In
the transition to an economy run on renewable energy, many jobs will be lost,
but more will be created.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The Mark
Jacobson team’s </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="https://web.stanford.edu/group/efmh/jacobson/Articles/I/USStatesWWS.pdf">scenarios</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> for 100% renewable energy in the U.S. project 3.9 million
conventional energy jobs eliminated, but 5.9 million new energy jobs
created.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The challenge will be to make
sure that workers who have lost jobs are provided opportunities for new work of
equal quality.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The fact is that fossil
industry jobs tend to be unionized and well-paid, while most of the emerging
wind and solar industries are non-union.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Many skills are also not easily transferrable.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In the 1990s labor leader Tony Mazzochi proposed a </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.labor4sustainability.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/1115brecher.pdf">Superfund
for Workers</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;"> that would enable a just transition.
Generally, just transition strategies include 3-4 years of full pay and
benefits for displaced workers, 4 years of support for retraining including
tuition, and full pensions with good health care for those who opt for
retirement.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Other just transition
policies could include a preference for displaced workers in public sector
hiring, and in new clean technology industries that gain public support.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">A World War II-scale mobilization to rapidly move from fossil
fuels will accelerate job creation in a number of sectors.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>An emphasis on transit will create many new
jobs, as will construction of affordable housing and a program of mass building
retrofits.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The United Steel Workers, in
the union’s 2014 </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.usw.org/convention/resolutions/resolution-no-24-economic-and-environmental-sustainability">Just
Transition resolution</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">, said, “</span>a clean
energy job is any job that helps our nations achieve our goals of reducing
greenhouse gas emissions and protecting our environment.” By that measure, if
we set the right priorities to protect and restore our climate, clean energy
job opportunities will be broad.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">It is clear that if the “jobs vs. the environment” narrative is
allowed to prevail in the debate over how to transition from fossil fuels, no
one will win.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Workers must have
confidence that people and organizations advocating a clean energy future have
their back and are including workers in this future. That means
pushing for good-paid union jobs and a full package of transition support. </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The <a href="http://www.ourpowercampaign.org/campaign/">Our Power</a> campaign works
for just transition. The Blue-Green Alliance draws together labor and
environmentalists across the country, including in <a href="http://www.bluegreenalliance.org/work/states/washington">Washington</a>
and <a href="http://www.bluegreenalliance.org/work/states/oregon/bga-in-oregon">Oregon</a>.<o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">TOPICS: CLIMATE, CLIMATE CHANGE, CLIMATE DISRUPTION, BREAK FREE, FOSSIL FUELS, CLEAN ENERGY, RENEWABLES, 100% RENEWABLES, ENERGY EFFICIENCY, ZERO-ENERGY BUILDINGS, ELECTRIFIED TRANSPORTATION, ELECTRIC VEHICLES, ELECTRIC BUSES, ELECTRIFIED RAIL, TRANSIT, AFFORDABLE HOUSING, TRANSIT ORIENTED DEVELOPMENT, BICYCLES, JUST TRANSITION</span></div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-20085496438137258172016-04-17T12:54:00.000-07:002016-04-18T15:51:34.184-07:00Out of time on Planet Earth - Climate "World War II" needed<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">We are out
of time on Planet Earth.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In the
three months since the <a href="http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2015/cop21/eng/l09r01.pdf">Paris climate
summit</a> declared a 1.5° C global warming target to hold climate disruption dangers in check, rapidly escalating world temperatures came
within a hair’s breadth.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The average
for the January-March timeframe was 1.47°C above the 1890s, the baseline before
mass fossil fuel burning began to significantly heat the planet, the <a href="http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/gwp/temp/feb_wld.html">Japan
Meteorological Agency</a> reported. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> For the first time in the historical record the planet has neared or crossed the agreed danger threshold for three months in a row. </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Never has radical
climate disruption caused by fossil fuel pollution been so visible.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Besides the temperature spike, the Arctic is raising red flags.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>An <a href="http://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2016/2016-arctic-sea-ice-wintertime-extent-hits-another-record-low">Arctic
Ocean ice pack</a> at record lows could be setting up a record melt
season.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The <a href="http://www.climatecentral.org/news/greenlands-melt-season-started-nearly-two-months-early-20237">Greenland
ice melt</a> season started around a week ago, nearly a month ahead the previously
recorded start and two months before normal.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Whether this
is a temporary spike or a jump to a new climate state, the message is
clear.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We have used up all time or space
for anything but the most urgent actions to eliminate the carbon pollution that is twisting the climate.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We need a people power upsurge to demand immediate, deep reductions in
fossil fuel burning and pollution. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That
is the goal of <a href="https://breakfree2016.org/">Break Free</a>, a worldwide
popular mobilization in May aiming for the greatest wave of direct actions
against the fossil fuel industry in history.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>The <a href="http://breakfreepnw.org/">Pacific Northwest action</a>
targets refineries in Anacortes, Washington, source of nearly half the vehicle
fuels used in the region.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Here are
three key demands people power must make:<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Rapidly move to 100% renewable power</span></b><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> – Dramatically expand wind and
solar energy production. Modernize the grid so it can transmit variable sun and
wind energies between different regions. Shut down coal and gas power plants as
quickly as possible.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Electrify transportation</span></b><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> – Quickly build out a comprehensive
network of electrified mass transit, including buses, urban rail systems and
interurban rail. Ban production of oil-powered cars. Amp up production of
electric vehicles to make them affordable to ordinary people.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Make buildings efficient and clean </span></b><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">– Commence a program of universal
building energy efficiency retrofits.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Switch out fossil fuel powered heating/cooling systems with heat pumps
run on renewable electricity, and direct solar hot water collectors</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">. Require top efficiency and renewable power in new
buildings.</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjUlFd1Ybm7JBOpeLU-dVp2MGtIZw8M5V7HpZUziZTDDtWiYEPkyeySFFfv0S6XdJ1Tzfx5aM1z5mPHB9OOTd4BQzTULP9OEvgt4KPTJV4fEmC64gI8KmD4TdVwj-lrDYe2khHCaSQuuVU/s1600/Rosie+-+Mobe.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="427" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjUlFd1Ybm7JBOpeLU-dVp2MGtIZw8M5V7HpZUziZTDDtWiYEPkyeySFFfv0S6XdJ1Tzfx5aM1z5mPHB9OOTd4BQzTULP9OEvgt4KPTJV4fEmC64gI8KmD4TdVwj-lrDYe2khHCaSQuuVU/s640/Rosie+-+Mobe.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">We cannot
rely on the market to make the changes quickly enough.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It will take public investment and
mandates.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The only way our nation and
the world will achieve these goals quickly enough is with a World War II-scale
mobilization of political will and resources.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>The U.S. has a particular responsibility to lead.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Our nation invented the power grid and mass
automobile mobility. One-quarter of human carbon pollution now in the
atmosphere came from the U.S. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The new
World War II message is quickly coming in from the climate movement’s leading
edges to the mainstream.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> One</span> group leading
the call for a climate emergency response is <a href="http://www.theclimatemobilization.org/sign_the_pledge">Climate
Mobilization</a>.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The group aims to zero
out U.S. climate-heating pollution by 2025.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Its Pledge to Mobilize asks that we, “<span style="color: #2f353e; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">Immediately commence a
social and economic mobilization to restore a climate that is safe, stable, and
supportive of human civilization</span><span style="color: #2f353e;">. This
heroic campaign shall be carried out on the scale of the
American World War II home front mobilization, and will require hard work
and shared sacrifice from all Americans.”</span><o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="color: #2f353e;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="color: #2f353e;">Climate Mobilization has called for people to take to the streets July 10 for a Climate Emergency Day of Action. More on that <a href="http://www.theclimatemobilization.org/july10_climate_mobilization_now">here</a>.</span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #2f353e; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">An <a href="http://www.theclimatemobilization.org/sanders_wins_emergency_climate_caucus_in_landslide">Iowa
Climate Emergency Caucus</a> held in conjunction with the January presidential
caucus crystallized the call.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It has now
been taken up by Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders. In his recent
Brooklyn debate with Hillary Clinton, Sanders said:<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #10131a; font-family: "helvetica"; font-size: 14pt;">“We have a global crisis. Pope
Francis reminded us that we are on a suicide course . . . We have got to stand
up and say right now, as we would if we were attacked by some military force,
we have got to move urgently and boldly . . . approach this . . .</span><span style="color: #10131a; font-family: "helvetica"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="color: #10131a; font-family: "helvetica"; font-size: 14pt;">as if we were literally at a war. You know,
in 1941, under Franklin Delano Roosevelt, we moved within three years, within
three years to rebuild our economy to defeat Nazism and Japanese imperialism.
That is exactly the kind of approach we need right now.”</span></div>
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<span style="color: #10131a; font-family: "helvetica"; font-size: 14pt;">We must do this, and we can.</span><span style="color: #10131a; font-family: "helvetica"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="color: #10131a; font-family: "helvetica"; font-size: 14pt;">Scientists tell us we must end fossil fuel
use by </span><a href="http://www.climatechangenews.com/2015/12/07/scientists-1-5c-warming-limit-means-fossil-fuel-phase-out-by-2030/" style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: 14pt;">2030
at latest</a><span style="color: #10131a; font-family: "helvetica"; font-size: 14pt;">.</span><span style="color: #10131a; font-family: "helvetica"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="color: #10131a; font-family: "helvetica"; font-size: 14pt;">A new University of
Sussex study concludes the world has the capability to </span><a href="https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2016/04/160415125641.htm" style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: 14pt;">end
fossil use for energy by 2025</a><span style="color: #10131a; font-family: "helvetica"; font-size: 14pt;">.</span></div>
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<span style="color: #10131a; font-family: "helvetica"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Climate disruption is
accelerating, but so are the ideas needed to address the challenge at the scale
it must be addressed.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The concept of
100% renewables, on the fringes even a few years ago, has now moved to the
forefront. The message was flashed on the Eiffel Tower at the Paris summit. Sierra
Club officially launched its <a href="http://www.sierraclub.org/ready-for-100">Ready
for 100</a> campaign in <a href="http://content.sierraclub.org/press-releases/2016/01/sierra-club-launches-new-national-campaign-100-clean-energy">January</a>.
<a href="http://www.environmentamerica.org/programs/ame/100-renewable-energy">Environment
America</a> is also forwarding the 100% message.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://350.org/campaigns/">350.org</a> is making 100% a central part of
the Break Free actions, putting it in the proper Post-Paris urgency framework:<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“World governments have agreed to global
action – but without a clear commitment on how and when they will transition
off of fossil fuels. The way to make that transition a reality is by organizing
to keep coal, oil and gas in the ground and accelerate the just transition to
100% renewable energy.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Just
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must be given help to transition into new occupations that pay as well.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Fortunately, there will be more jobs in new
clean energy sectors.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A <a href="https://web.stanford.edu/group/efmh/jacobson/Articles/I/USStatesWWS.pdf">plan</a>
for 100% renewables in the U.S. done by Mark Jacobson of Stanford projects that
while 3.9 million old energy jobs will be lost, 5.9 million jobs will created
in new energy sectors.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Old energy skills
are highly transferrable to the new, and displaced workers should be given
explicit preference in hiring.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Now is the
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red alert. We must respond with a people power movement calling for rapid and
just transition from fossil fuels to 100% clean, renewable energy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We can’t wait a moment longer. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br />
TOPICS: CLIMATE, CLIMATE DISRUPTION, CLIMATE CHANGE, GLOBAL WARMING, RENEWABLE ENERGY, 100% RENEWABLES, CLEAN ENERGY, CLIMATE MOBILIZATION, BERNIE SANDERS, NEW WORLD WAR II, ARCTIC</div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-21063263098322297842016-04-14T07:01:00.000-07:002016-04-17T14:11:25.884-07:00100% renewables or climate chaos? People power needed<div class="MsoNormal">
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">We now know
we can run the world 100% on clean, renewable energy. The question is whether
we can do it in time to prevent the world from plunging into full-blown climate
chaos.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">An
avalanche of studies points the way to a 100% world largely based on wind and
solar energy. They illuminate how to reach 100% in all sectors – electricity,
transportation, and heating/cooling – by 2050.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">
</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Most prominent are roadmaps for 139 countries and 50 U.S. states done by
Stanford’s </span><a href="http://thesolutionsproject.org/" style="font-family: arial; font-size: 14pt;">Mark Jacobson</a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> and his
team, and the </span><a href="http://www.greenpeace.org/international/en/campaigns/climate-change/energyrevolution/" style="font-family: arial; font-size: 14pt;">Energy
Revolution</a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> series done by Greenpeace.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">
</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">There are </span><a href="http://cleantechnica.com/70-80-99-9-100-renewables-study-central/" style="font-family: arial; font-size: 14pt;">many
others</a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">This is
more than an academic exercise. <a href="http://www.greenpeace.org/international/Global/international/briefings/climate/COP20/A-just-transition-to-100-renewable-energy.pdf">Nations</a>
are acting. Costa Rica plans to reach 100% renewable electricity this year, and
Scotland by 2020.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Denmark has targeted
100% in electricity, heating and cooling by 2030, and to end all fossil fuel burning
by 2050. <a href="http://cleantechnica.com/2016/02/25/sri-lanka-targets-100-renewable-energy-share-2030/">Sri Lanka</a> aims for 100% renewable electricity by 2030. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> <a href="http://ecowatch.com/2015/06/11/hawaii-renewable-energy-standard/">Hawaii</a> is the first U.S. state to enact a 100% renewable electricity standard, with a 2045 goal. </span><a href="http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/apr/10/vancouver-commits-to-run-on-100-renewable-energy">Some
50 cities</a> including <a href="https://weather.com/science/environment/news/clean-energy-cities">15 in
the U.S</a>. have made a 100% commitment including San Diego, San Francisco, San
Jose, Copenhagen, Sydney, Frankfurt, Munich and Vancouver, B.C.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Some cover only electricity, while others
sweep in all sectors.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><a href="http://ecowatch.com/2015/11/19/cities-100-renewable-energy/#slide1">Four
U.S. cities</a> now draw 100% of their electricity from renewables, as do <a href="http://www.greenpeace.org/international/Global/international/briefings/climate/COP20/A-just-transition-to-100-renewable-energy.pdf">74
German localities</a>. Companies aiming at 100% renewable electricity include
Google, Facebook, Apple, Nike, Starbucks and Proctor & Gamble.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhDGHqzL8kqmdzeLG-14sJB4z_xESP_hsynvpkFqnMGw0fY0CReW78aIvGgYNvOErkJKiVKPJMdbcuTQ4JHUz0bIONblsBzR4NGfEiNWh3dQweK4rRsE1u6BucyWvhckNvZ454ykGucTaA/s1600/solar+rally+2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="426" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhDGHqzL8kqmdzeLG-14sJB4z_xESP_hsynvpkFqnMGw0fY0CReW78aIvGgYNvOErkJKiVKPJMdbcuTQ4JHUz0bIONblsBzR4NGfEiNWh3dQweK4rRsE1u6BucyWvhckNvZ454ykGucTaA/s640/solar+rally+2.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">A 100%
renewable world is possible. The big question is - Can we achieve it fast
enough to avert a complete climate meltdown?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Because oil companies <a href="http://insideclimatenews.org/news/13042016/climate-change-global-warming-oil-industry-radar-1960s-exxon-api-co2-fossil-fuels">systematically monkeywrenched</a> the political system
to prevent significant carbon regulation for over 25 years, we are very late in
the game.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>With carbon pollution growing
at a record rate, the world is on track for the <a href="http://skepticalscience.com/climate-best-to-worst-case-scenarios.html">worst-case
climate havoc</a>, a nature-wracking, civilization-destroying 4-5° C heat upsurge
this century. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">How fast do
we need to drop carbon pollution to get off this dead-end track? Almost
unimaginably fast.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Some would say at a
rate that is impossible. Nonetheless, we must let the best climate science set
the goalpost and work backwards from there to make the scientifically necessary
the politically feasible.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That means we
must break through the political deadlock that has stalemated real progress.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>And that calls for a people power revolution.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The upcoming <a href="https://breakfree2016.org/">Break Free</a> actions, aiming at the largest
wave of civil disobedience against the fossil fuel industry in history, are an
opening salvo.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><a href="http://breakfreepnw.org/">Northwest actions</a> are slated for the
Anacortes, Washington oil refineries May 13-15.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">So what
does the science say?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>James Hansen,
perhaps the world’s leading climate scientist, pulled together one of the most
comprehensive studies to ground the <a href="http://ourchildrenstrust.org/">Our
Children’s Trust</a> youth climate lawsuits now underway against states and the
federal government. He and his grandchildren are plaintiffs in the latter. (A <a href="http://ourchildrenstrust.org/event/740/breaking-victory-landmark-climate-case">major
victory</a> was just won in the federal suit.)<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #0b0b0b; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.reportingclimatescience.com/news-stories/article/new-hansen-paper-calls-for-drastic-measures-to-avert-dangerous-climate-change.html">Hansen
study</a><span style="color: #0b0b0b;"> says we must stop global warming in its
tracks.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>To do this we must keep total
warming to just a little over 1°C rather than the 2°C often cited or the 1.5°C
aspirational limit set at the recent Paris climate summit. That means holding
additional warming to no more than 0.4°C over today. The aim must be to reduce
carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere to 350 parts per million by
2100, the point at which the planet stops accumulating solar heat and climate
recovery can begin. They are now over 400 ppm. Says Hansen, “</span>Unless a human ‘tipping point’ is
reached soon, with implementation of effective policy actions, large
irreversible climate changes will become unavoidable.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Coast-drowning
<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/science/2016/mar/22/sea-level-rise-james-hansen-climate-change-scientist">sea
level rise</a> would be one such change, happening more rapidly than generally
expected. When temperature was around <span style="color: #0b0b0b;">1°C greater
than today, ocean levels</span> were 20-30 feet higher. Hansen says oceans
could elevate 10 feet in as little as 50 years, taking out large swathes of
cities including New York, London and Shanghai. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">But the
most deadly disruption would be acceleration of feedback loops – global warming
feeding global warming – already under way.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Super-potent heat-trapping gas methane will leak from huge Arctic sinks
at a more rapid rate. Arctic Ocean icepack that reflects 90% of solar heat back
into space will increasingly be replaced with blue water that absorbs 90%. That
will melt methane-laden permafrost and seabed ice crystals even faster.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Feedbacks will leave our children in a
nightmare world careening into climate disruption beyond any possibility of
human control<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #0b0b0b; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Hansen’s
human “tipping point” entails deep and immediate reductions in carbon
pollution. If we had started in 2013 when the study was done, 6%-per-year
carbon reductions would have been required. The curve is steeply rising. If the
world waits until 2020 required annual cuts will be 15%. </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #0b0b0b; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In 2016, it is clear we must aim for at least 10% annual carbon
reductions to recover our climate, and something like an 80% reduction in all
sectors by 2030 – 10% is the conclusion of </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.climatechangenews.com/2013/12/09/climate-targets-impossible-unless-rich-cut-emissions-10/">other
scientists</a><span style="color: #0b0b0b;"> as well. It should be noted that
Hansen’s is not even the most challenging science, nor is 2030 the most
ambitious goal. A safety margin to account for uncertainties should aim for as
close to 100% renewable energy by 2030 as we can get.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span>The Jacobson team says this is technically
doable.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The challenges are political and
economic.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="color: #0b0b0b;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">No doubt,
achieving carbon pollution cuts sufficient to leave our children with a
habitable world will take upsetting the political and economic status quo.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Coal and gas power plants must be shut down
before their economic life is complete.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>This will require mandates and not just market-tipping carbon prices.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Vast public investments must be made in wind,
solar, energy storage and a power grid capable of<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>handling variable sun and wind energies. A campaign
of universal building energy efficiency retrofits must be undertaken. This is
not just about replacing energy sources, but using far less. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Sweeping
changes must come to transportation. Virtually all road expansions must halt,
including those already scheduled – A multiplicity of <a href="http://www.vtpi.org/gentraf.pdf">studies</a> tells us traffic expands to
fill the road space available to it.<span style="color: #2e2e2e;"> We must
electrify transportation to the greatest degree possible.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But it will take more than electric cars.</span>
Electrified public transit must be built up at breakneck speed, including
buses, light rail and interurban rail. We will need comprehensive bicycle lanes separated from car traffic a la Amsterdam or Copenhagen. A <a href="http://www.theclimatemobilization.org/">climate mobilization</a> on the
scale of World War II will be required to accomplish these
transformations.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In making
the 100% renewables revolution we will have to keep our eyes on a lot of
balls.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We will have to make sure
benefits are distributed broadly, working toward an energy democracy that
promotes local and community ownership.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>We must make sure low-income people and people of color have a fair share.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We will have to ensure that displaced fossil
fuel workers gain a just transition to new occupations that pay as well.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We will have to scrutinize renewables
production and siting to make sure that workers are treated justly and
environmental impacts are minimized. We will also have to pay attention to non-fossil
carbon pollution. <span style="color: #0b0b0b;">Hansen’s prescription includes
transforming agriculture and forestry</span> to soak 100 billion tonnes of
carbon from the atmosphere.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The 100%
renewables revolution won’t be simple or easy to pull off. We must defeat the
most powerful industry on Earth, fossil fuels, and their corporate allies,
notably power utilities.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But to have a
planetary future that is not wracked by unimaginable climate chaos, one with
which our children simply cannot cope, we must undertake the revolution right
away.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We must break free from fossil
fuels with a rapid and just transition to 100% renewable energy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">TOPICS: CLIMATE, CLIMATE CHANGE, CLIMATE DISRUPTION, GLOBAL WARMING, RENEWABLES, 100% RENEWABLES, CLEAN ENERGY, JAMES HANSEN, OUR CHILDREN'S TRUST, CLIMATE JUSTICE, EXXON KNEW</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span></span></div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-78470180019065977222016-04-10T09:08:00.003-07:002016-04-14T13:42:08.891-07:00The climate hour is late – Time to rapidly Break Free from fossil fuels<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhXFjwf-3zYSVuRIjjRs3dkv98LfX7w6nefdUHMN0h5sazZtLLayfkW1meNj6vL80l-fx4o5MVuXS5Ojx5zjuFsic5V2r3gsDNd47uEfxqjueymodVoK9f3jmHwpOzLuQby7rC7r0xujA8/s1600/Fiji+woman.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="422" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhXFjwf-3zYSVuRIjjRs3dkv98LfX7w6nefdUHMN0h5sazZtLLayfkW1meNj6vL80l-fx4o5MVuXS5Ojx5zjuFsic5V2r3gsDNd47uEfxqjueymodVoK9f3jmHwpOzLuQby7rC7r0xujA8/s640/Fiji+woman.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<div>
<b>This is all that Typhoon Winston, the most powerful landfalling storm in Southern Hemisphere history, left Kalisi and her three-year-old son, Tuvosa, when it hit Fiji Feb. 20. Climate disruption created by the richest nations is hitting the poorest nations hardest. This compels us in the global North to rise up for climate justice. Photo Courtesy Reuters/Unicef-Sokhin</b></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The climate hour is late, too late for anything but the most sweeping
and fundamental efforts to break free from fossil fuels. Lying oil companies
have skewed our political system, blocking effective response for over 25
years.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Now the Earth’s climate is
severely twisting under the effects of fossil fuel carbon pollution.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Never has the disruption been more visible than
in recent months.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p>. </o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">This is the first of a series of blog posts leading up the largest
direct actions against the fossil fuel industry in history.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>From May 4-16 </span><a href="http://usa.breakfree2016.org/?source=350&utm_medium=email"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Break
Free</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">, staged by the global 350.org network and other groups, will mount
actions at six U.S. locations and in 10 other countries around the world. Civil
disobedience will play a leading role.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>That will definitely be the case for the </span><a href="http://breakfreepnw.org/"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Pacific Northwest action</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">, taking
place from May 13-15 at oil refineries in Anacortes, Washington </span><span style="background-color: white; font-family: "helveticaneue" , "helvetica neue" , "helvetica" , "arial" , "lucida grande" , sans-serif; font-size: 19px;">and organized by a broad coalition of mainly grassroots groups and collectives from around the Northwest.</span><br />
<span style="background-color: white; font-family: "helveticaneue" , "helvetica neue" , "helvetica" , "arial" , "lucida grande" , sans-serif; font-size: 19px;"><br /></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">After many years of political system failure, we can rely only on a massive
people power wave capable of making demands for fundamental and rapid system
change.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A political system corrupted by
the greatest series of corporate crimes in history leaves no other option.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Investigative journalists </span><a href="http://insideclimatenews.org/content/Exxon-The-Road-Not-Taken"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">recently
uncovered</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> how oil companies systemically lied about climate disruption, knowing
the monstrous implications of their deceits. Journalists documented that Exxon
scientists researched fossil-fuel-driven climate disruption in the 1970s and
1980s, and accurately predicted the outcomes.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>These revelations are now <a href="http://ecowatch.com/2016/03/30/climate-change-investigation-exxon/">fueling fraud investigations</a> by 20 state attorneys
general across the country.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Exxon and its cohort of oil companies knew exactly what they were doing
when in the late 1980s they began funding disinformation campaigns meant to
cast doubt on climate science and stop regulations that would have reduced
carbon pollution.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Their tragic success
already spells the death of millions of people and extinction of uncounted
species.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It is the absolutely pinnacle
example of how powerful corporate institutions driven by the imperative to
preserve profit and the value of capital assets will take our planet down if we
let them.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Thus, to break free from fossil fuels, we need to break free from the
institutional corruption that pervades our society, and prevents meaningful
progress.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>To paraphrase John Lennon, we need
to free our minds from the institutions that have held back our imagination of
what this society could be if we decided to make a world fit for our children.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Make no mistake.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Our generation
is well on the way to leaving a legacy of utter desolation. Severe climate
disruption is already upon us.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We need
to understand what this means.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Climate
is an abstract word, and that is part of the challenge in drawing people to
respond to it. Climate is in essence the pattern of wind and ocean currents
that drive weather patterns around the globe.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>It hits home in the amount and intensity of rain and snow a region
receives, or does not, as well as extremes of heat and cold, and the way they
lock in for extended periods.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Wind and
ocean currents are becoming seriously twisted.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">This is evidenced by the Pacific Ocean’s </span><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-monster-el-nino-idUSKBN0TR2BN20151208"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">third
monster El Nino</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> in 34 years, affecting weather patterns across the
Earth, and by warm winds blowing over the Arctic leaving the March 2016 maximum
<a href="http://ecowatch.com/2016/04/08/arctic-sea-ice-2016/">Arctic Ocean
icepack</a> tied for 2015 as the lowest ever recorded.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Going into melt season, this could set up
record low ice cover this summer, with expanded patches of blue water soaking
solar heat that white ice would otherwise repel into space. Heating of the
Arctic is likely slowing and stalling the </span><a href="http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2013/05/30/2064511/the-jet-stream-how-its-response-to-enhanced-arctic-warming-is-driving-more-extreme-weather/"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">jet
stream</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">, one of the world’s major weather generators, resulting in massive
deluges and snowstorms in some places, scorching heat and drought in
others.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>And, as much feared, it is now
documented that Greenland icecap meltwater is interfering with </span><a href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2015/03/whats-going-on-in-the-north-atlantic/"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">North
Atlantic currents</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> that transport warm water from the tropics.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>While the world is seeing record warmth, the
North Atlantic is witnessing record cold.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>The cold-warm contrast is already fueling more intense storms.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Underscoring the emergence of a climate emergency, scientific agencies
reported that this January and February were by far the hottest ever
recorded.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It was the </span><a href="https://weather.com/news/climate/news/record-warmest-february-global-2016"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">largest
spike</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> over average temperatures on record.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>At 1.35° Celsius, reported by NASA, it came perilously close to the
1.5°C limit set as an aspirational goal by the recent Paris climate summit, and
regarded by many scientists as an absolute limit to prevent runaway climate
catastrophe.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In fact, with
climate-twisting carbon emissions at a record, we are well on the way to a 4°C
increase as early as this century. This represents a massive crime against climate
justice.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #231f20; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“As the planet warms, climatic conditions, heat and other
weather extremes which occur once in hundreds of years, if ever, and considered
highly unusual or unprecedented today would become the ‘new climate normal’ as
we approach 4°C – a frightening world of increased risks and global
instability,” the </span><a href="http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2014/11/20/000406484_20141120090713/Rendered/PDF/927040v20WP00O0ull0Report000English.pdf"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">World
Bank</span></a><span style="color: #231f20; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> recently reported. “The consequences for development
would be severe as crop yields decline, water resources change, diseases move
into new ranges, and sea levels rise. Ending poverty, increasing global
prosperity and reducing global inequality, already difficult, will be much
harder with 2°C warming, but at 4°C there is serious doubt whether these goals
can be achieved at all.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #231f20; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The human face of this could be seen when the most powerful
storm to make landfall in Southern Hemisphere history plowed into Fiji February
20, killing 42 and destroying the homes of 62,000.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>At seven percent of the nation’s population,
that would equate to 23 million Americans being suddenly driven from their homes. Category
5 Typhoon Winston, with winds up to 185 mph, was <a href="https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/winstons-185-mph-winds-in-fiji-southern-hemispheres-strongest-storm">the
second most powerful tropical cyclone</a> to hit land in the planet’s history
after Typhoon Haiyan that devastated the Philippines in 2013.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>These storms underscore the tragic fact that
the fossil fuel consumption, mostly by the richer countries, is taking from
poor people of color what little they have. </span></div>
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<span style="color: #231f20; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><br /></span></div>
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<span style="color: #231f20; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span><span style="color: #231f20; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In the face of all this, when the world should be taking
desperate measures to reduce carbon emissions, 2015 saw </span><a href="http://www.noaa.gov/record-annual-increase-carbon-dioxide-observed-mauna-loa-2015"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">record
growth</span></a><span style="color: #231f20; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> in atmospheric carbon dioxide levels. The Titanic is
headed toward the iceberg and the captain is ordering the boilers stoked to
speed the ship toward its destination. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The climate emergency is now staring us in the face, as is the
bankruptcy of politics as usual.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We must
break free from fossil fuels, and relentlessly drive for a rapid and just
transition to 100% renewable energy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The
next post will detail how we must undertake this energy revolution, which is well within our grasp. <o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: '"arial"'; font-size: 19px;">TOPICS: CLIMATE, CLIMATE CHANGE, CLIMATE DISRUPTION, GLOBAL WARMING, CLIMATE JUSTICE, CLIMATE SCIENCE, RENEWABLES, 100% RENEWABLES, CLEAN ENERGY, BREAK FREE, EXXON KNEW</span></div>
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<o:p></o:p></div>
Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-43341614975698411632016-03-12T10:35:00.000-08:002016-03-12T10:35:31.657-08:00Rewiring Energy: The renewable power grid envisioned<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Envisage the
electrical grid 25 years in the future.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">
</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">It runs at least 90% on renewable energy, and itself runs most
transportation as well as much building heating and cooling.</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Fossil fuels are largely out of the picture
in a world powered by sun, wind, waste and water.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">This is
what Evergreen College’s Center for Sustainable Infrastructure (CSI) and its
director, Rhys Roth, have done with their latest report, </span><a href="http://evergreen.edu/sustainableinfrastructure/docs/Energy-Report-2016.pdf"><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Rewiring the Northwest’s Energy Infrastructure – A 2040 Vision</span></i></a><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></i><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The vision has a solid base. Roth
put the question, “How can the Northwest build one of the world’s most
sustainable, resilient, and affordable energy systems by 2040?” to 33 energy
influentials including regulators, analysts, utility executives, public
interest advocates and public agency leaders.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>His synthesized results were reviewed and refined by a 20-member expert
team. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">CSI was
founded in 2014 to forward a crucial paradigm shift – Infrastructure
investments lock in long-term commitments, so a long-range integrated
infrastructure strategy is needed to ensure that the most economically,
environmentally and socially productive investments are made. The center’s 2015
launch report,<i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"> </i></span><a href="http://evergreen.edu/sustainableinfrastructure/report.htm"><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Infrastructure Crisis, Sustainable Solutions: Rethinking Our
Infrastructure Investments</span></i></a><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">, lined out </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">25-year infrastructure goals in five
areas.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Energy is the first follow-on
report.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Next will be water.
Transportation, recycling and overall performance are coming. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p><br /></o:p></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifOBaUFTyYCmLyUXBSzbeb3V5co9nhQgpFIL0fktv3sw98ZiFF4oKfHIFOzk5jriB2Ec-Pj3V0KI0xhykW5VZ0lSYVUOAAI-zit6HwhgHFIipVJ3eMDqm2Ty7zgkwDCs0z044K4i2uKls/s1600/energycover.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="372" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifOBaUFTyYCmLyUXBSzbeb3V5co9nhQgpFIL0fktv3sw98ZiFF4oKfHIFOzk5jriB2Ec-Pj3V0KI0xhykW5VZ0lSYVUOAAI-zit6HwhgHFIipVJ3eMDqm2Ty7zgkwDCs0z044K4i2uKls/s640/energycover.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p><br /></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">CSI’s
approach centers on breaking down silos between infrastructure sectors in order
to achieve optimal results. The energy sector exemplifies the challenges and
opportunities of silo-busting. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1c1f; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Seismic
changes are coming to an energy system now broken into discrete silos and
little changed from a century ago,” Roth says.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1c1f; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In
the 1880s the first power grids and auto internal combustion engines were
deployed.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>By the early years of the 20<sup>th</sup>
century, Edison’s original DC grid based on small local power plants was
supplanted by George Westinghouse’s AC network of large centralized generating
stations and long distance power transmission.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Also around then, an early contest between steam, electricity and
gasoline internal combustion was settled in favor of the latter.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>By 1916, 100 years ago, the system we have
today was largely consolidated. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1c1f; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Today,
new technologies are disrupting the system, and re-opening those old
competitions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The rise of competitive
wind and solar generation creates a mix of centralized and distributed power. Microgrids
resembling Edison’s are coming into play. Electric vehicles are back, and the
production ramp-up is driving down battery costs.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That is making use of variable renewable
energies more practical overall. At the same time, new digital technologies are
infusing the entire energy system, creating a smart grid capable of
coordinating a network of many power sources with smart buildings and vehicles.
Consumers are gaining new tools to generate power and manage demand in
coordination with the grid, thus becoming players in the system.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1c1f; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Electrification
of everything is a big part of this picture.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Today </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">25% of
U.S. energy is consumed in transportation. T<span style="color: #1a1c1f;">he vast
bulk </span>comes from oil. That is changing. Not only are cars and light
trucks being electrified, but also buses and trains.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Buildings and industry represent over 40% of
U.S. energy use, and much comes from natural gas and oil. But<span style="color: #1a1c1f;"> electric-powered heat pumps are in increasingly wide
use.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Waste heat harvested from sewer
systems is also coming to the fore.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>One
non-electrified source, solar hot water, is also expected to grow in
importance. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1c1f; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
new CSI report is resonant with other studies that conclude it is practical to
move to an energy system that is 100% renewable in all sectors, or near to it,
over the next several decades.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Prominent among those is work done by Stanford engineering professor
Mark Jacobson and his team.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Their
scenarios for states and nations can be found at </span><a href="http://thesolutionsproject.org/"><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The Solutions Project</span></a><span style="color: #1a1c1f; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">For a
climate heated and roiled by fossil carbon pollution, all this is extremely
good news.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“<span style="color: black;">Climate
disruption will be a powerful driver to reduce carbon fuels and improve
infrastructure resiliency,” Roth writes.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>“Dramatic cost drops in renewables undermine the argument that a move to
low-carbon sources will drive radical cost increases.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
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<span style="color: black; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Roth
cites </span><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">numerous
other benefits including “reduced air and water pollution, improved public
health, energy price stability and affordability, a more resilient grid, a
plethora of new jobs and energy businesses, and replacement of cash-draining
energy imports.</span><span style="color: black; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The Northwest
is well positioned to lead this energy revolution.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The report quotes smart grid pioneer <span style="color: #262626;">Terry Oliver, chief innovation officer for the Bonneville
Power Administration:<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></b>“Fundamentally we’ve got the pieces in
place to go carbon-free, starting with a huge hydro system that provides some
reasonable flexibility. Our wind resource is perhaps 30% built out – there’s
still a great deal of wind potential and the very best areas haven’t been
tapped because they don’t yet have transmission. We’ve only barely begun to
adopt solar photovoltaic.”<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In
this rapidly changing vista, utilities face both threats and new
opportunities.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“</span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Without fundamental changes in the
utility business model, erosion of revenue from new customer investments could
create serious challenges,” Roth writes.<span style="color: #262626;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
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<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“A lot is being said and written about dim prospects for
electric utilities as previously passive customers gain new tools to produce
and manage power on-site that save money and reduce the bills they pay
utilities,” the report says “But this paper presents an optimistic story for
electric utilities which will have a different but essential role to coordinate
and manage the electricity ‘backbone’ that underlies much of the infrastructure
investment that the Northwest needs . . . “<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">One of the report’s key recommendations is for a new compact
with utilities. </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Its
call to “rethink renewable energy mandates and incentives” has some potentially
provocative aspects.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“State laws, such
as Renewable Portfolio Standards and net metering, have been grafted onto the
existing system to essentially force utilities to buy new renewable energy – a
reflection of the strong popular support for clean energy that have indeed
proven effective in increasing renewable energy development. But these policy mechanisms
may not be the most effective way to get the desired results affordably.”</span><span style="font-family: "times new roman"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
compact Roth advocates would </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">set goals for utilities and reward performance.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It would also call on utilities to treat
energy efficiency, distributed generation and demand management on a level
playing field in resource planning. Utilities would be encouraged to take on
silo-busting projects. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In Roth’s
view, it all comes together at the state government level.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“State
leaders possess a vantage point above silos of electricity, transportation, and
heat, and thus are in the best position to coordinate revamping of energy
investments and policies,” he writes. “States must act as chief conveners
bringing together key stakeholders to shape strategies and agreements . . . States
must work together to build regional collaboration that advances the Northwest
vision.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Roth calls
for a State Infrastructure Strategy to act as a “silo-busting platform to
consider whole systems and identify integrated solutions. The strategy would
create system-wide goals and metrics to align utility investments.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It would also, “<span style="color: black;">Remove
barriers to non-utility energy investments that align with goals – Ensure
utilities pay-for-performance based on actual value private systems contribute
to the larger system.” The strategy would direct state clean energy in areas
where markets are leaving gaps or not moving fast enough. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">For
regional planning, Roth suggests a major overhaul in the region’s electricity
planning agency, the Northwest Power and Conservation Council:<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“As we enter a new era of integrated
solutions that dissolve boundaries between electricity, transportation, and
heating silos, we may need to update the Power Council mandate.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Alternatively, states could establish a new
agency, modeled on and collaborating closely with the Council, dedicated to
optimizing the whole energy system.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Non-integrated
thinking is perhaps our greatest challenge globally.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The world institutionally acts as if it is
still that world of a century ago, when technologies were less complex, fossil
fuels were seen as an unremitting good, and climate was taken as a given.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We can no longer afford such thinking, and
need to begin unifying the picture of where we are and where we want to head.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We need large, ambitious, long-term goals
that move us beyond business as usual to meet the huge challenges we face. That
is the point of the CSI energy 2040 report. It should gain a close reading by
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</span>It is a needed vision.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com7tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-5965502771767847722016-01-24T08:41:00.000-08:002016-04-21T15:06:43.485-07:00Delta 5 trial: Making the case for climate disobedience<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">TAGS: DELTA 5, CLIMATE, CIVIL DISOBEDIENCE, NECESSITY DEFENSE, OIL TRAINS TIM
DECHRISTOPHER, CLIMATE DISOBEDIENCE CENTER</span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">When the Delta 5 sat in front of an oil train at BNSF Everett Delta
Yard Sept. 2, 2014, we did not expect to stop climate disruption or dangerous fossil
fuel shipments.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">By ourselves, that is.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">What we did expect was that our act of civil disobedience,
positioning on a tripod and blocking a fossil fuel train, would help generate a
rising crescendo of actions spurring the public pressure needed to address those
deadly threats.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>After many years when
political response that scales to the challenge has been blocked by big money
and corporate power, we believed that to make the political system work again,
it needs the shock, dissonance and friction of nonviolent civil
disobedience.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">That was the essence of our necessity defense, the first to be
argued in a U.S. climate or fossil fuel-connected civil disobedience trial, and
only the second climate necessity trial in the world. In 2008 Greenpeace
climbers who scaled a coal plant stack in Britain were <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2008/sep/11/activists.kingsnorthclimatecamp">found
innocent</a> on the basis of climate necessity. Like this Brits we argued that
any crimes we committed were necessary to avert greater climate and fossil fuel
harms.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The trial took place at the
Lynnwood, Washington branch of the Snohomish County District Court Jan.
11-15.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg7xGE_oPj5gu46yttVzTniNkDpj33rskl4g0f-AS5RXLhF5PCjDH0pFZyTexB50lqXDjwFDHLdFKgmI_RvJMddyvIFiC5Ssrr_DcPy5JuCuu2JvpPFO5rZiJlaAqo_iRUwAstAq1sBdyQ/s1600/Delta+5+team.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="424" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg7xGE_oPj5gu46yttVzTniNkDpj33rskl4g0f-AS5RXLhF5PCjDH0pFZyTexB50lqXDjwFDHLdFKgmI_RvJMddyvIFiC5Ssrr_DcPy5JuCuu2JvpPFO5rZiJlaAqo_iRUwAstAq1sBdyQ/s640/Delta+5+team.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b>Delta 5 seated. Trial support team backing them up.</b></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Climate civil disobedience veteran Tim DeChristopher, </span><a href="https://twitter.com/dechristopher" style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">live tweeting the event</a><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> through
the week,<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nRJjXrhyRZM"> later set the trial in perspective</a>. </span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">“In an American courtroom activists were
presenting the full case for how serious the climate crisis is, how much our
government has entirely failed to address that crisis, and how powerful people
can be when they step up to their responsibility to stand in the way of the
fossil fuel industry.”</span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“It was one of the most coherent and comprehensive cases for
climate action that I’ve seen anywhere,” DeChristopher continued.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“It’s
a tremendous resource for future activists taking their case to court.” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In our testimony, the five of us recounted the range of legal
actions we took to address climate and fossil fuel threats before we crossed
the line.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It was a spanning inventory of
legal citizen activism. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Mike LaPointe spoke of running the <a href="https://www.facebook.com/Firewheel/">Firewheel Community Coffeehouse</a>,
Everett’s activist hotbed, and <a href="https://www.facebook.com/MikeForCongress/?fref=ts">running for Congress</a>
to challenge Rick Larsen’s corporate-power-friendly positions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Retired music teacher Jackie Minchew told of his climate-centered
run for Everett City Council and numerous letters and op-eds on the topic
published in the local newspaper, as well as community gardening and logging 8,000
miles on an electric bike.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Abby Brockway, owner of a house painting company, and educator Liz
Spoerri talked of their multiple efforts to keep the Northwest from becoming a
fossil fuel export corridor – letter writing, speaking at hearings,
participating in legal protests. How nothing they did seemed to get through
before the Delta 5 action. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">My testimony covered my long history as a professional climate
activist.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A founder of Climate Solutions
back in 1998, participant in legislative campaigns and consensus-building
roundtables, co-author of a <a href="http://www.earthfuture.com/stormyweather/">book</a>
and writer of many papers on practical climate solutions from renewable energy and
electrified transportation to natural carbon sequestration.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I related how I am still working on those
solutions through legal currents, and will continue to do so.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But that is not enough.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">As I told the jury, even though I have seen progress, it hardly approaches
the towering challenge of climate disruption.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>I spoke of the need for a <a href="http://www.theclimatemobilization.org/">World
War II-scale global mobilization</a> to begin <a href="http://thesolutionsproject.org/">rapidly replacing fossil fuels</a> with
solar and wind energy, and to have the job largely accomplished by 2030. That
is the only way we can hope to stay anywhere close to the 1.5°C/2.7°F limit on
global warming set as an aspirational goal in the Paris climate agreement, the
minimum needed to avert runaway climate change and disruption.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Achieving this global mobilization requires massive people power
to overcome the power of corporations such as Exxon, <a href="http://insideclimatenews.org/news/15092015/Exxons-own-research-confirmed-fossil-fuels-role-in-global-warming">now
documented</a> to have conducted climate science research that accurately
forecasted the impacts, and then a massive lie campaign to stop public action. And
to spur this people power revolution we need the shock to the system provided
by nonviolent civil disobedience.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This
was the case I made in my testimony and statements acting as my own
attorney<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">(For more on why I did the action see my <a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2014/09/an-arresting-experience-doing-direct.html">original
post</a> from September 2014.)<i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><o:p></o:p></i></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Dr. Richard Gammon, a veteran climate scientist and our expert
witness on the topic, reinforced the message.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>He noted studies in the past two years indicate the <a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2014/06/west-antarctic-ice-fuse-is-blown-where.html">tipping
point to massive ice loss</a> in West Antarctic and Greenland has been crossed.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Humanity faces major sea level rise already. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Our fossil fuel train experts also laid out a powerful
case.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Eric de Place of Sightline
Institute noted the Northwest’s strategic position<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“pinched” between some of the world’s largest
fossil fuel reserves and growing Asian markets.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Some <a href="http://www.sightline.org/research/thin-green-line/">20
proposed export projects</a> would ship fuels generating five times the carbon
pollution of the now cancelled Keystone XL pipeline.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>He
also recounted the railroad industry’s invention of a dangerous new animal since
2010, the bulk oil train serving the shale industry. Derailments have caused 10
fiery explosions and numerous spills over the past few years.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Oil train safety expert Fred Millar noted the speeds at which
easily-punctured oil tanker cars can run with any level of safety is far
exceeded by the speeds railroads believe they need to make money.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>He also eloquently testified to the capture
of railroad regulatory agencies by the industry. Bellingham physician Frank
James told of the health threats caused by the standard leakage of 0.5-3% of
oil train cargo. BNSF whistleblower Mike Elliott testified how he was fired
after he pressed the railroad on serious safety violations. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>All options are needed to overcome the power
of the railroad, said Elliott, who is now regularly up against BNSF power as a
rail labor lobbyist working the Washington Legislature.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In the end, the Delta 5 made third base, but we did not score
the full home run.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That would have been
an instruction to the jury to consider the necessity evidence.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Instead, Judge Anthony Howard ordered the
six-member jury to disregard the evidence and only consider the immediate circumstances
of our act.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Did we trespass?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Did we obstruct or delay a train?<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">A necessity defense requires four elements.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The judge said we met three.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>First, defendants believed there was a danger
greater than the crime committed.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Second,
the danger was in fact greater than the crime. And, third, we did not cause the
danger.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But, in the judge’s view, we did
not prove the fourth element, that there were “no reasonable legal
alternatives.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We always knew that would
be the hurdle. And from the judge’s comments it appears we made our case of
imminent and avertable danger more on oil train dangers than climate.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Judge Howard did deliver some compliments even as he handed down
his ruling: </span><span style="color: #262626; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Frankly
the court is convinced that the defendants are far from the problem and are
part of the solution to the problem of climate change . . . </span><span style="color: #1a1718; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">they are tireless
advocates that we need in this society to prevent the kind of catastrophic
effects that we see coming and our politicians are ineffectually addressing. People in the courtroom learned much, including the guy in the black robe.” </span><span style="color: #1a1718; font-family: "webfontfont"; font-size: 19.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In the end we were found guilty of 2<sup>nd</sup> degree criminal
trespass, for which we will be on probation the next two years, and innocent of
obstructing/delaying a train.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Ironically, though we intended to delay the oil train, the railroad said
it was not leaving until later that night.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Meanwhile, our attorneys proved to the jury that the five trains the
railroad said we did delay were actually stopped by rail managers out of
“safety” concerns.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The defendants met some of the jurors in the hall outside after
the verdict. <a href="http://www.climatedisobedience.org/delta_5_trial_verdict">(Video
here.)</a> They assured us that we would have been found innocent on both
charges if the jury had been able to consider necessity.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>All six plus the alternate were with us but
were constrained by the very tight instructions given to them by the
judge.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They thanked us for what they
learned, and one or two may accompany Abby to the Faith Action Network lobby
day in Olympia. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In my closing statement to the jury, I sought to empower
them.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I told them that jurors are the
most powerful people in the courtroom.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>No one can second guess them.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But
anything that hints at the power of juries to nullify instructions from judges
is strictly verboten.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>When I told the
jurors they could do anything they wanted to uphold justice, the prosecutor
objected and the judge sustained. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">I couldn’t justly tell this story without a large shout-out to
our team of pro bono attorneys, Bob Goldsmith, M.J. McCallum, Bridge Joyce and
Evelyn Chuang.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They did incredibly hard
work and put in many hours thinking through legal strategies.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They got us close.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>And Bob’s old partner Jim Roe kicked it all
off.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Jim took on many pro bono civil
disobedience cases, and sadly passed away before the trial.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Abby sat with a picture of Jim at the
defendant’s table next to me.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">We were also backed by supporters who filled the courtroom every
day.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The Delta 5 honestly expected a
large first day crowd, but not packed benches and even people sitting on the
floor each day.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Their presence heartened
us.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In a way the verdict is the best of both possible worlds, short
of actually gaining the jury instruction.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>The innocent verdict on train obstruction undermines an $11,000
restitution claim against us – BNSF owner Warren Buffett hardly needs the money
– though contrary to some reports we are not entirely out of those woods.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Meanwhile the guilty verdict opens the way
for an appeal on the denial of necessity.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>And we will appeal.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Judge Howard
did face an imposing body of case law weighing against the necessity defense in
civil disobedience cases. We hope to set new precedents that broaden the use of
necessity.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In planning my testimony I strained the most to draw the
connection that established the necessity of climate CD. I was least
satisfied with this part of my testimony. Sure we were trying to focus
public attention, and sure we were trying to do it by gaining media
coverage. I tried to explain the need extraordinary acts to gain that
attention. But it was not enough to pass the “no legal alternatives" bar. We are going to have to make a better case that
draws out why civil disobedience is necessary even when there are legal
avenues, how it is needed to make those legal channels work. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In that regard, one of the most important contributions of our
trial might have been an insight from <a href="http://www.timdechristopher.org/">Tim
DeChristopher</a>.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Tim has his own climate
disobedience story.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>For bidding on a
federal oil lease in Utah to stop drilling without having the money to pay for
it, DeChristopher was sent to federal prison for nearly two years. He wanted to
conduct a necessity defense but was shut down by the judge. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>His experience is the topic of the movie <a href="http://www.bidder70film.com/">Bidder 70</a>.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Since then he founded the <a href="http://www.climatedisobedience.org/">Climate Disobedience Center</a> (CDC)
to support climate CD and necessity defenses, along with Marla Marcum, Ken Ward and Jay
O’Hara.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Ken and Jay in 2013 blocked a
ship delivering coal to a Massachusetts power plant with a lobster boat. Marla
organized support for the action. Theirs was the first U.S. climate civil
disobedience necessity defense allowed in court.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But as the trial started in 2014, the
district attorney <a href="http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2014/09/10/3565445/lobster-boat-district-attorney-climate-history/">dropped
the charges</a>, said they were right, and went to march with them in the New
York People’s Climate March the next week.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">CDC was recently launched publicly to support actions and
defenses such as ours.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The Delta 5 were
honored to be the first case CDC supported.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>They helped us prepare our communications and legal strategies and were
with us in Lynnwood.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The epiphany Tim
had as he watched our testimony could be key to the broader movement.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It is about what makes civil disobedience
uniquely necessary.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">As listened to the trial Tim hit on what civil disobedience
“does what other forms of activism do not do, and why it has played such a
central role in so many social movements,” he told a <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nRJjXrhyRZM">post-trial gathering</a>.
“The intent of civil disobedience is to arouse the conscience of a community in
order to build the kind of public pressure that is necessary to resist the
corporate control of our government.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>The essential act of nonviolent CD is deliberately placing one’s self in
a vulnerable position.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“That
vulnerability rattles people out of their everyday lives.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Just what is needed in “our apathetic,
disengaged society. It does something entirely unique, and that answers the
question of no legal alternatives.” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The response of the jurors to our case is strong evidence for
DeChristopher’s insight.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In our appeal,
we will press the case for the unique and necessary role of civil disobedience
in spurring the public conscience to move on climate and fossil fuel threats. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">For years before our Delta 5 action, I experienced growing
frustration at the blockage of political response to climate disruption that in
any way measured to the challenge.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>At repeated
legislative failures and executive actions that still leave the world on a
course for climate catastrophe.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The
recent Paris climate agreement underscores that – a 1.5°C aspirational goal
accompanied by plans that put the world on course to a 2.7-3.5°C global
warming.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That would guarantee sea level
rise of dozens if not hundreds of feet, dieback of a large portion of Earth’s
species, and an acceleration of destructive storms and droughts.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Economists believe they can fit climate change into computer
models and measure it in terms of dollars shaved from the gross domestic
product. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Historians know better.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They have documented how rapid climate change
disrupts human systems in ways that release the horsemen of the apocalypse –
famine, pestilence and war.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I have been
reading <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Global-Crisis-Climate-Catastrophe-Seventeenth/dp/0300208634">Global
Crisis</a>, a recent book about the impact of the Little Ice Age on the 1600s
world when rapid global cooling caused chaos from China to Europe and up to
one-third of the world’s people died.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I
believe humanity is on a similar course with rapid global warming. That is why
I can no longer abide with business as usual politics that downplays the
dangers or fails to forward the massive global mobilization needed to avert
them. That is why I crossed the line into climate civil disobedience. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">We face a monumental political challenge of arousing the world
to act in a very few years.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But it is
more than a political challenge.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It is a
moral-spiritual challenge that will require a revolution in values.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We must move beyond mere intellectual and
political approaches to a frankly spiritual activism, putting our bodies on the
line, taking risks, making ourselves vulnerable, being prepared to make
sacrifices.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This, and only this, will
move people to overcome the dark forces controlling the political system, enabling
us to make the rapid changes we must to leave a world with which our children
can cope.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">It is up to us.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The Delta
5 never expected to do it alone.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We need
you.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Take action now.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Cross the line.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Disobey the law to follow a higher necessity.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Do it soon. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We don’t have much time left. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">If you’re interested
in climate disobedience action or support, Rising Tide is a good place to
start: <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></i></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://risingtideseattle.org/">Seattle Rising Tide</a> <o:p></o:p></span></i></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="https://portlandrisingtide.org/">Portland Rising Tide</a><o:p></o:p></span></i></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="https://risingtidenorthamerica.org/">Rising Tide North America</a> <o:p></o:p></span></i></div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-68446097357783536912015-12-23T13:45:00.000-08:002015-12-24T09:20:55.709-08:00WA state climate initiative conflict on road to resolution?<div class="MsoNormal">
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><i>Update: The answer to the headline question is
apparently no, at least for now. An
alternative climate initiative proposal similar to Carbon Washington’s carbon
tax, but investing revenues in actions to deal with climate change instead of
using them for tax cuts and credits, was rejected by the CarbonWA Executive
Committee later in the day on Dec. 23. <o:p></o:p></i></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><i>Yoram
Bauman of Carbon Washington sent this message: “<span style="color: #3e003f;">Our
Executive Committee met today and discussed an updated (more detailed) version
of the alternative proposal. We debated the issues and considered arguments on
both sides raised by the Executive Committee and by our grassroots base. After
almost 3 hours it became clear that the Executive Committee would not accept
the alternative proposal in its current form and that there was no chance of
modifying the alternative proposal in the very short time frame remaining that
would change the Executive Committee's decision.”<o:p></o:p></span></i></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
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<span style="color: #3e003f; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><i>CarbonWA leadership received hundreds of comments regarding the
proposal, which could have led to unification of climate movement forces around
a single November 2016 ballot initiative.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Many comments were unfavorable to the idea and pressed to move forward
with CarbonWA’s Initiative 732.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It
appears that the organization will now file its 350,000 signatures in a few
days and gain ballot placement.<o:p></o:p></i></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<i><span style="color: #3e003f; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">This leaves more questions than answers.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Will 732 be able to draw sufficient resources
to pass? Will the Alliance for Jobs and Clean Energy mount a second climate
initiative?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Can we close the divide that
has opened up in the Washington state climate movement?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>All unknowns.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>What this set of events does show is that CarbonWA built a powerful momentum
that could not be stopped or re-directed, even though a significant element of
its leadership favored moving in a different direction.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Citizen’s movements take on lives of their
own.</span></i></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><i>I was on
the losing side of this argument, but I still think it’s valid, and so I will
leave the article standing as is. (PM)</i><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<br />
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">It’s been a
bumpy political ride in Washington state climate ballot initiative politics
over the past year, but after all is said and done the product might the most
winnable and effective November 2016 climate ballot measure.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The break
came Monday with an email and <a href="http://carbonwa.org/carbonwa-on-the-fence/">blog post</a> from Carbon
Washington co-founder Yoram Bauman regarding its Initiative 732 carbon tax signature-gathering campaign.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“<span style="color: #1a1a1a;">We are on the fence about whether or not to turn in our
350,000 signatures because of the emergence of an alternative proposal.”<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
CarbonWA board will make the decision between now and Dec. 30. Even though
holding back signatures in a successful initiative campaign would be
unprecedented, I am throwing my support behind a decision to do so.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This is because the proposal that is emerging
has the best chance of overcoming the substantial obstacles that will be put in
its way.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The potential is in sight to
heal a fractious divide between the grassroots climate initiative and a
coalition of progressive organizations aiming at its own ballot measure, the
Alliance for Jobs and Clean Energy. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>With
unity will come the resources and people power needed to put a climate initiative
across the finish line. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Even with
unified forces, passing a carbon pricing measure at the ballot box is going to
be a tough uphill fight.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>If Washington
achieves this, it will be a global first for any state or province, let alone
nation.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Success means overcoming huge
fossil fuel industry funding and the historic reluctance of state voters to
approve new revenues. Climate community divisions have threatened to sink any
ballot measure.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">With unity
the imperative for any chance of success, I outlined five scenarios to achieve
it in a <a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/11/can-wa-state-climate-policy-train-wreck.html">recent
Cascadia Planet post</a>.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Scenario #1,
CarbonWA withholding signatures and undertaking a unified campaign, began to
publicly play out this week.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>As
anticipated, it came with some pushback from within CarbonWA ranks.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Responses to the blog and in a Tuesday night
conference call were mixed.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Some cried
betrayal. Distrust of the Alliance, a
legacy sown by the year’s conflicts, was strongly in evidence.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But sentiment in support of a unified effort seemed
evenly represented. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">What moved
CarbonWA was polling it did in conjunction with The Nature Conservancy that
strengthened a finding in earlier surveys by Alliance-affiliated groups.</span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;">I-732 did even worse in a poll it helped design than in earlier polls conducted by its opponents. </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The revenue-neutral carbon tax design of CarbonWA’s
Initiative 732 does not poll as well as an alternative measure that invests
carbon revenues in clean energy development, clean water and healthy
forests.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The odds for passage of the
latter are better.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Polling finds that
even conservatives and moderates are more swayed by clean energy investments
than the tax cuts and credits promised under I-732. (The numbers are in
Bauman’s post linked above.) <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That and a failure to gain
traction among business interests and Republicans swayed CarbonWA leadership to
consider alternatives. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhcvY4p_bGXNZhFgGQO5kywQ42bzlvvZN-bqtZyn-n42pDFNjAKUMaSKiNvuoXmtObK-E4DN65Je1CeoJivexLnc0pmjwsN177wt4N6jJOY9wzVJxRPutK6OVWoW3wkrJF9ChSERWO6eBs/s1600/Solar+image.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="410" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhcvY4p_bGXNZhFgGQO5kywQ42bzlvvZN-bqtZyn-n42pDFNjAKUMaSKiNvuoXmtObK-E4DN65Je1CeoJivexLnc0pmjwsN177wt4N6jJOY9wzVJxRPutK6OVWoW3wkrJF9ChSERWO6eBs/s640/Solar+image.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Clean energy investments draw support from across the political spectrum.</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">It makes
sense that the way to pass a revenue measure is by associating it with concrete
improvements.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">A revenue-neutral carbon
tax is, let’s face it, a fairly wonky and abstract proposition.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">And revenue neutrality has always suffered
from voter skepticism that tax cuts will be permanent.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">The fear of a “bait-and-switch” is strongest
among the conservative and centrist voters to whom revenue-neutrality is meant
to appeal.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">On the other hand, voters
prove consistently willing to vote for revenue measures attached to specific
stuff they can see, such as levies for schools and parks.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Clean energy has support across the spectrum,
a proposition validated by the recent polling.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Another
problem facing the I-732 revenue-neutral proposal is a state fiscal analysis indicating
that it might actually be revenue-negative, causing a net loss to state
revenues.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Democratic legislators have put
up a stern wall of resistance to any such prospect.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>CarbonWA contests the analysis, but
nonetheless it represents an uncertainty hard to overcome.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Though CarbonWA ranks include many that genuinely believe revenue-neutrality is
the way to win conservative and centrist voters, I-732 drew as much support as
it did because it offered the only viable carbon pricing measure on the
table.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Now that an alternative is
emerging, it is likely to pull the vast bulk of I-732 supporters behind it. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">One key
reason I support the alternative is because it represents a substantial victory
for the grassroots climate activist upsurge represented by the CarbonWA
campaign. The victory is real. As a condition of withholding their signatures,
CarbonWA has secured a commitment from key environmental nonprofits at the core
of the Alliance that there will be a carbon pricing measure on the November
2016 ballot.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Even though
the Alliance had announced its intent to run an initiative, it was by no means
a certainty.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>There was still hemming and
hawing over viability and poll numbers within Alliance leadership ranks, as
there had been for months.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This was a
significant reason why the Alliance did not file its own initiative to the
legislature last spring when the governor’s climate bill, which it had been
backing, was heading for defeat.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>As I
wrote in my <a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/11/can-wa-state-climate-policy-train-wreck.html">five
scenarios piece</a>, CarbonWA had a much better sense of the climate streets
and knew there was energy to carry a grassroots initiative campaign
forward.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The group seized the early
mover advantage, and achieved signature-gathering and fundraising success
exceeding even its own expectations.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Presented
with the fait accompli, groups including Climate Solutions and Washington
Environmental Council have been in talks with CarbonWA.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>On the table are a campaign governance structure in which they and CarbonWA have equal
weight, and an “insurance policy,” the deposit of funds sufficient for Carbon
WA to re-run a petition campaign next year based on paid signature gatherers if
the other parties do not carry through on their commitments.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Volunteers would not be asked to carry the
signature-gathering load again. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Substantial
concessions have also been made on policy design, and this is my major reason
for swinging behind the alternative.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Unlike the governor’s bill and one of the options considered by the
Alliance, it is not a cap and trade, but a straight-up carbon fee with set
rates.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Whatever one’s views on cap and
trade, effective climate policy or false solution, it never was a good idea to
present such a complex proposal to voters.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Divisions in the progressive community over cap and trade plus the
fossil fuel industry’s capacity to distort the issue made it particularly
vulnerable.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Because of this, I was
always skeptical about a political process that would even consider a cap and
trade ballot measure as a serious option.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>It just seemed that otherwise smart people were not drawing obvious
conclusions. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">That drew
me to the simplified carbon tax of I-732.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>It could be explained to voters in a fairly straightforward way.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A tax rate set under law, $25 per carbon ton
after two years, would fund a one-percent sales tax cut, a Working Families Tax
Credit and elimination of the B&O tax for manufacturers in order to keep
them competitive.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It was a classic shift
of taxes on goods to taxes on “bads,” in this case carbon pollution, a
revenue-neutral system suggested by many experts since the 1980s.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">But, as
someone who has studied and worked on climate policy for many years,
revenue-neutral was not my ideal. I supported and gathered signatures for I-732
because the top priority is to discourage fossil fuel use by making it pay for
its consequences.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>What to do with the
revenues came in second.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Nonetheless, it
is a highly important second. Overcoming the climate crisis will require
significant public investments. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It makes
sense to fund investments with carbon revenues.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>This will reduce carbon pollution to a greater degree than a pure
revenue-neutral design. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://sos.wa.gov/_assets/elections/initiatives/FinalText_887.pdf">The
alternative proposal that is emerging</a> makes such investments. As of this
point, it is still a work in progress.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Assuming the final form substantially reflects the proposal, it is
worthy of support. The measure is called a fee rather than a tax, because under
the law a fee can be directed to specific programs whereas a tax cannot.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The early fee rate could be lower than
I-732’s initial tax, but grow at a faster rate. Revenues would be devoted, in
priority order, to:<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<ul>
<li><span style="font-family: Symbol; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;"><span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">Investments in clean energy and
energy efficiency</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: Symbol; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;"><span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">Investments in clean water to adapt
to climate impacts on state water resources</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: Symbol; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;"><span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">Investments in healthy forests</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: Symbol; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;"><span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">Tax credits to mitigate the impact
of higher energy prices on the lower 40% of families</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: Symbol; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;"><span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt; text-indent: -0.25in;">Transition for workers affected by
carbon pricing such as refinery workers.</span></li>
</ul>
<br />
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">In
addition, a requirement that a certain level of funds be invested in
disadvantaged communities is part of the alternative. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">These
investments are likely to allay the concerns of social justice and labor groups
that have caused them to oppose revenue-neutral I-732.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They have been strong advocates for the kind
of funding envisioned in the alternative. The capacity of the alternative to
re-unify these groups with the grassroots forces of the I-732 campaign is one
of the most compelling reasons to go for it.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">I will
throw down one big caveat.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The forest
health piece would allow funding of forest thinning to reduce fire fuels and
wildfires. It should not because thinning is generally not a carbon win.
Because wildfires largely burn tree surfaces, even large wildfires leave the
bulk of carbon on the ground.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://forestpolicypub.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/campbell-2011.pdf">One
study finds, </a><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“Although
fuel-reduction treatments may be necessary to restore historical functionality
to fire-suppressed ecosystems, we found little credible evidence that such
efforts have the added benefit of increasing terrestrial (carbon) stocks . . .
Carbon losses incurred with fuel removal generally exceed what is protected
from combustion should the treated area burn. Even among fire-prone forests,
one must treat about ten locations to influence future fire behavior in a
single location.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The forest
health provision of any alternative should be written to support only measures
documented to actually increase forest carbon storage such as conservation
easements and long-rotation forestry.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This
will draw universal support from forest advocates, whereas support for forest
health thinning will open an avenue of opposition.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">I concluded
my five scenarios piece with these words: “<span style="color: #141414;">We
should regard it as a triumph that so many people and groups are coming to the
climate table firmly committed to take action. We should all acknowledge
each other as people of good will, and seek the best possible outcomes.
We can ill afford a climate policy train wreck. Let’s do all we possibly
can to avert one.”<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #141414; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Both
sides of the past year’s climate initiative conflict have indeed shown good
will and a common commitment to a win that would be unprecedented – popular
ballot approval to create a carbon policy framework.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>It is heartening to see people rise above conflicts to seek the
undoubted common interest in climate victory.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Coming days will show whether their efforts have born success.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #141414; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Make
your own comments to </span><span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">yoram@carbonwa.org or to the <a href="http://carbonwa.org/carbonwa-on-the-fence/">CarbonWA blog</a></span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: '"arial"'; font-size: 19px;">TOPICS: CLIMATE CHANGE, CARBON, GLOBAL WARMING, WASHINGTON STATE, INITIATIVE 732, CAP-AND-TRADE, CARBON TAX, CARBON WASHINGTON, ALLIANCE FOR JOBS AND CLEAN ENERGY</span></div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-78057771778151040842015-11-27T08:21:00.000-08:002015-12-03T13:12:09.791-08:00Can a WA State climate policy train wreck be averted?<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">TOPICS: CLIMATE CHANGE, CARBON, GLOBAL WARMING, WASHINGTON STATE, JAY INSLEE,
INITIATIVE 732, CAP-AND-TRADE, CARBON TAX, CARBON WASHINGTON, ALLIANCE FOR JOBS
AND CLEAN ENERGY</span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">A group of spunky citizens frustrated by the long-term failure
to enact climate policy in Congress or the state legislature takes matters into
its own hands and seeks to place a carbon tax initiative on the ballot.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>As the signature gathering deadline approaches they
close on their target.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Labor and social justice organizations that were once only
marginally engaged in the climate issue elevate it to a top-priority concern.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They join in a new alignment to advance
climate policy at the state level, emphasizing the opportunity to build equity
in the process of reducing pollution.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">These two developments in Washington state evidence a growing
climate movement, one that now is spreading widely among progressive
organizations and the citizen grassroots.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Facing accelerating climate chaos across the planet – from deep droughts
to massive storms to polar ice loss – this is a movement that needs to inspire
hope.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>And its spread is one of the most
hope-building trends around. The climate movement is finally growing to the
scale of the climate challenge. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">But more people coming to the table creates a profound
challenge, now fully realized in the Evergreen State.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A movement that could once be coordinated by
a small number of groups and players has grown beyond that possibility.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Multiple approaches and philosophies are in
play.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>With that have come conflict and
division.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Prospects loom for snatching climate-policy
defeat from the jaws of movement-growth victory. <o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><b>TWO TRAIN WRECK SCENARIOS</b></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The basic situation is that <a href="http://carbonwa.org/">Carbon
Washington</a> has successfully mobilized a significantly volunteer effort for
its Initiative 732 carbon tax.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>As of
this writing CarbonWA has gained 325,067 of the 330,000 signatures it
targeted by Nov. 30 to assure enough names.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The
number needed to qualify is 246,372.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>CarbonWA has already turned in a substantial portion to the state.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>If a sufficient number of valid signatures goes
before the Legislature in January, that body has the option to pass the measure
or put it on the November 2016 ballot. (Update - as of Dec. 2 the campaign exceeded its goal, reaching 334,000. It is currently mounting a last month campaign to reach 350,000. These numbers make ballot qualification highly probable.) The Legislature could also accompany
that with one of its own. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Meanwhile, the Alliance for Jobs and Clean Energy has built an
alignment of progressive groups that backed Gov. Jay Inslee’s carbon cap and
trade bill in the 2015 Legislature.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The
Alliance has <a href="http://jobscleanenergywa.com/broad-coalition-unites-for-new-climate-initiative/">announced
its intention</a> to run its own carbon pricing initiative, but has not
announced details. Alliance members, particularly groups representing
communities of color, object to I-732’s design, recycling all revenues from a
$25/ton carbon tax to tax cuts and credits. They maintain that a portion of
revenues should be devoted to funding green jobs and other investments in just
transition from fossil fuels, and that CarbonWA has not been responsive to
their concerns, and was not designed through an inclusive process that would have incorporated those concerns.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The arguments and
politics were covered in a <a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/08/washington-first-state-to-price-carbon.html">previous
post</a>. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The Alliance has made multiple statements that it regards the
presence of competing initiatives on the 2016 ballot as a recipe for defeat,
and has committed in a <a href="http://carbonwa.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/joint-statement-final-5-2-15.pdf">joint statement</a> with CarbonWA not to run two
initiatives.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The Alliance also asserts
that its polling indicates the revenue-neutral design of 732 is in itself a
loser, and that people would actually be more willing to vote for a measure that invests in solutions. Now that I-732 appears to be headed to ballot qualification, at least
two train wreck scenarios rise.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh8MqFpBb3W8W8e6d77NKrQ1AmmCyc_IQ0Ug4h9Jax3Y9IyvVIOpG4Uhu23rZ9e5-HgmnDDWMpcen2Ij4WONFFSZf-uCI3AMdmDyEleaOZvAfer9dIft6JRe78R-5QNRTAh8qJ3F0VZxTE/s1600/Train-Wreck-1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="255" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh8MqFpBb3W8W8e6d77NKrQ1AmmCyc_IQ0Ug4h9Jax3Y9IyvVIOpG4Uhu23rZ9e5-HgmnDDWMpcen2Ij4WONFFSZf-uCI3AMdmDyEleaOZvAfer9dIft6JRe78R-5QNRTAh8qJ3F0VZxTE/s400/Train-Wreck-1.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><i><b>Scenario #1</b></i> - The Alliance goes ahead and files an initiative to the
people that gains its signatures in 2016 and ballot qualifies (as opposed to
CarbonWA’s initiative to the Legislature which needed to get its sign-ups in
2015).<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The contest between the two
initiatives turns nasty and fossil fuel interests leverage the conflict to
discredit both in the public eye, resulting in defeat.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This poisons the well for passage of carbon
pricing in Washington state for some time to come<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><i><b>Scenario #2</b></i> - The Alliance opts not to run an initiative, but it and its
supporters stand aside.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Disunity in
climate forces adds to the uphill challenges already faced by I-732.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The initiative goes down to defeat, also
poisoning the carbon-pricing well.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">It is important to note that neither of these scenarios are inevitabilities in themselves. Victory in an initiative fight will be determined by the degree to which the climate concerns of Washington citizens can be aroused. A successful campaign will connect fossil fuel pollution with climate impacts on the state including record drought and wildfires, salmon death in overheated rivers, intense and sometimes unseasonal storms, and shellfish industry-killing ocean acidification. Success in elevating climate urgency might overcome the disadvantages of disunity. The details of policy will come second. </span></span><br />
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-size: 19px;">It should also be noted that many CarbonWA supporters push back on the idea that a ballot loss will be fatal to future climate policy passage. Better to take a swipe at bat and push the climate issue by talking to hundreds of thousands of people on the streets, they say. Whatever the case, if 732 goes on the ballot it creates facts on the ground with which the entire climate community must deal. </span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Could this conflict have been avoided? And are there conflict resolution paths
forward that improve the odds of victory?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-size: 19px;"><b>STRATEGIC MISCALCULATIONS, PREDICTABLE OUTCOMES</b></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">To answer the first question, yes, this could have been
avoided.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A set of strategic
miscalculations on the part of the state climate policy establishment set up this
dilemma.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>CarbonWA had been moving toward
an initiative for several years, but would not have filed I-732 if the governor’s
climate bill had been successful, or if the governor and/or the state’s climate
groups had been ready with their own initiative.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It was clear almost from the day the bill
dropped it was not going to pass.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It was
also crystal clear that CarbonWA would file its initiative, as it did in
April, when there was no other measure on the table. Though the Alliance was
talking about an initiative then, CarbonWA leadership noted with some
skepticism that climate groups had been discussing an initiative for years
without taking action. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>If the governor
and the groups had been ready to fill the initiative space when they saw
legislative failure looming, the situation now would be entirely
different.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">The fact they did not occupy the initiative space immediately,
and let CarbonWA seize it, leads to an unavoidable conclusion.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They miscalculated that a significantly volunteer
effort without several hundred thousand dollars in the bank would not have the
juice to gain the signatures.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> In closing on apparent success CarbonWA has presented them with an unanticipated fait accompli. </span>There was
a critical disconnect in this, a lack of comprehension of the deep hunger and moral urgency of grassroots citizens to do whatever they could to address the climate
crisis.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>There was also a lack of
appreciation for how frustrated people had become about repeated failures to
pass meaningful climate policy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They
were no longer willing to trust professionally staffed groups or political
leadership to get the job done.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>These
sentiments extended far past the core organizers of CarbonWA, as successful
efforts to build a volunteer army and broad funder base prove.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/01/west-coast-climate-leadership-likely_3.html">Cascadia Planet predicted this outcome</a> last January. ". . . </span><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 19px; line-height: 26px;">the climate and environmental community has greeted the governor’s plan with enthusiastic support. This demonstrates a deep hunger for carbon limits of any sort. However, if the governor cannot pull one out of a hat and his package stalls, that same hunger will attach to CarbonWA’s proposal. The momentum created by the campaign for the governor’s cap-and-trade will transmit to CarbonWA’s BC-style carbon tax."</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">One reason that the governor and the groups should have been ready to fill the initiative space was to avert a climate movement split. The fractiousness to come could have easily been anticipated. <a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2014/11/climate-justice-in-collision-with.html">Cascadia Planet forecast the split</a> in a Nov. 25, 2014 post, "Climate Justice in collision with revenue-neutral carbon policies?" Of course, CarbonWA made its own contribution to the situation.</span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> Before CarbonWA filed its initiative, communities of color representatives asked the group to adopt a policy that did not recycle all revenues, but direct some of the revenues to invest in transition from fossil fuels. CarbonWA had already fixed its policy, and so a collision was coming. Greater flexibility on the part of CarbonWA could have at least gone a long way to avert this. But CarbonWA leaders are convinced that revenue-neutrality is necessary to attract bipartisan support. So here is a place where differing approaches and philosophies are coming to the fore. </span><br />
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">Still, if there had been an alternative initiative on the table, the collision could have been avoided. A series of strategic miscalculations led up to that. The first was that the Washington State Senate could
be flipped back to the Democrats in the 2014 election, opening the way for legislative passage of climate policy.</span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">The assumption was that high-net-worth funder
money from California billionaire Tom Steyer and others, coordinated with get-out-the-vote efforts, could overcome the traditional Democrat
disadvantage in off-year elections plus the disadvantage the incumbent’s party
has in the sixth year of a presidential term. Meanwhile, the governor’s <a href="http://www.governor.wa.gov/boards-commissions/workgroups-and-task-forces/carbon-emissions-reduction-taskforce-cert">Carbon Emissions Reduction Taskforce</a>, which included core Alliance members Climate Solutions, American Lung Association, One America, SEIU and Washington State Labor Council, had spent months designing a legislative
proposal in the expectation that the governor would have a Senate he could work
with. E</span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;">lection day defeat effectively eliminated that possibility, leaving a Republican Senate led by oil industry minions. Notable among them was election target Doug Ericksen, chair of the Energy, Environment and Telecommunications Committee, a chokepoint for any climate legislation. </span><br />
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Nonetheless, the governor went ahead with a bill.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Unfortunately, it bore little resemblance to what
one would want in an initiative.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Focusing the lion’s share of carbon revenues on solving the state’s
education and transportation funding crises, it devoted a relatively small share to the kind of
just transition funding the Alliance is now demanding. Ironically, the major portion of that was revenue recycling to lower-income families meant to buffer the impact of higher energy prices, along the lines of funding offered by 732. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The bill was designed for legislative passage in the forlorn hopes that a few Republican legislators could be peeled away to
solve the budget crisis.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It was not
designed to tee up an initiative. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">It was also a cap-and-trade, a policy design that draws
skepticism from climate justice groups who label carbon trading as a
<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pA6FSy6EKrM">“false solution” </a>to climate change.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Among
other reasons, they object to letting polluters buy offsets that allow high-emissions
facilities to continue operating in low-income neighborhoods, as well as forest
carbon purchases in developing nations that deprive traditional peoples of land
rights. In October and November climate justice groups conducted two “no
false solutions” workshops in Seattle to drive home their opposition to carbon
trading. Sponsors included<a href="http://risingtideseattle.org/"> Seattle Rising Tide</a>, leader in the local direct action movement against fossil fuels; <a href="http://bayanusa.org/about/">Bayan</a>, a progressive Filipino coalition, and Alliance Steering Committee member <a href="http://gotgreenseattle.org/">Got Green</a>. To its credit the issue is being debated in Alliance ranks. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">In an alternative scenario, when it became clear the Republicans
would hold the State Senate, making bill passage unlikely, the governor would
have submitted a bill that reflected the content of a prospective
initiative - With substantial funding for
green jobs, clean energy and just transition, and a simple, non-controversial policy
design that would draw widespread support.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>If the bill was blocked, the governor and/or the groups would have been
ready with an initiative to the 2015 Legislature, the same vehicle CarbonWA
employed.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Who knows?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Maybe the threat to file an initiative would
have given the governor more leverage with the Republican Senate.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">Why didn’t this happen?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> In the final analysis,</span> the governor and the groups did not want to commit to an
initiative at that point.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Their own
polling made them uncertain an initiative would pass, and they did not want to take the risk.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> So</span></span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14pt;"> when the governor’s bill hit the wall, CarbonWA literally took the initiative and captured the momentum. Its initiative to the Legislature kicked off the signature campaign in May. One can only think that if the governor and the groups had employed a different political calculus that correctly assessed the hunger of grassroots citizens to take action, and CarbonWA's ability to leverage it, they would have moved earlier with their own initiative, whatever the risks. </span><br />
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial";"><span style="font-size: 19px;"><b>ENVISIONING CONFLICT RESOLUTION SCENARIOS</b></span></span><br />
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">By
now, there is a lot of spilled milk under the bridge, a number of heated statements (which in the spirit of conflict resolution I will leave aside), a whole lot of hurt
feelings, and high potential for a climate policy wreck on the order of an oil train explosion.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Assuming
I-732 will gain enough signatures to qualify, are there scenarios that avert
train wreck conflicts and lead to victory?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>There are many
moving pieces and complex nuances, some of which I find frankly boggling.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But here goes:<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><b><i>Scenario #1 </i></b>– CarbonWA responds to pressure to not file its
signatures, and instead unifies with the Alliance and its clearly superior
connections and resources.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In return
CarbonWA has a prominent voice in the Alliance initiative design.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But would CarbonWA be willing to do this,
knowing many volunteers and supporters might be alienated by such a
decision?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In any event, this scenario
would require an absolutely solid commitment by the Alliance to run an
initiative with agreement on mutually acceptable language.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This would likely have to happen in the next
month because CarbonWA loses leverage past the signature-filing deadline of
Jan. 1, 10 days before the next legislative session starts.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><b><i>Scenario #2</i></b> – The Alliance opts not to go ahead with its own
carbon pricing initiative, and also opts to put resources behind 732 despite
its objections in order to put a basic carbon pricing framework in place.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Averting a carbon pricing defeat would be a
powerful incentive. This is particularly the case because, as Cascadia Planet
previously reported, inside players fear an initiative loss would also <a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/04/environmental-nonprofits-seek-to-kill.html">drag down Inslee’s 2016 reelection</a> campaign.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>But would Alliance members be willing to support a measure many consider
a bad precedent that does not support a just transition?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> If I-732 passes, it would not be set in stone forever. After two years the Legislature could alter it with a majority vote (2/3rds before then). The initiative's initial two-year $25/ton carbon charge can grow to $100/ton under the measure at 3.5% annually plus inflation. With legislative changes </span>there could be
funding for transition investments in the future. The Legislature could also accelerate growth of the charge.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Nonetheless, supporting 732 would be a hard pill to
swallow for many Alliance members, who could only consider it a last
ditch to avert worse outcomes, and who did not feel included in the initial design. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><b><i>Scenario #3</i></b> – The Legislature enacts 732 carbon pricing as a way
to cover the one percent sales tax cut enacted by Tim Eyman’s Initiative 1336
passed in November.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> The initiative orders the cut unless the Legislature </span></span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 19px;">puts a constitutional amendment before the voters mandating a two-thirds legislative vote for tax increases</span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">. Assuming a
court challenge does not knock out 1336, a new carbon tax provides a way to preserve state revenues and avoid the amendment vote.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><a href="http://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/eyman-tax-measure-could-be-blessing-in-disguise-for-state/">Denny
Westneat speculated about this possibility</a> in the Seattle Times.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>There are difficulties because 732 phases in
a one-percent sales tax reduction over two years, while Eyman’s initiative cuts
sales taxes one percent over one year. If that could be worked out, it opens
the way for the Alliance to run its own initiative.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But would the Republican State Senate have any
incentive to go with this plan?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It seems
unlikely.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><b><i>Scenario #4</i></b> – The Alliance files its own initiative and conducts
a collaborative campaign with CarbonWA that focuses the debate on the
disposition of carbon revenues.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Green
transition investments or tax cuts?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Frame this as basic agreement on the need for carbon pricing while giving
voters a choice on what to do with the revenues.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In this case, it would be best to have the
pricing side of the measures as parallel as possible.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A $25/ton carbon tax is a good place to
start.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/04/competing-wa-cap-and-trade-ballot.html">Cascadia
Planet suggested this before</a>. Could the groups come together?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Would this collaborative approach overcome
fears that competing initiatives will cannibalize each other?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>These are unknowns, but it seems reasonable
to consider this option.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><b><i>Scenario #5</i></b> – The Alliance takes a different tack, leaves carbon
pricing to 732 and approaches energy transition from an energy standard
approach.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Paralleling the new <a href="http://www.reneworegon.org/">Oregon initiative,</a> which calls for coal plant shutdown and a 50% renewable energy
share, a Washington initiative could ramp up the state’s renewables standard
from the 15% by 2020 enacted through I-937.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>If Washington reached 30% new renewables by 2030 - "30x30" - nearly 100% of the
state’s electricity would effectively be wind, solar or
hydroelectric. Washington could join the <a href="http://thesolutionsproject.org/">growing movement to 100% clean renewable energy</a>, which <a href="http://cleantechnica.com/2015/06/11/100-renewable-energy-goal-hawaii-governor-signs-bill/">Hawaii did recently</a> when it mandated 100% by 2045. This would assure that
replacement energy for coal plants including Transalta and Colstrip would not
be natural gas. It would also create significant numbers of green jobs. One
objection is that the measure would only cover the electrical sector while the
state’s largest carbon emissions challenge is transportation.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But transportation is electrifying, and a
regulatory<a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/07/wa-gov-inslee-orders-carbon-regulation.html">
carbon cap rulemaking</a> that the governor has ordered the Department of Ecology to
undertake will cover most transportation fuels used in the state.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">That was strengthened by a recent <a href="http://ourchildrenstrust.org/sites/default/files/15.11.20WADecisionPR.pdf">King County Superior Court ruling</a> in response to a suit by youth plaintiffs.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They argued that the state is obligated to
cap carbon emissions under constitutional and legislative mandates to protect
natural resources.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Judge Hollis Hill
agreed.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>(Cascadia Planet will post on
this highly significant ruling soon.)<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Washington state will have a carbon cap, assuming the rulemaking stands
up under the inevitable fossil fuel industry court challenge.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>What it will not have, unless enacted by the
Legislature or the people, is a carbon price.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>This is why it is vital that the Alliance and CarbonWA find some way to
harmonize their efforts, if this is possible. A price on carbon will move
climate solutions forward. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 14.0pt;">We should regard it as a triumph that so many people and groups
are coming to the climate table firmly committed to take action.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We should all acknowledge each other as
people of good will, and seek the best possible outcomes.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We can ill afford a climate policy train
wreck.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Let’s do all we possibly can to
avert one. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com7tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-90752075583316203222015-08-23T10:20:00.000-07:002015-08-26T11:49:43.477-07:00Washington first state to price carbon by popular vote? The obstacle course<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Washington
state climate advocates are aiming at a political act never before achieved on
this planet, enacting a state-level price on carbon pollution by popular
vote.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://carbonwa.org/">Carbon Washington</a> volunteers are on the streets
seeking signatures to place I-732 on the </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;">November 2016 ballot. It</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"> would set a $25-per-ton carbon tax. The <a href="http://jobscleanenergywa.com/">Alliance for Jobs and Clean Energy </a>is exploring a carbon-pricing measure for that ballot, likely by a cap-and-trade similar to California’s. (See comments for update.)</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">So far the
only U.S. electorate that has voted to tax its own carbon pollution is at a city level, that of
the uber-liberal enclave of <a href="http://www.dailycamera.com/ci_21941854/boulder-issue-2a-carbon-tax-appears-likely-be">Boulder,
Colorado</a>.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Residents in 2006 voted to
tax themselves an average of $21 annually, and renewed it in 2012. In 2010 Californians
voted down an initiative to repeal their cap-and-trade.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But to this date, none of the <a href="http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2015/05/26/carbon-pricing-initiatives-nearly-50-billion">many
state, province or national carbon pricing systems</a> has been enacted at the
ballot box.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The path to this date has
been through legislative and executive decision-making.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p><br /></o:p></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjn6_YX-6OI-1D-76WgtSccYvJAbRNmQT7OJejAGSRTUppr9cHwpNMdqZ1DZRS5Q4FmCnlx7XupNRKZTUmXFinxI4D9Y-br9_wJSvDIM3J0uC-qnTHB64S93qFj2i-z_M5sSdBatuQ2OXQ/s1600/washington-state.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="258" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjn6_YX-6OI-1D-76WgtSccYvJAbRNmQT7OJejAGSRTUppr9cHwpNMdqZ1DZRS5Q4FmCnlx7XupNRKZTUmXFinxI4D9Y-br9_wJSvDIM3J0uC-qnTHB64S93qFj2i-z_M5sSdBatuQ2OXQ/s400/washington-state.png" width="400" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Washington
state would seem prime turf to set a precedent. Wildfires are scorching hundreds of square
miles and forcing evacuation of whole towns.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Record drought threatens water supplies.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Salmon are dying by the hundreds of thousands in overheated streams.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Carbon-acidified waters are driving out the shellfish industry.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The state is on the climate chaos frontlines.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Nonetheless,
passage of any measure at a statewide level is an obstacle-laden proposition. A tsunami
of opposition funding from the fossil fuel industry and its allies will greet
any initiative.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>(It would be a good time
to own a TV station in one of the state’s major metros.)<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It is also famously difficult to gain voter
approval for measures that impose new taxes or fees, even when they are not directly affected, as the 2010 two-to-one whomping of I-1098’s income tax on upscale incomes
demonstrated. State voters instead have a record of voting for tax cuts, as the
successes of initiative entrepreneur Tim Eyman have shown.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>(Though not so successful in recent years,
Eyman is returning with <a href="http://crosscut.com/2015/07/lawsuit-tries-to-pre-empt-eyman/">another tax
limiting measure</a> this fall if it survives court challenges.) <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">CLIMATE FORCES DIVIDED<o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">If these
obstacles were not tough enough, a fractious politics creates additional
hurdles. The Alliance and CarbonWA are in public and messy tensions with each
other.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Attempting an unprecedented
political act against industry opposition and voter skepticism would seem at a
minimum to require unity among climate advocates.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Today climate forces are divided. This post
looks at the roots of the struggle, tracks its unfolding chronology over recent
months, and seeks to analyze what it means for ballot box success.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>There
is a lot of ground to cover, so please bear with a longer-than-usual post. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The split
tracks back to the failure of the federal climate legislation campaign in 2010.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Very much an effort by environmental NGOs to
bring the power of influential constituencies such as business </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;">to bear</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">, the
federal effort ended in dismal failure.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>But by that point a more grassroots-oriented climate movement was
starting to emerge.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Direct action
against expansion of pipelines and other fossil fuel infrastructure was one
aspect.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Another was organizing for a
carbon tax by citizens skeptical of the carbon cap-and-trade system proposed in
the federal bill.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">In Washington
economist Yoram Bauman spearheaded creation of CarbonWA, which began pushing
toward a carbon tax initiative.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This set
up tensions </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;">with Climate Solutions and allied groups</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"> leading federal and state legislative
efforts. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> Climate Solutions was pursuing what it called the West Coast Agenda, passage of </span></span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;">cap-and-trade through Washington and Oregon statehouses as a way of kickstarting progress back to Congress at some point. It would take a central role in forming and organizing the Alliance in early 2015 as the Washington vehicle to carry out the Agenda. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">After
talking about an initiative for several years CarbonWA was urgent to move. Losing
patience with a legislative process that blocked Gov. Jay Inslee’s
cap-and-trade in the 2015 legislature, the group submitted I-732 as an initiative to the legislature. Group leaders say they would have pulled the initiative if the
legislature had moved on the Inslee bill, even if it was not their preferred policy design. Now CarbonWA aims to return to the legislature in January with 264,000 qualified
signatures to secure placement in the 2016 general election.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>At this writing the campaign has garnered over
100,000, despite opposition and potential ballot measure competition from the Alliance. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“ . . . a
powerful coalition that includes the state’s major green and labor groups is
trying to squash the effort,” <span style="color: #1a1718;">Seattle Times political
reporter Jim Brunner reported in a July 26 Sunday edition story bannered across
the front page, <a href="http://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/politics/carbon-tax-initiative-divides-environmentalists/">“Carbon-tax
initiative divides environmentalists.”</a></span> Describing CarbonWA as “<span style="color: #1a1718;">scrappy, grass-roots” and “an upstart, eclectic bunch,”
Brunner reported, <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span>“<span style="color: #1a1718;">I-732 backers say they’ve waited long enough for action
from the political establishment and are pushing ahead.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>He quoted Bauman, “They
say that there might be another measure. I feel like some of those folks have
been saying that for years.” </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Indeed, an Aug.
10 Seattle Times <a href="http://www.seattletimes.com/opinion/wash-state-can-lead-on-global-warming-and-clean-energy/">op-ed
by Alliance leaders</a> couched the ballot prospect. “<span style="color: #1a1718;">Throughout
the summer, the alliance will continue to explore possible climate ballot measures
with the goal to file and qualify an initiative to the people in 2016,” they
wrote. </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Cascadia
Planet broke the story about <a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/04/environmental-nonprofits-seek-to-kill.html">environmental
group efforts against I-732</a> back in April.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>A few weeks later<span style="color: #1a1718;"> tensions between the
Alliance and CarbonWA appeared to ease with a <a href="http://carbonwa.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/joint-statement-final-5-2-15.pdf">joint
statement</a>, “. . . </span>we are not currently endorsing each other’s
efforts. But we have no objections to individuals or groups supporting or
working with either or both groups (or making a joint endorsement). We respect
each other’s efforts to build a strong movement for climate action and will
stay in close contact in the months ahead as the alliance completes its
research work and as Carbon Washington moves forward with its
signature-gathering campaign for I-732.”<span style="color: #1a1718;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Despite that seeming accord, the
rift between the groups re-emerged with a June 12 memo signed by 23 members of
the the Alliance Steering Committee. It raised objections that could not be
interpreted in any other way than as an effort to discourage I-732 signature
gathering.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“. . . after extensive
evaluation the alliance has determined we will no longer consider supporting
its Initiative . . . As stated in the attached memorandum, recent polling
unfortunately shows that I-732 is not winnable, and confirms that running
multiple climate ballot measures in 2016 ensures across-the-board defeat.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Pollsters
reported, “just 39 percent of Washington voters back Initiative 732 when read
the full and final language of the ballot question . . .The prospects for
Initiative 732 look grim.” CarbonWA was presented with the results.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><a href="http://carbonwa.org/carbonwa-last-chance-to-collect-signatures-for-july-and-seattle-times-article/">Bauman’s
response</a> was, “<span style="color: #1d1d1d;">The alliance thinks the most
important result from the poll they conducted last month is that initial
support for the Carbon Washington proposal is under 40% (i.e., 39%); Carbon
Washington thinks the most important result from that poll is that support
climbs to over 60% (61% Yes, 35% No, 4% Undecided) when the proposal is
explained in simple language.”<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Other analysis from the pollsters raises continued questions about whether the
Alliance will go ahead with its own initiative:<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>“Our survey explored a number of other potential ballot measure
concepts, all of which started with more support than Initiative 732 – with
some topping fifty and even sixty percent – though all were similarly impacted
by negative messaging<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>. . . However,
further research should help to identify an alternative ballot measure concept
with sufficient initial support and durability in the face of messaging to win
voter approval in 2016.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">That a
ballot concept considered to be viable has not yet emerged is not due to lack
of polling.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Public opinion researchers
have been testing policy designs on likely voters for several years.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">In
important ways the governor has already taken matters into his own hands. He
issued a <a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/07/wa-gov-inslee-orders-carbon-regulation.html">July
28 order</a> for a rulemaking to impose a carbon cap by regulation, he hopes by
next summer.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Based on existing state law
for clean air protection, it requires no additional legislative action, though
a court challenge is likely.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The
Department of Ecology proceeding is geared to create a system of carbon permits
that polluters could trade among themselves. Though that market may de facto set its own price, a pricing system that brings carbon revenues into state coffers will require further action. Rumors have
been flying that the governor will announce his own referendum
as early as September.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">COMMUNITIES OF COLOR
WEIGH IN<o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">That still leaves the problem of divided forces.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The most profound and troubling evidence of a
fundamental split came 12 days after the the Alliance Steering Committee
memo.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A June 24 <a href="http://www.realchangenews.org/2015/07/08/communities-color-say-carbon-washington-s-initiative-732-confuses-equity-treating">climate
justice open letter</a> signed by leaders of eight Alliance member groups
representing communities of color outright opposed I-732 on the grounds of
equity and inclusiveness.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The signers
represent Got Green, Puget Sound SAGE, One America, Washington Community Action Network,
Asian-Pacific Islanders Coalition, El Centro de la Raza and the Latino
Community Fund.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The groups object to </span><span style="color: #313131; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">the way I-732 allocates carbon revenues.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> The initiative</span> is dubbed “revenue-neutral" because
it recycles all carbon revenues to tax cuts and credits. The state sales tax is reduced one percent. A tax credit of up to $1,500 is funded for each of the
state’s 400,000 lowest income families. The business & occupation tax
on manufacturers is eliminated.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>All the
measures are intended to balance higher energy prices.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The theory is that if carbon revenues are
recycled, people will respond to the market disincentive of higher energy costs
by spending on other items. A $30/ton revenue-neutral carbon tax has appeared
to reduce transportation fuel use around 10 percent in British Columbia.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="color: #313131; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">By contrast, communities of color leaders say, carbon revenues
should be spent ensuring an equitable and a just transition from fossil fuels. A
“Principles for Climate Justice” statement signed by the same groups last year
was a clear precursor to the conflict, forecast by Cascadia Planet in a Nov. 25, 2014
post, </span><a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2014/11/climate-justice-in-collision-with.html" style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">“Climate
justice in collision with revenue-neutral carbon policies?</a><span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">.”</span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></div>
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<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">The statement read, </span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">“Racial equity must be at the center of
policies that address climate change . . . </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Revenue . . . should be invested directly in lower-income
communities, indigenous communities and communities of color so that the
economic benefits outweigh the policy’s economic burdens . . . <span style="color: #1a1a1a;">The highest priority for reinvestment must be to mitigate
financial costs of implementation to communities with lower
incomes. Further reduce our reliance on fossil fuels. Create clean,
living wage jobs that open pathways for people with lower-incomes, people of
color, and local residents to enter the green industry workforce. Enable
people to live where they work with access to clean transportation, an
affordable place to live, and clean and secure food sources.”</span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The June 24 letter echoed those statements: </span><span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span>
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<!--StartFragment--><span style="color: #313131; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "MS 明朝"; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast;">“</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">This past January we helped
form an inclusive statewide coalition with a mission that includes equity, the
Alliance for Jobs and Clean Energy. </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "MS 明朝"; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast;">Our
diverse coalition includes faith, families, health, labor, business, and
justice communities calling for action to reduce pollution, create green jobs,
and invest in communities of color and lower incomes</span><span style="color: #313131; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"> . . . Carbon Washington’s Initiative 732, crafted
without inclusive input, fails to equitably reinvest revenue from pricing
carbon pollution. It relies on a flat payout using the same regressive sales
tax structure that has made our state dead last in fairness.”</span><span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;"><br /></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;">To be balanced, the failed Inslee climate package supported by the Alliance and its member groups fell substantially short of the “Principles for Climate Justice,” without significant funds for green jobs or renewable energy, a minimal amount for affordable housing, and a transportation funding proposal that would have devoted far more to road maintenance than transit and other auto alternatives. It is expected, though, that a measure going to a public ballot will take a different shape than one designed to pass a legislative gauntlet.</span></div>
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<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p><br /></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">I-732 defenders have their own equity argument. The sales tax
cut would balance higher energy prices, while the currently unfunded Working
Families Tax Credit would tip benefits to lower-income groups.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://carbonwa.org/carbon-taxes-are-even-better-than-you-think-part-iii-social-justice/">Bauman
maintains</a>, “. . . the household impact of the carbon tax and the sales tax
reduction offset each other: most households will pay a few hundred dollars a
year more for fossil fuels and a few hundred dollars a year less for everything
else." </span><br />
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">At the same time, the Working Families Tax Credit would reduce the unfair tax burden on the 400,000 lowest income families with children. Writes Bauman, " </span>. . . funding the Working Families
Rebate at a 25% level would provide the greatest improvement to the
progressivity of the Washington State tax system since the sales tax exemption
on groceries was passed at the ballot in 1977.”</span><br />
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><br /></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">The question of which policy design will bring the greatest benefits to disadvantaged communities remains in debate. Nonetheless, the considerable moral authority of communities of color has been brought to bear on the issue. The rift is real and all the more difficult to heal because it is ideological. </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<b><span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><br /></span></b></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<b><span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">PUTTING IT ALL
TOGETHER</span></b></div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
issue between CarbonWA and the Alliance might be mapped as centrist versus
center-left.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">CarbonWA
and similar revenue-neutral advocates argue that measures which add new costs
to grow the size of government will drive away centrist voters – Overcoming
voters’ traditional aversion to voting new revenues will be overcome </span><span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;">only if</span><span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"> revenues are fully recycled back to them. </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The challenge is that skeptical voters might not believe they will
really see the money.<span style="color: #1d1d1d;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
Alliance takes the position that just transition will require greater public
sector efforts funded by carbon revenues, and that such programs will be needed to
draw good voter turnout from low-income and people of color communities. The
group also points out that low-income people without children will gain far less from the
families tax credit. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Another
way of drawing the distinction is less about ideology and more about makeup and
organizing models.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><br />
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">While the Alliance
claims membership of 125 groups of all shapes and sizes, its core is composed
of professional advocacy groups, labor unions and progressive businesses.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The Steering Committee is listed <a href="http://jobscleanenergywa.com/about-the-alliance-for-jobs-and-clean-energy/">here</a>. </span><br />
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">CarbonWA, though it has a skeletal campaign staff, is more a volunteer-driven
outfit that has drawn in local community climate groups and organized additional local
chapters.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It does have a board with several Washington state political veterans such as Bill Finkbeiner, former State Senate majority leader, and a heavy-hitter advisory
board including a number of economists, who tend to like carbon taxes over
cap-and-trade.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> The line-up is <a href="http://carbonwa.org/about-us/">here</a>. The initiative is also endorsed by several figures from the progressive side of state politics including Seattle City Councilmember Nick Licata, former Mayor Mike McGinn, and former County Executive Ron Sims. </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
obvious question is whether these differing tendencies and positions can pull
together by November 2016.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Can the
fractures of 2015 heal by 2016?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
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<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Some
of the answers will start to arrive in fall.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>CarbonWA expects most of its signatures will be gathered by the end of October.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In a practical sense, that
means it must accumulate roughly twice the number of names in the last three months of the campaign as it did in the first three months to assure enough qualified signatures.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>That will be a tough haul, but the campaign has built momentum and a
large army of signature gatherers.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
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<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">If
I-732 fails, the question will be whether this citizen energy will flow to
another initiative campaign. Signature gathering for any measure announced by the
Alliance or the governor this fall will take place next year. It will have
money to hire paid signature gatherers, so will have less need for
volunteers.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Nonetheless, without a lot
of grassroots enthusiasm, it is hard to see any ballot measure surviving the
deluge of fossil fuel opposition money.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Most I-732 supporters will likely vote for any carbon pricing initiative.
But will the fractiousness of this year dampen enthusiasm for deeper
engagement?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">If
I-732 succeeds in ballot placement, the danger is that the fractures opened up
in 2015 continue through until election day 2016.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> The best that can be done is to state the questions. If it is the only initiative, will the controversy this year depress enthusiasm among constituencies critical for passage? If there are dueling initiatives, will the tone of the debate be respectful or fractious? </span></span><span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">T</span><span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">he wisest course in that scenario would be to set aside conflicts and advocate for an all-of-the-above strategy.</span><br />
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">I have thought long and hard about the CarbonWA-Alliance conflict, and confess I
am of divided mind.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Personally, I lean
toward the kind of investments for which the “Principles for Climate Justice” call. The title of my blog post
says it, “</span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;"><a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2014/06/beyond-market-fundamentalism-climate.html">Beyond
Market Fundamentalism: The Climate War Requires Public Purpose and Investment</a>.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Carbon frameworks that rely purely on the
market-tipping effects of carbon pricing will not alone be sufficient to achieve the
rapid and dramatic carbon emissions reductions for which science calls.
Scientist James Hansen, who has lined out the needed reductions scenario and is also a preeminent advocate of revenue-neutral carbon taxes,
himself acknowledges, “</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Although
a carbon fee is the sine qua non for phasing out emissions, the urgency of
slowing emissions also implies other needs including widespread technical cooperation
in clean energy technologies.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> <a href="http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/15/20059/2015/acpd-15-20059-2015.pdf">(See Conclusions.)</a></span> In other words, Apollo Project-scale or greater funding.</span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">At the
same time, a carbon price in itself is vital and CarbonWA’s $25/ton tax is an
important first step. If I-732 were enacted, it would only be the beginning. The need for deep carbon reductions demands further steps. Future carbon revenues beyond the $25/ton figure could conceivably be
devoted to carbon-reducing investments. The important consideration is to put a
stake in the ground and give citizens familiarity with carbon pricing, whether
through I-732 or an alternative measure proposed by the Alliance or the
governor.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>To this point the I-732
campaign has been the only game in town, has built a deep-rooted network of
enthusiastic volunteers, and has provided a way to spur the climate
conversation at a grassroots level, engaging well over 100,000 people on the streets by now.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That
kind of engagement will be needed to pass any initiative, and CarbonWA is currently generating it.<o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><b>WEIGHING THE ODDS</b></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The ultimate test is viability at the ballot box. <span style="color: #1d1d1d;"> The bottom line question is – Can anything pass?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Is
Washington capable of enacting the first state-level carbon pricing in the
world by popular vote?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1d1d1d; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
2006 vote on I-937 provides a parallel, and leaves a troubling message.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>After many years of frustration seeking to
pass a renewable electricity standard in the legislature, clean energy
advocates went to the ballot box to enact a requirement for a 15% new renewable
energy share in the state. Running up against utility industry charges the
measure would increase electrical bills, the measure squeaked by with only
51.73%. In the case of a carbon pricing measure energy costs will indisputably increase. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> That is, in fact, the point. </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Two
strategies are in play to overcome this hurdle. CarbonWA seeks to bring in
moderates and centrist voters with its revenue-neutral policy, and is hoping they will believe it's not a bait-and-switch.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The Alliance is seeking to unify and turn out
progressive constituencies with just transition funding.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>While I am philosophically more in tune with the position carbon revenues should fund energy transition, I have concerns there may be some strategic hubris in the circle-the-progessive-wagons approach.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They center on the likely angle of attack
opposition forces will employ.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">It is
easy to see it coming – "Seattle liberals want to impose new energy taxes on you, pushing up your gas and power bills to create yet another social program."<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The
targets will be suburban, rural and working class voters who already feel
economically stressed, are</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;"> alienated from the political establishment, and </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">do not see benefits coming their way.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> The kind of voters Tim Eyman seeks to draw. It is not a pretty political reality, but it is a political reality, </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">An
important proxy for this is the 2014 King County Proposition 1 vote to increase
transit services.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>As the map of the
2012 governor’s race results below shows, pulling a large margin in King County - the dark blue patch on the east side of Puget Sound - will
be crucial to passing anything statewide.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Even with climate impacts coming to Eastern Washington, a climate measure
will still get creamed there, as well as in the Republican-leaning Southwest
corner of the state.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Margins in other
Puget Sound and Westside counties will be narrower, so piling up a landslide
victory in King County is the key to victory.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgrLuHNENelHOei7WCPsZHLiK12NacwKmDbKd_XO3lUtCKJWGgo80ZWvDC37uSm7J4xTmifuW6TdA0l0gB0bgrOxJVpiEhmTHdvwWFZObSsyfEFJuE4NmU6v2eduMzrPu1TE7MXl23VASE/s1600/565px-Washington_State_Gubernatorial_2012_Election_Results_by_County.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="345" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgrLuHNENelHOei7WCPsZHLiK12NacwKmDbKd_XO3lUtCKJWGgo80ZWvDC37uSm7J4xTmifuW6TdA0l0gB0bgrOxJVpiEhmTHdvwWFZObSsyfEFJuE4NmU6v2eduMzrPu1TE7MXl23VASE/s400/565px-Washington_State_Gubernatorial_2012_Election_Results_by_County.png" width="400" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">King County Prop 1
asked voters to approve a 0.1 percent sales tax increase and a $60 annual car tab fee
for 10 years. The April 2014 vote saw Seattle vote 2-1 in favor, but the
measure lost by an eight-percent margin. Ben Anderstone of Progressive Strategies
Northwest put together the precinct-level map below to show just what happened.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In urban areas where transit is a more viable
option - such as the core of Seattle - the measure won big. It was crushed by suburban voters who could not see much of a direct benefit to them, and did not want to pay more for car tabs. Seattle was ultimately forced back to conduct its own successful transit funding vote. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;">Voters not seeing their direct interest is the danger any climate ballot measure faces. </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;">One which adds to the overall tax burden might face a steeper climb, especially if the benefits seem to be flowing elsewhere. </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"> Of course, we all have an interest in recovering a stable climate, and perhaps the
intensification of climate impacts in Washington can put a measure over the
top.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The crux will be
whether voters see the benefit of increasing their energy bills in order to
protect the climate. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">At this point, the best that can be said is the matter is
in uncertainty, and a fractured climate movement does not improve the odds. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The hope is that whatever measure or measures
make it to the 2016 ballot, the movement will have re-gained sufficient unity
and voters will be sufficiently motivated by climate impacts they see happening
in their state and world to vote in carbon pricing. Washington state will make history if they
do.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> But the obstacle course on the way is </span></span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;">steep</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> and deeply pitted. </span></div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-28515479099960456552015-08-18T13:42:00.000-07:002015-08-18T15:38:39.690-07:00The kids call us out – Filing lawsuits for science-based climate recovery<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">It’s time
for everyone who works on climate or cares about it to admit the truth – We
can’t say we are protecting our children’s future unless we are doing what
science says we must do to recover climate stability.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">And we are not.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">So far, everything we are doing or proposing
is falling far short.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Fortunately,
the kids are calling us out and making it impossible to ignore the facts.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Twenty-one youths filed an Oregon US District
Court lawsuit last Wednesday seeking a court order “declaring that the Federal
Government has violated and is continuing to violate the fundamental
constitutional rights of youth and future generations to life, liberty,
property, and public trust resources by causing dangerous CO2 concentrations in
the atmosphere and dangerous government interference with a stable climate
system . . .”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">That is
from the <a href="http://ourchildrenstrust.org/sites/default/files/Summary-ConstitutionalClimateChangeLawsuit.pdf">case
summary</a> issued by <a href="http://ourchildrenstrust.org/">Our Children’s Trust</a>, a Eugene, Oregon-based group
leading youth climate legal efforts across the world.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That includes <a href="http://ourchildrenstrust.org/US/LawsuitStates">state actions</a> in Washington,
Oregon, Massachusetts, Colorado and North Carolina, and proceedings in <a href="http://ourchildrenstrust.org/legal/international">eight other nations</a>.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In one of those, The Netherlands, a judge in
June ordered carbon reductions of 25% by 2020, setting a pattern for the world.
(Cascadia Planet has covered the <a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/07/wa-gov-inslee-orders-carbon-regulation.html">Washington
lawsuit</a>, and will dive deeper into the legal wrangling between the suit and
a carbon cap rulemaking ordered by the governor in a coming blog post.)<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The youth
want the court to order “the Federal Government to protect these constitutional
rights by significantly reducing our nation’s CO2 emissions through
implementation of a science-based climate recovery plan,” says the summary.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgub6Uk6_TkzQprL__qC3wvMOyl-RFkYb32OA8WqLOFLTBcFdg4fgNi7p5TyioyLblUYsrLZavd2_t3x-wkYzZiGKrdBVGrD-y9Zp-2X9yJ5zGmKCMZ3LFL9yN1Qm67Kmyyeo-VfrCptKE/s1600/Hansen+and+Sophie.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="454" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgub6Uk6_TkzQprL__qC3wvMOyl-RFkYb32OA8WqLOFLTBcFdg4fgNi7p5TyioyLblUYsrLZavd2_t3x-wkYzZiGKrdBVGrD-y9Zp-2X9yJ5zGmKCMZ3LFL9yN1Qm67Kmyyeo-VfrCptKE/s640/Hansen+and+Sophie.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b>Scientist James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie, one of the plaintiffs in a climate lawsuit against the federal government. </b></td></tr>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Their demands
are uncompromising, and based in science developed by James Hansen and his
team.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Arguably the world’s leading
climate scientist, Hansen’s analysis and projections have proven remarkably
accurate.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Hansen’s science comes down to
the basic physics of atmospheric energy imbalance.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Global warming is all about greenhouse gases trapping
solar heat as it reflects back from the planet’s surface.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">We know precisely how much heat will be
captured based on the amount of greenhouse gases concentrated in the
atmosphere.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Carbon dioxide, the most
powerful and long-lasting greenhouse gas, at 400 parts per million catches an
excess of 0.6 watts on average for every square meter on the planet’s surface. </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Hansen notes this figure in his </span><a href="http://ourchildrenstrust.org/sites/default/files/15.08.12.HansenExpertDecSupportingYouth.pdf" style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">expert
testimony</a><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> for the lawsuit, adding,</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">
</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">“. . . I am uncertain whether this conveys to the Court the scale of
what is going on . . . Earth’s energy imbalance is equivalent to exploding more
than 400,000 Hiroshima atomic bombs per day, 365 days per year . . . because of
our use of the atmosphere as a waste dump for our carbon pollution.”</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">For kids
8-19 years old, the range of the 21 in the suit, that’s a lot of Hiroshimas
coming in their lifetimes. Restoring the balance, stopping those 400,000 nukes
from exploding every day for the rest of their lives, requires returning CO2 to
350 parts per million.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>(That is where
the 350.org network gets its name.) Dr. Hansen’s prescription is the 6%
solution.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We must immediately commence
carbon emissions reductions of 6% each year until the end of the century.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Timing is crucial. If we wait until 2020 to
begin emissions reductions the annual requirement is 15% per year.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Along with dramatic emissions reductions we
must tip the balance from deforestation to reforestation.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We must draw 100 billion tonnes of carbon out
of the atmosphere this century, storing it as biocarbon in trees, other plants
and soils through changed forestry and agriculture practices. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">That is
the science-based climate recovery plan that the 21 youths are asking the
federal government to implement, based not on any new law but on existing
constitutional rights guarantees. Hansen, himself the grandfather of one of the
plaintiffs, testified, “this lawsuit is made necessary by the at-best
schizophrenic, if not suicidal, nature of U.S. climate and energy policy.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The Our
Children’s Trust summary notes, “For over fifty years, the Federal Government
has known that carbon dioxide pollution from burning fossil fuels was causing
global warming and dangerous climate change, and that continuing to burn fossil
fuels would destabilize the climate system on which present and future generations
of our nation depend for their well being and survival. Despite this full
knowledge, the Federal Government has allowed and promoted the development and
use of fossil fuels, thus increasing the concentration of CO2 emissions in the
atmosphere to unsafe levels and creating the dangerous climate change and ocean
acidification that we face today.” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">President
Obama’s recent approval of Arctic drilling by Shell Oil is a poster for
schizoid behavior. The lawsuit provides another Oregon-based instance of federal
schizophrenia, approval of a liquefied natural gas export terminal at Jordan
Cove, and asks a reversal of the permitting.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Hansen’s
testimony cites horrendous implications of continuing on the current suicidal
pathway.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Two in particular stand out.
One is the near certainty that if we continue, sea levels will rise 16-30 feet,
drowning hundreds of coastal cities and creating hundreds of millions of
climate refugees.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The other is a great
extinction – 9-31% of species wiped out with total global warming of 1.6°
C.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That is only 0.7°C over the warming
that has already taken place.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Half of
all species could go extinct with total warming of 2.9°C.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">On the
other hand, if we implement the 6% solution with 100 billion tonnes of
biocarbon storage, we can hold total temperature increase to not much above
1°C, saving untold numbers of species and preventing tremendous amounts of
grief for our species.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> That means</span> our own
children and generations to come. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">There is
really no excuse anymore.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Especially not
among those who call ourselves climate advocates.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>To not be pushing for the level of carbon
reductions that science clearly indicates is simply another form of climate
science denial. It is more insidious than the outright climate denial practiced
by fossil fuel industry front groups, because it claims to acknowledge the science
when in fact it ignores the full implications. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">To
continue pushing aside science in the name of political “realism” calls out a phrase
invented by journalist I.F. Stone during the Cold War to describe those who
thought they could plan a winnable nuclear war.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>He called them “crackpot realists.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>It is similarly crackpot to think we can plot a realistic climate
pathway that allows those 400,000 Hiroshimas and more to go off each day for
centuries to come.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>And centuries of
global warming beyond 2100 is the implication of climate policies now being considered
at state, national and international levels. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That goes for plans and goals expected to
come out of the upcoming U.N. Paris climate summit, now not even sufficient to hold
warming within the scientifically outdated 2°C formerly considered the safety limit.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">We are
doing nothing less than betraying our kids and their future by not forcefully
pressing the 6% solution and the accompanying 100 billion-tonne growth in biocarbon that are called for by science.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Fortunately, the
kids won’t let us alone.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They are pressing
their fundamental rights in court. They possess both scientific solid ground
and the moral high ground.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They are the
real climate leaders.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It is time we join
with them to truly protect their future and call for climate recovery plans
that are based in science.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In good
conscience, we can aim for nothing less.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com10tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-79138334981311955732015-08-02T14:56:00.000-07:002015-08-06T20:51:33.633-07:00The Fennica Actions: “Bold, cultural revolution” comes to Portland<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjg9VRZan6-YmbQ65NexKxWDhcBC4KzxV6b6Q5JvHpxY2k42xNhmNGDrXdDD6UeD6bEG9mipACF9Fx_Fm59clYyD2_gk-Nhhnh5oDbXrPKvx-QKO7yrkX8HtDrLOx8dux7B7IDOeqtIJI8/s1600/St+Johsn+bridge+action.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="446" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjg9VRZan6-YmbQ65NexKxWDhcBC4KzxV6b6Q5JvHpxY2k42xNhmNGDrXdDD6UeD6bEG9mipACF9Fx_Fm59clYyD2_gk-Nhhnh5oDbXrPKvx-QKO7yrkX8HtDrLOx8dux7B7IDOeqtIJI8/s640/St+Johsn+bridge+action.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b>Greenpeace climbers blockade Fennica from St. Johns Bridge in Portland.</b></td></tr>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">The same
week Pope Francis in his <a href="http://w2.vatican.va/content/francesco/en/encyclicals/documents/papa-francesco_20150524_enciclica-laudato-si.html">climate encyclical</a> called for “a bold cultural
revolution” to win “liberation from the dominant technocratic paradigm,” a
group of kayaktavists in Seattle boldly set themselves in front of Shell Oil’s
monster oil rig departing to drill in the Arctic.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">This past week the revolution came to
Portland when kayaktavists and climbers hanging from St. John’s Bridge blocked
passage of Shell’s icebreaker Fennica, a vital element of the Arctic drilling
fleet.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
climbers held position for 40 hours from early Wednesday morning until the ship
was finally able to slip by Thursday.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>That was 32 hours after the time it was scheduled to depart from a
Willamette River drydock where a three-foot gash in its hull was repaired.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The Fennica was carrying a containment device
without which Shell cannot drill into oil-bearing strata.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The climbers and kayaktavists in both Portland and Seattle actions exhibited in the
most profound way possible the meaning of “a bold, cultural revolution” against
“the dominant technocratic paradigm.” <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They put their bodies and lives in the path of
massive machines that could not more acutely represent that paradigm and its
global insanity – The third largest corporation in the world, <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/may/17/shell-climate-change-rhetoric-the-real-story">whose
own projections</a> show catastrophic global warming of 4°C, furthering that
scenario by continuing to expand the fossil fuel frontier and doing it in a
region where warming-driven ice melt makes it more possible, the Arctic.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">To even
have a chance of holding warming below the standard safety barrier of 2°C, most
fossil reserves must be kept in the ground including all Arctic gas and oil, <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/jan/07/much-worlds-fossil-fuel-reserve-must-stay-buried-prevent-climate-change-study-says">a
new study</a> in Nature concludes. But the real barrier is more like 1°C,
concludes world-renowned climate scientist James Hansen and his team.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Going to 2°C will cause radical sea level
rise, as much as 10 feet in 50 years, inundating coastlines and coastal
communities, <a href="http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2015/07/20/sea_level_study_james_hansen_issues_dire_climate_warning.html">a
new Hansen study</a> shows. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #262626; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">If dramatic cuts in carbon pollution do not commence soon, <a href="http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/opinion/oped/bs-ed-climate-scientist-20150727-story.html">Hansen
writes</a>, “. . . Los Angeles, New York, Miami and three quarters of the
biggest cities on the planet should prepare for life underwater.”</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p>-<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEirr6MHfdGnNu5GIpFn0ykLOOI8KBeZEC-DPvgljhsRs4t6octwansnJNmybjqLbKARhHkI18xtFTjPOvK_Kdme4_-qTjqE-ngUXkCgnQXQC17iU8SDf_HfmQQP2apFQK-ZkR5ox4nsEHI/s1600/NYC+ice+free.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEirr6MHfdGnNu5GIpFn0ykLOOI8KBeZEC-DPvgljhsRs4t6octwansnJNmybjqLbKARhHkI18xtFTjPOvK_Kdme4_-qTjqE-ngUXkCgnQXQC17iU8SDf_HfmQQP2apFQK-ZkR5ox4nsEHI/s640/NYC+ice+free.jpg" width="476" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b>New York City with 100-feet sea level rise, virtually inevitable if most fossil fuel reserves are not left in the ground. That includes the Arctic oil for which </b><b>Shell is drilling. Shell itself projects a </b><b>4 deg. C global warming. That would set the planet on a path to melting all polar ice, which would inundate New York under 250 feet of rising seas. From<a href="http://spatialities.com/"> Spacialities Drowned Cities Project</a>. Among other cities also available for purchase are Los Angeles, London, Hong Kong, Boston, Seattle, Portland and Montreal.</b></td></tr>
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</o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p><br /></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Ironically,
the very drydock at which the Fennica was parked would be underwater with a
10-foot rise, this Climate Central mapping tool shows.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><a href="http://ss2.climatecentral.org/?bbox=45.6726519659,-122.8732229,45.4105512758,-122.4355481&label=Portland#14/45.5589/-122.7001?show=satellite&level=10&pois=show">Look
at the docks</a> sticking out into the Willamette toward the upper left center.
<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">I was in
front of those docks a week ago Saturday paddling my kayak in a quickly
assembled flotilla of around 70 boats.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Less than 48 hours before a circle meeting in a Northeast Portland
church decided to go for the Saturday action.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Building on the Seattle actions including the May 16 Paddle in Seattle,
the local <a href="https://www.facebook.com/ClimateActionCoalition">Climate
Action Council</a> and member groups <a href="http://350pdx.org/">350PDX</a> and
<a href="https://www.facebook.com/PDXRisingTide">Portland Rising Tide</a> had
been preparing for some time.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They
already had dozens of people signed up for kayak-tion and were ready to swing
into gear with phone banks and social media.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/350Seattle">350 Seattle </a>activists were on hand to help. </span><a href="http://www.backbonecampaign.org/">Backbone Campaign</a>,
originator of the kayaktavist idea and one of the key Seattle organizers, was
also on hand with its truck filled with props, banners to be used in the
Saturday event, and spare kayaks.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg3ZOG3aRqwxA1NyxBWq_pm6ItOS1UEbaskTeS5ROPxkhBPFFHcYpbwWJfEe77xPgEAqIgXbBwwBRFwWAIk3AFr1_EkrIP-lND5GEnn01dbf4hwYlpWwoGKjQdIoRvsvfAhziA8UfVLr60/s1600/Shell+No+Portland.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="426" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg3ZOG3aRqwxA1NyxBWq_pm6ItOS1UEbaskTeS5ROPxkhBPFFHcYpbwWJfEe77xPgEAqIgXbBwwBRFwWAIk3AFr1_EkrIP-lND5GEnn01dbf4hwYlpWwoGKjQdIoRvsvfAhziA8UfVLr60/s640/Shell+No+Portland.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b>Kayak flotilla in front of Fennica.</b></td></tr>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">The
Saturday event was a roaring success, banner lifts in front of the Vigor
Shipyards dock containing Fennica covered on all local TV stations, even live a
couple of times on KOIN-6.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">But it was
only the prelude for what was to come.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The ship
only pulled in before dawn Saturday morning.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Expectations were repairs would not take long.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Shell has only a several-month drilling
season, and time is money.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Organizers
were alerted the ship was planning departure around 10am Wednesday.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Greenpeace deployed its 13 climbers from the
bridge in the wee hours.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Morning light
saw the awe-inspiring sight of an aerial blockade across the high bridge.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Meanwhile kayaktavists and supporters
gathered in Cathedral Park on the east end of the bridge.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">When the
climbers deployed red and yellow streamers, using Shell’s own colors against
it, the visual spectacle was incomparable.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>It was an example par excellence of a term coined by Backbone founder
Bill Moyer, “artful activism.” Through the day people gathered in the park and
took to the water beneath the climbers, who were starting to bake in their harnesses.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> Temperatures climbed to and above 100, very rare in Portland, and would stay up there both action days. As if to double up on the message that global warming has already arrived with a vengeance and we better do something about it quick. </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
morning of the second day, Fennica took off from the dock and approached within 300 feet of the climbers only to turn back.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>It was clearly a move to trigger a prior injunction by an oil-industry
compliant federal judge that Greenpeace affiliates had to remain at a greater
distance from Shell Arctic fleet ships.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>The judge charged Greenpeace $2,500 for each hour the climbers remained,
going up $2,500 a day to reach $10,000 on the fourth.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Later in the afternoon, local police and fire
crews took control of climbers’ lines and forced three in the center down to
the water.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A path through the center
made for passage, Fennica took off from the dock and approached. Dozens of
kayaktavists and other boaters rushed into the channel, defying a Coast Guard closure. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p> <table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiZvZ4PjguKW_DtrF7-UM-P2VC6orBekkY-XM17jZ-G3U4bjldLeHSLcEClR5l8ga3PYgSVCcHkZ91u-uOE5xUU18m4fhXvP3ej-cSDPDJG8gF_aZfPvTmLA3YQfH1-pz_TYjcwzOiL4xw/s1600/Kayaktavists+v+Fennica.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="288" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiZvZ4PjguKW_DtrF7-UM-P2VC6orBekkY-XM17jZ-G3U4bjldLeHSLcEClR5l8ga3PYgSVCcHkZ91u-uOE5xUU18m4fhXvP3ej-cSDPDJG8gF_aZfPvTmLA3YQfH1-pz_TYjcwzOiL4xw/s640/Kayaktavists+v+Fennica.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b>Kayaktavists and other boaters confront Fennica. The sailboat was piloted by <a href="https://www.facebook.com/kenward.brightlines">Ken Ward</a>, who in 2013 was one of two who stopped coal shipments to a Massachusetts power plant by putting a lobster boat in the way. Confronted by a defense of necessity to protect Earth's climate, the local prosecutor dropped most charges and admitted the blockaders were right. Ken now lives in the Portland area and is still at it, promoting action through the Climate Disobedience Center.</b></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
</o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">What
happened then could only be described as police brutality on the water, kayaks
rammed by police boats, people in the water having cop jet skis spew directly
in their face.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But, learning some
lessons from Seattle, the kayaktavists put up a fight that lasted some
time.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Fennica was forced to halt before
the cop fleet effectively cordoned off the kayak flotilla. Fennica finally snaked
its way through the narrow passage a little before 6pm.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">Around 25 kayaktavists received citations. To support them donate<a href="http://www.portlandrisingtide.org/"> h<span id="goog_1400099370"></span><span id="goog_1400099371"></span>ere</a>.</span></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Obviously,
the kayaktavists and climbers never expected to hold Fennica back long.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But that was not the point.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In one of the most visually stunning and
inspiring direct actions anywhere in years, they put themselves in the way of a
globally suicidal oil drilling operation.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>They showed the meaning of true moral courage and drew the attention of
the world to Shell’s technocratic madness. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><br /></span></div>
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiaRlTkpZPZ0STGgS-GgXx8YZNiAQxvsLyM9Fcgzfnz69qXHOz3Cg-HM3SWrkmC5fKrRter9RwsI0Sw7LzYVhC51_AXpJJqKe6b-sCoCVzeQwoxSalJY8p9b9LoZIpNPndkiIfB9Uut5MU/s1600/St+Johns+painting.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="508" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiaRlTkpZPZ0STGgS-GgXx8YZNiAQxvsLyM9Fcgzfnz69qXHOz3Cg-HM3SWrkmC5fKrRter9RwsI0Sw7LzYVhC51_AXpJJqKe6b-sCoCVzeQwoxSalJY8p9b9LoZIpNPndkiIfB9Uut5MU/s640/St+Johns+painting.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b>Artful Activism. Painting by local artist Gabriel Liston.</b></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">The great
environmental archdruid David Brower used to close every speech with a line from Goethe: "Anything you can do or dream you can, begin it. Boldness has
genius, power, and magic in it." The bold cultural revolutionaries who
acted in Portland this past week showed all of that. Genius. Power.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">And magic.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">On to the
next action.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>And the next. And the
next.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Until we indeed do liberate
ourselves from the dominant technocratic paradigm and its varied
insanities.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Dream.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>And be bold.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-12225766668564181342015-07-28T15:57:00.000-07:002015-08-03T06:14:27.471-07:00WA Gov. Inslee orders carbon regulation - Credit to youth lawsuit? <div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"><i>This is an update to a story posted earlier today. </i></span><br />
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Washington Governor Jay Inslee today ordered the state
Department of Ecology to place a regulatory cap on carbon emissions. While a successful youth lawsuit to spur such an action is not being given direct credit, it is hard not to see the connection. </span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Carbon pollution and the climate change it causes pose a very
real and existential threat to our state,” Inslee said. “Farmers in the Yakima
Valley know this. Shellfish growers on the coast know this. Firefighters
battling Eastern Washington blazes know this. And children suffering from
asthma know this all too well and are right to question why Washington hasn’t
acted to protect them.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Inslee is claiming regulatory authority under the state Clean
Air Act. The rulemaking is expected to take a year. </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The action will provide Inslee a
potential opportunity go to the U.N. Paris climate summit in December with a
climate initiative of global significance. <span style="color: #1a1a1a;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">In August
2014 a group of eight youths petitioned the state Department of Ecology to
start a rulemaking for carbon caps much as the governor ordered today. Ecology
rejected the youth petition.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Represented
by the Western Environmental Law Center, they took Ecology to court. On June 23
in a decision unprecedented in the United States, King County Superior Court
Judge Hollis Hill ordered Ecology to reconsider the petition based on
scientific testimony and their own statements.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhe4lEt1DoWMHToXiiJgdPyoQe_Dxa4E4KSNP9XK9ukX7Xrz5HQ0yE724LFOyCX5k4TCvdWDg7TIM8OUaE-caZk4jKjs6FkFx-fgopvAYUrVNHF6jQ-ZNY12rnVt-xK-sHFasdi5du2W9s/s1600/Plant+for+Planet+Kids.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="358" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhe4lEt1DoWMHToXiiJgdPyoQe_Dxa4E4KSNP9XK9ukX7Xrz5HQ0yE724LFOyCX5k4TCvdWDg7TIM8OUaE-caZk4jKjs6FkFx-fgopvAYUrVNHF6jQ-ZNY12rnVt-xK-sHFasdi5du2W9s/s640/Plant+for+Planet+Kids.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Of critical
importance, the youth petition affirmed that existing laws provide Ecology with
all the authority it needs to regulate carbon emissions. The governor today took
the same position.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">But the
governor’s press spokeperson, David Postman said, “</span><span style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: 15.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri;">As
far as I know, this effort is not related to the lawsuit against Ecology.”</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Nonetheless it hard to believe that these developments are not connected.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> Ecology is under the gun from Hill's court order. </span></span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> Andrea Rodgers, lead attorney
in their case, has a similar view.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> “The only ones
who asked the governor to do this are those kids. They deserve the credit.”</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The eight
are Zoe and Stella Foster, Ajia and Adonis Piper, Wren Wagenbach, Lara Fain,
Garbriel Mandell and Jenny Zhu. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The youth
petition asked the for carbon emissions reductions of four percent a year beginning
immediately. This is based on science developed by world-renowned climate
scientist James Hansen, who this past week released a <a href="http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2015/07/20/sea_level_study_james_hansen_issues_dire_climate_warning.html">new
study</a> indicating sea level could rise 10 feet in 50 years if deep emissions
reductions do not begin immediately. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">What is
not clear from the governor’s announcement is how far his order will go to
implement science-based goals. The announcement says, “<span style="color: #1a1a1a;">The
regulatory cap on carbon emissions would force a significant reduction in air
pollution and will be the centerpiece of Inslee’s strategy to make sure the
state meets its statutory emission limits set by the Legislature in 2008.”</span>
State carbon emission limits are substantially higher than the level required
by science.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“We’re
going to make sure that whatever Ecology does is based on the best available
science,” Rodgers said.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“When we
meet with Ecology tomorrow we are going to ask that they heed Judge Hill’s
order.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">In her
order Hill quoted Ecology’s own December 2014 report to the governor.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Climate
change is not a far off risk. It is happening now globally and the
impacts are worse than previously predicted, and are forecast to worsen . . .
If we delay action by even a few years, the rate of reduction needed to
stabilize the global climate would be beyond anything achieved historically and
would be more costly.” <o:p></o:p></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Ecology
itself admitted the 2008 goals fall short: “Washington State’s existing
statutory limits should be adjusted to better reflect the current science. The
limits need to be more aggressive in order for Washington to do its part to
address climate risks and to align our limits with other jurisdictions that are
taking responsibility to address these risks.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<!--EndFragment--><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Noted
Hill, “Despite this urgent call to action, based on science it does not
dispute, Ecology’s recommendation in (the December 2014) report is, ‘that no
changes be made to the state’s statutory emission limits at this time.’”</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Judge
Hill wasn’t buying that. She told Ecology to take its own report and
scientific testimony into account and reconsider the youth petition. That is what the agency will have to do. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The regulatory
cap will not in itself set a carbon price as would have the governor’s failed
carbon bill.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But that could come by
future legislative action or a ballot measure. A carbon tax is the center of
Initiative 732 being forwarded by Carbon Washington for the November 2016
ballot.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“This is not the comprehensive approach we could have had with
legislative action,” Inslee said. “But Senate Republicans and the oil industry
have made it clear that they will not accede to any meaningful action on carbon
pollution so I will use my authority under the state Clean Air Act to take
these meaningful first steps.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Inslee
also announced he would not implement a Clean Fuels Standard because it would
have triggered a “poison pill” taking around $2 billion away from
transportation alternatives including transit, bicycling and walking.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">"In
talking about the terrible choice the Senate imposed on the people of
Washington – clean air or buses and safe sidewalks – I heard broad agreement
that we need both clean transportation and clean air,” Inslee said. “I
appreciate the commitment I heard from many to work with me to ensure our state
meets its statutory carbon reduction limits.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">(<a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/07/will-wa-gov-inslee-swallow-poison-pill.html">I
previously wrote</a> that my gut told me Inslee would swallow the “poison
pill.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In this case I’m glad my gut was
wrong.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Clean fuels should not be played
against needed alternatives.) </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Inslee’s
announcement today signifies a tremendous climate victory.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Whether or not they are given direct credit I
believe can thank eight young people and the adults who backed them up.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-35711473182940643332015-07-18T11:28:00.000-07:002015-07-29T10:41:15.076-07:00WA Gov. Inslee considers swallowing “poison pill" to implement low-carbon fuels <div class="MsoNormal">
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh6do1WgaSeEswGQX-DrwWRtfth1jIb0xQcRQR4XgtYFMufBeAP-_u_tUPL45KbWVosXA9RwSu-HxX5zSg_r7wHTbsOjYtVVGq7ySgg03QSfEdfOpK915V1C_0QwHRwwC2_ZVlt1olfeVk/s1600/jay-inslee.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh6do1WgaSeEswGQX-DrwWRtfth1jIb0xQcRQR4XgtYFMufBeAP-_u_tUPL45KbWVosXA9RwSu-HxX5zSg_r7wHTbsOjYtVVGq7ySgg03QSfEdfOpK915V1C_0QwHRwwC2_ZVlt1olfeVk/s640/jay-inslee.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial;"><span style="font-size: 19px;"><i>Update: The governor opted against this, <a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/07/will-wa-gov-inslee-swallow-poison-pill.html">he announced July 28. </a> </i></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Arial;"><span style="font-size: 19px;"><i><br /></i></span></span>
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Washington
Governor Jay Inslee is considering swallowing the “poison pill” which could
divert funding from non-auto alternatives into highway construction in order to
begin implementing a low carbon fuel standard. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“The
governor did have meetings over the past couple of days to talk about this with
stakeholders,” Inslee press aide David Postman said Saturday afternoon, confirming rumors which have been flying fiercely around Olympia in recent days. “He
hasn't made any decision. He is following up on what he said in his sine die
press release, and again similarly at the transportation bill signing.” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">In that
release Inslee said, "I signed this transportation package even though it
included the poison pill because it’s important that we move forward on
critical investments that provide safety, jobs and traffic relief. This creates
a tough decision, and I’ll make it after I review all our options.” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“That's
what he's doing now, reviewing options,” Postman said.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Postman
noted that the transportation alternatives money, which comes from licensing
and vehicle weight fees, would not automatically shift to highways. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“The
poison pill would require multi-modal funds to be transferred to the Connecting
Washington account if the administration moved ahead with a clean fuel
standard. From there, it would have to be reappropriated by the Legislature. It
doesn't automatically go to road projects.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Inslee
and executive staff believe the governor has executive power to order than the
carbon-intensity of fuels is reduced by 10% over the coming decade. Any
implementation would be challenged in court by the oil industry. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">If Inslee
goes ahead and begins implementation despite the “poison pill” inserted in the
transportation package by Senate Republicans, it will indicate how much he
wants a climate victory. Inslee has long been an outspoken climate
advocate. He was one of the prime climate leaders in Congress.
After losing his effort to institute a carbon cap and price in the legislative
session, he may decide he does not want his first term to pass without a
climate gain.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Implementation
in the face of “poison pill” would also be a way to poke a stick in the eye of
the Western States Petroleum Association, which defeated his carbon bill and
pushed the “poison pill.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Inslee
may calculate that the fuel standard will do more to reduce carbon emissions than
the transit, van pool and bicycling alternatives that would be lost. A
state government contact confirmed that staff is running numbers. And since
this is only the first years of a transportation package that runs through
2031, the governor may also calculate that these losses could be reversed in
future legislative sessions. The Democrats hope to re-capture the State
Senate with presidential year turnout in 2016.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">I’ve
known Inslee for a number of years. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Based on that my gut says he is preparing to
pull the trigger to implement Clean Fuels.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">(p.s. Others I've talked to are skeptical. So I've made some bets. I have several beers riding on the outcome.) </span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">(p.p.s. My gut was wrong. I will owe some beers. <a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/07/wa-gov-inslee-orders-carbon-regulation.html?showComment=1438126146197#c9034336132641017007">See here</a>. It's just as well. Clean fuels vs. transportation alternatives is a terrible choice.)</span></span></div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-12325747197125307652015-07-16T12:34:00.000-07:002015-07-18T17:06:24.842-07:00Throwing climate under the bulldozer - WA state's new transpo package<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">When Jay
Inslee was elected governor of Washington in November 2012, euphoria swept over
the state’s environmental and climate community.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Finally a governor who would make climate one
of his priority issues!</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">In the wake
of the 2015 legislative session the mood could not be more different.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Not only was the governor’s carbon
cap-and-trade bill turned back, failing to gain even a vote in the
Democrat-controlled House let alone the Republican Senate – A transportation
package with a "poison pill" stripping out funding for alternative to the automobile if a low-carbon fuel standard is implemented also empowered one of the largest highway building binges in state
history.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjsqUdOZix5OOJDN4HU3gsvFWRve26rVIrOnhGO5Em1BFBRIStcBg5WWlm553QSH1eKO8i3UNtgqS48MAOgdfl7PVs2HJtXUh1dopJ4E6rT-33MfefLQ2BqJjCRgJrICCidzSgEtlY7bv4/s1600/bulldozer2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="235" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjsqUdOZix5OOJDN4HU3gsvFWRve26rVIrOnhGO5Em1BFBRIStcBg5WWlm553QSH1eKO8i3UNtgqS48MAOgdfl7PVs2HJtXUh1dopJ4E6rT-33MfefLQ2BqJjCRgJrICCidzSgEtlY7bv4/s400/bulldozer2.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Road
construction and paying off the bonds to fund it swallowed $11.6 billion of a
$16.1 billion package.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A state
challenged to maintain its existing roads opted for massive growth of new
highways while allocating only $1.3 billion to maintenance and a paltry $657
million to alternatives such as bike lanes, van pools and transit over the
15-year life of the package.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The big
goodie for environmentally minded legislators was the option for Puget Sound
voters to approve a $15 billion expansion of Sound Transit light rail on the
November 2016 ballot. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Even with the
eventual carbon reduction benefits of light rail, once the embedded energy and
carbon entailed in construction is paid off, all those new roads will swamp
state carbon reduction goals. Highways induce driving, as <a href="http://www.vtpi.org/gentraf.pdf">this study from Victoria Transportation
Policy Institute</a> demonstrates. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Thus not only were Inslee, described as the “greenest
governor,” and his environmental community supporters turned back from making
any climate gains – They </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">put their political power behind a measure
that will actually increase state carbon emissions.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1718; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Through the session Inslee and environmentalists worked against a transportation
package “poison pill” cleverly devised by Senate Republicans and their oil
industry allies.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> M</span>oney for transit
and alternatives to the auto could be diverted to highways if Inslee used his
executive power to implement a standard calling for a 10% reduction in the
carbon intensity of fuels.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> (Highway use would have to be approved by the legislature.) </span>California
has such a standard and one is going into effect in Oregon.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>(A legislative attempt to turn the Oregon
standard back was defeated in a mirror image to Washington.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Legislators were willing to forego a gas tax
increase and new highway construction to preserve the standard.)<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1718; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">But ultimately, the draw of an 11.7-cent gas tax increase
conceded by the Republicans, new road construction favored by business, labor
and ports, and Sound Transit funding, caused Inslee to back down.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1718; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“I oppose (the ‘poison pill’) and have worked hard to find a
better alternative,” <a href="http://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/inslee-drops-objection-to-poison-pill-language-in-transportation-package/">Inslee
said</a>. “But legislators tell me it is essential to passing the $15 billion
multimodal transportation package and authorizing an additional $15 billion for
Sound Transit light rail expansion. I will sign the bill even with this
provision because of the jobs, safety improvements and traffic relief that the
investments would provide.”</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
environmental community still stood in opposition, but only to the “poison
pill,” not to highway expansion.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They were
willing to sign off on new roads to gain transit funding.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Emails sent by both Washington Environmental
Council and Climate Solutions contained the same language. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“As
you might have read, yesterday an agreement on the transportation budget was
announced that would allow the ‘poison pill’ to stand—<span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">pitting transit funding against a clean fuels standard</span> . . . <span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">Let’s be clear: we need more transit funding
AND cleaner fuels. Let our leaders know that you don’t agree . . . </span>Let
them know that you want to move forward – away from Big Oil’s monopoly over our
fuels and transportation options – and that means clean fuels and transit.” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">While
most of the environmental community backed Inslee and the bill, "poison pill" excepted, the exceptions were
Sierra Club, WASHPIRG, 350 Seattle and former Seattle Mayor Mike McGinn.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They formed a coalition against the bill even
before Inslee’s cave-in on “poison pill.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">350 Seattle
sent this message to its members. (Full disclosure – I sit on the 350 Seattle
governing Hub.)<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“The transportation package now moving though the Legislature
would commit us to a future based on a dirty, climate-devastating fuels while <span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">squandering public resources we need to build
a post-oil<b> </b>transportation future</span>. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“State lawmakers are saying the transportation package is
essential for maintenance and safety, but repair and maintenance are being
shortchanged to satisfy corporate interests pushing highway
mega-projects. Legislators are holding transit, walking, and biking funds
hostage – threatening to withhold funding for these essential needs unless the
highway lobby gets its way.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“We stand at a crossroads. We can accept a transportation
package that locks in global warming, or insist on a clean energy future.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">In the end, the governor, legislators and mainstream environmental
groups such as Washington Environmental Council and Climate Solutions went
along with the highway lobby and global warming lock-in.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">How did this happen?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I
believe it goes to a theory of change that does not envision or work for the
deep social and economic transformations needed to truly address the climate
crisis.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Instead of building demand for
systemic change from the bottom-up, by real community organizing and public
education, it works from the top-down.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Elect good politicians.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Preserve
access. Work for incremental reforms that at best fall short of the scientific
necessities for climate stabilization.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Hope and pray we can eventually gain the political power to do the job
that needs to be done.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Meanwhile cut the
deals that we must.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Even if the final
outcome is irrational and moves us backwards, as has been boldly underscored
with the transportation package. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Sure, this session, Washington Democratic Party politicians and
closely allied environmental groups can blame the Republicans in the Senate and
Big Oil for their climate policy defeats.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>And certainly this is the immediate cause.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But the deeper problem is the lack of vision
for the depth of actual change that will be required, the lack of courage to
put out that vision, and the lack of strength on the ground, the kind of people
power rooted in actual local communities that can make the difference in
elections and hold politicians’ feet to the fire to support real change after
they are elected, Democrat as well as Republican.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This is what has landed us in the sad
political shape we find ourselves today. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">In the Washington legislative session just ended climate was
roadkill, thrown under the road builders’ bulldozers by the governor and
Democrat legislators, enabled by their environmental community allies. This
should tell us all we need to know about shallow theories of change, and move
us to work for something deeper.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-53095751728637001272015-07-12T11:11:00.000-07:002015-07-12T11:11:48.068-07:00Remembering Lac-Mégantic: How to stop human sacrifice for oil<div class="MsoNormal">
<i><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">This is the text of a talk I gave
yesterday at a rally and die in outside a Seattle Mariner’s game, recalling the
Lac-Mégantic oil train explosion July 6, 2013.
We did it at the ballgame to call out the fact BNSF is running the same
explosive oil trains by events attended by tens of thousands, posing the danger
of far more deaths than the 47 which occurred in the Quebec border town. I
spoke about solutions to move us beyond oil, ranging from electric vehicles to
better transit and affordable housing near jobs, as well as the need to stop
road-building binges such as the one Washington State Legislature just voted to
fund. Citizens need to hold politicians’
feet to the fire for better alternatives. </span></i></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">We are here
today to honor the memories of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lac-M%C3%A9gantic_r">47 people who died at Lac-Mégantic</a>
two years ago when their town was incinerated by a runaway oil train.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The particular tragedy is that they died for
no good reason. They were a human sacrifice made to maintain the age of
oil-powered transportation.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p><br /></o:p></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgfLo81_zHfaOH_dNGjVNZVFv5nq5NTZ458RQviM3O_a-S1BavJQo3RGEi8_XWBjYr5zee7Lqg1lRp4IGZ1QO-Otqe069Zy2sF1aUYdPLDphqU_jom3l7gNCBQPcoP5rZvU77wdjL_9Qx4/s1600/Lac+Megantic+die+in.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="426" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgfLo81_zHfaOH_dNGjVNZVFv5nq5NTZ458RQviM3O_a-S1BavJQo3RGEi8_XWBjYr5zee7Lqg1lRp4IGZ1QO-Otqe069Zy2sF1aUYdPLDphqU_jom3l7gNCBQPcoP5rZvU77wdjL_9Qx4/s640/Lac+Megantic+die+in.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><br /></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">And let’s
be clear, oil is a transportation issue.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Relatively little is burned to generate electricity.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But 97% of the world’s transportation
vehicles run on petroleum.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We need to
keep oil in the ground to save our climate, to keep explosive oil trains from
running through our communities, and to stop environmentally destructive oil
extraction in the Arctic, the tar sands and the oil shales.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>To do this we need to stop relying on oil to
run our cars, buses, trucks and trains.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">First, we
need to shift most of our ground vehicles from oil to electricity, and we need
to generate that electricity from renewable sources such as the sun and
wind.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We are just at the dawn of the new
electric vehicle age.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>EV’s are just a
tiny fraction of all cars sold.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But <a href="http://insideevs.com/monthly-plug-in-sales-scorecard/">worldwide EV sales
went up by almost four times in 2014</a> to 360,000, and they are holding at
that rate this year even with lower gas prices.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Every major automaker has an EV program. Costs are coming down and range
is improving.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Within five to seven years
EVs will be cost competitive with gasoline vehicles.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They will be a mass market option. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/the-proterra-catalyst-zero-emission-bus-breaks-records-at-altoona-in-efficiency-gradeability-weight-and-acceleration-300096938.html">Fully
electric city buses</a> are also on the way.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>We can electrify transit fleets.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>We also can electrify railroads, as is already done in much of Europe
and Asia.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I am working with a Backbone
Campaign project called <a href="http://www.solutionaryrail.org/">Solutionary
Rail</a> aimed at running railroads on renewable electricity, taking freight
back from trucks and roads and restoring rail as a major option for intercity
passenger travel.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">We have the
renewable energy sources to run our vehicles.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Solar and wind energy are now becoming competitive with fossil fuel
electricity.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-04-14/fossil-fuels-just-lost-the-race-against-renewables">Since
2013 the world has added more renewable energy each year than fossil energy</a>,
and the gap continues to grow.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>By 2050,
and we hope sooner, solar is projected to be the world’s biggest energy source.
To meet the climate challenge, which demands we <a href="http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0081648">reduce
carbon emissions at least six percent a year</a>, we need to accelerate these
trends with public policies such as carbon pricing and direct support for
purchases.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But the point is we have the technologies we
need to get out of oil-fueled transportation and fossil fuels in general.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We just need to beat back the power of the
fossil fuel industry that wants to keep us hooked on their climate twisting
products.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">We can make
our energy sources clean.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But we can’t
stop there.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We must also use less
energy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We want the cars we drive to be
electric, but we also want there to be less need to drive cars.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We don’t just want to replicate our
car-choked sprawling cities on electric drive.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>We need to change our communities to be places where there is not so
much drive to drive. How do we do this? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">We need
much better mass transit and public transportation service, much as European
and Asian cities already have.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We should
have bus service at least every 10-15 minutes during the day and evening on
major routes.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We should also start to
create bike lanes fully separated from traffic as they have in cities like
Amsterdam and Rotterdam, where bike commuting is a major option.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That means taking out parking strips to
create bike lanes.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">We need to
fight for better transit and bike access.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>We need to take part in city politics to make this happen.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We supposedly have a <a href="http://www.seattle.gov/Documents/Departments/OSE/2013_CAP_20130612.pdf">climate
plan in Seattle</a> that will reduce our auto carbon pollution over 80 percent
by 2030.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But it <a href="http://www.seattle.gov/dpd/cs/groups/pan/@pan/documents/web_informational/p2273580.pdf">isn’t
making its way</a> into the city’s draft land use plan, which only projects a
23% reduction by 2035.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We are already
falling far short on our city climate goals.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>We need to hold our city officials’ feet to the fire to begin making
real carbon reductions, and transportation is the biggest challenge.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><a href="http://350seattle.org/">350 Seattle</a>
will be doing just that.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Come join us to
help make it happen.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">There is a
huge social justice angle to all this.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>More
and more people cannot afford to own an automobile.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We need to provide them with decent transit
and biking options. We also need to create more affordable housing near
jobs.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>People who work in Seattle
increasingly can’t afford to live in Seattle.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>They are being pushed out of the city to make long commutes to
work.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We should support Councilmember <a href="http://sawant.seattle.gov/">Kshama Sawant’s</a> campaigns for rent control
and for a bond issue to build affordable housing.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Affordable housing and public transportation
options are where climate meets justice meets oil reduction. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiIYLFoFbjc05trt-nuuHJ8QnxNkxGYtAw7rWhV7wPYv_exfjqP04q7uNHTsVe4rpM4EccKLZeBab5P53x-5a8Qx2Y0tAeL-mB6ZvQorjJ6cbjNa-G1Pdo_hfhygXfPAgh0oA1q8eaPJhw/s1600/Lac+Megantic+PM.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiIYLFoFbjc05trt-nuuHJ8QnxNkxGYtAw7rWhV7wPYv_exfjqP04q7uNHTsVe4rpM4EccKLZeBab5P53x-5a8Qx2Y0tAeL-mB6ZvQorjJ6cbjNa-G1Pdo_hfhygXfPAgh0oA1q8eaPJhw/s400/Lac+Megantic+PM.jpg" width="266" /></a></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p><br /></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p><br /></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Finally, we
just need to stop building new roads. The Washington state legislature just
passed a bill funding <a href="http://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/transportation/lawmakers-release-16-billion-transportation-plan-has-119-cent-gas-tax/">one
of the biggest road building binges in Washington state history</a>.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Nearly $9 billion for new roads compared to a
paltry $650 million for transit and biking.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Most of our Democratic Party state legislators voted for it, and Gov.
Jay Inslee supported it.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Greenest
governors do not support massive road building binges.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Study after study shows <a href="http://www.vtpi.org/gentraf.pdf">the more roads you build, the more
traffic increases</a>.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>For this reason
350 Seattle joined with Sierra Club, WASHPIRG and former Seattle Mayor Mike
McGinn to oppose the transportation package.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>We lost this one, but we need to come back and insist on a transportation
policy that emphasizes alternatives to the automobile. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">We can move
out of oil in transportation.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We have
the solutions that provide us with clean fuels, and which allow us to use less
fuel overall.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We don’t need to sacrifice
people like those who died at Lac-Mégantic, nor do we need to sacrifice our
waters and oceans to oil spills, or our climate to devastating disruptions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We just need to act as citizens to demand the
policies and investments that will make the change.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Come join us in making those demands.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-63779213100588512972015-06-21T16:24:00.001-07:002015-06-21T18:30:17.122-07:00For a spiritual ecology: Pope Francis in his own words<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">In recent
days Pope Francis released his long anticipated encyclical on climate
change.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">It turns out to be far more than
that. </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Laudato Si’, Blessed Be, addresses
the entire global social and economic situation that has brought the world to radical
climate disruption.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> It</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> is a profound document calling on humanity to, a</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;">s the subtitle says,</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> “care for our common
home.”</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Its prescriptions range far
beyond the technology and policy advocacy that characterizes most climate
politics.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Indeed, they go to the very
fundamentals of who we are as human beings. </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Francis
sets Laudato Si’ in the context of another time the world was veering close to
destruction.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The Cuban Missile Crisis
had just taken place. Nuclear war had been </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;">only</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"> narrowly averted.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Writes
Francis, “More than fifty years ago, with the world teetering on the brink of
nuclear crisis, Pope Saint John XXIII wrote an Encyclical which not only
rejected war but offered a proposal for peace. He addressed his message, Pacem
in Terris, to the entire ‘Catholic world’ and indeed ‘to all men and women of
good will.’ Now, faced as we are with global environmental deterioration, I
wish to address every person living on this planet.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Laudato Si’
is a rich document that would be impossible to fully summarize in a reasonably
sized blog post.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But it does crystallize
key themes that can. This Cascadia Planet post lets Francis speak to those
themes in his own words.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Those who wish
to read the full encyclical can find it <a href="http://w2.vatican.va/content/francesco/en/encyclicals/documents/papa-francesco_20150524_enciclica-laudato-si.html">here</a>.
<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">OUR COMMON CONDITION<o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“. . .
Saint Francis of Assisi reminds us that our common home is like a sister with
whom we share our life and a beautiful mother who opens her arms to embrace us.
‘Praise be to you, my Lord, through our Sister, Mother Earth, who sustains and
governs us . . . ‘ <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This sister now cries
out to us because of the harm we have inflicted on her by our irresponsible use
and abuse of the goods with which God has endowed her. We have come to see
ourselves as her lords and masters, entitled to plunder her at will.” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Never
have we so hurt and mistreated our common home as we have in the last two hundred
years . . . The problem is that we still lack the culture needed to confront
this crisis. We lack leadership capable of striking out on new paths and
meeting the needs of the present with concern for all and without prejudice
towards coming generations.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Hope
would have us recognize that there is always a way out, that we can always
redirect our steps, that we can always do something to solve our problems.
Still, we can see signs that things are now reaching a breaking point, due to
the rapid pace of change and degradation . . .” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Doomsday
predictions can no longer be met with irony or disdain. We may well be leaving
to coming generations debris, desolation and filth. The pace of consumption,
waste and environmental change has so stretched the planet’s capacity that our
contemporary lifestyle, unsustainable as it is, can only precipitate
catastrophes.’”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Although
the post-industrial period may well be remembered as one of the most
irresponsible in history, nonetheless there is reason to hope that humanity at
the dawn of the twenty-first century will be remembered for having generously
shouldered its grave responsibilities.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“I urgently
appeal, then, for a new dialogue about how we are shaping the future of our
planet. We need a conversation which includes everyone, since the environmental
challenge we are undergoing, and its human roots, concern and affect us all . .
. We require a new and universal solidarity.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">A CRITIQUE OF TECHNOLOGY AND GROWTH<o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“A
certain way of understanding human life and activity has gone awry, to the
serious detriment of the world around us<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>. . . the dominant technocratic paradigm and the place of human beings
and of human action in the world.” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“ . . . the
idea of infinite or unlimited growth, which proves so attractive to economists,
financiers and experts in technology . . . is based on the lie that there is an
infinite supply of the earth’s goods, and this leads to the planet being
squeezed dry beyond every limit.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“A
politics concerned with immediate results, supported by consumerist sectors of
the population, is driven to produce short-term growth. In response to
electoral interests, governments are reluctant to upset the public with
measures which could affect the level of consumption or create risks for
foreign investment. The myopia of power politics delays the inclusion of a
far-sighted environmental agenda within the overall agenda of governments.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“ .
. .given the insatiable and irresponsible growth produced over many decades, we
need also to think of containing growth by setting some reasonable limits and
even retracing our steps before it is too late. We know how unsustainable is
the behavior of those who constantly consume and destroy, while others are not
yet able to live in a way worthy of their human dignity. That is why the time
has come to accept decreased growth in some parts of the world, in order to
provide resources for other places to experience healthy growth.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“The specialization which belongs to technology makes it
difficult to see the larger picture. The fragmentation of knowledge proves
helpful for concrete applications, and yet it often leads to a loss of
appreciation for the whole, for the relationships between things, and for the
broader horizon, which then becomes irrelevant . . . Life gradually becomes a
surrender to situations conditioned by technology, itself viewed as the
principal key to the meaning of existence.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Any
technical solution which science claims to offer will be powerless to solve the
serious problems of our world if humanity loses its compass, if we lose sight
of the great motivations which make it possible for us to live in harmony, to
make sacrifices and to treat others well.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“If we
acknowledge the value and the fragility of nature and, at the same time, our
God-given abilities, we can finally leave behind the modern myth of unlimited
material progress. A fragile world, entrusted by God to human care, challenges
us to devise intelligent ways of directing, developing and limiting our power.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">AGAINST CONSUMERISM AND MARKETISM<o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Once
more, we need to reject a magical conception of the market, which would suggest
that problems can be solved simply by an increase in the profits of companies
or individuals. Is it realistic to hope that those who are obsessed with
maximizing profits will stop to reflect on the environmental damage which they
will leave behind for future generations? Where profits alone count, there can
be no thinking about the rhythms of nature, its phases of decay and
regeneration, or the complexity of ecosystems which may be gravely upset by
human intervention.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“. . .
economic powers continue to justify the current global system where priority
tends to be given to speculation and the pursuit of financial gain, which fail
to take the context into account, let alone the effects on human dignity and
the natural environment . . . It is foreseeable that, once certain resources
have been depleted, the scene will be set for new wars, albeit under the guise
of noble claims.” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Since
the market tends to promote extreme consumerism in an effort to sell its
products, people can easily get caught up in a whirlwind of needless buying and
spending. Compulsive consumerism is one example of how the techno-economic
paradigm affects individuals.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“When
people become self-centered and self-enclosed, their greed increases. The
emptier a person’s heart is, the more he or she needs things to buy, own and
consume. It becomes almost impossible to accept the limits imposed by reality.
. . . Obsession with a consumerist lifestyle, above all when few people are
capable of maintaining it, can only lead to violence and mutual destruction.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“A
consumerist vision of human beings, encouraged by the mechanisms of today’s
globalized economy, has a leveling effect on cultures, diminishing the immense
variety which is the heritage of all humanity . . . The imposition of a
dominant lifestyle linked to a single form of production can be just as harmful
as the altering of ecosystems.” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“In
this sense, it is essential to show special care for indigenous communities and
their cultural traditions . . . For them, land is not a commodity but rather a
gift from God and from their ancestors who rest there, a sacred space with
which they need to interact if they are to maintain their identity and values.
When they remain on their land, they themselves care for it best.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">AGAINST SHALLOW ENVIRONMENTALISM<o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Ecological culture cannot be reduced to a series of urgent
and partial responses to the immediate problems of pollution, environmental
decay and the depletion of natural resources. There needs to be a distinctive
way of looking at things, a way of thinking, policies, an educational program,
a lifestyle and a spirituality which together generate resistance to the
assault of the technocratic paradigm. Otherwise, even the best ecological
initiatives can find themselves caught up in the same globalized logic. To seek
only a technical remedy to each environmental problem which comes up is to
separate what is in reality interconnected and to mask the true and deepest problems
of the global system.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“. . .<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>we can note the rise of a false or superficial ecology which bolsters
complacency and a cheerful recklessness. . . .<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Such evasiveness serves as a license to carrying on with our present
lifestyles and models of production and consumption. This is the way human
beings contrive to feed their self-destructive vices: trying not to see them,
trying not to acknowledge them, delaying the important decisions and pretending
that nothing will happen.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“The
strategy of buying and selling ‘carbon credits’ can lead to a new form of
speculation which would not help reduce the emission of polluting gases
worldwide. This system seems to provide a quick and easy solution under the
guise of a certain commitment to the environment, but in no way does it allow
for the radical change which present circumstances require. Rather, it may
simply become a ploy which permits maintaining the excessive consumption of
some countries and sectors.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“At one
extreme, we find those who doggedly uphold the myth of progress and tell us
that ecological problems will solve themselves simply with the application of
new technology and without any need for ethical considerations or deep change.
At the other extreme are those who view men and women and all their
interventions as no more than a threat, jeopardizing the global ecosystem, and
consequently the presence of human beings on the planet should be reduced and
all forms of intervention prohibited. Viable future scenarios will have to be
generated between these extremes, since there is no one path to a solution.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">THE CLIMATE CRISIS<o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“The
climate is a common good, belonging to all and meant for all . . . A very solid
scientific consensus indicates that we are presently witnessing a disturbing
warming of the climatic system . . . Humanity is called to recognize the need
for changes of lifestyle, production and consumption, in order to combat this
warming or at least the human causes which produce or aggravate it . . .“ <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“ The
problem is aggravated by a model of development based on the intensive use of
fossil fuels, which is at the heart of the worldwide energy system. Another
determining factor has been an increase in changed uses of the soil,
principally deforestation for agricultural purposes.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“The
melting in the polar ice caps and in high altitude plains can lead to the
dangerous release of methane gas, while the decomposition of frozen organic
material can further increase the emission of carbon dioxide. Things are made
worse by the loss of tropical forests which would otherwise help to mitigate
climate change. Carbon dioxide pollution increases the acidification of the
oceans and compromises the marine food chain. If present trends continue, this
century may well witness extraordinary climate change and an unprecedented
destruction of ecosystems, with serious consequences for all of us.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Its
worst impact will probably be felt by developing countries in coming decades.
Many of the poor live in areas particularly affected by phenomena related to
warming, and their means of subsistence are largely dependent on natural
reserves and ecosystemic services such as agriculture, fishing and forestry.
They have no other financial activities or resources which can enable them to
adapt to climate change or to face natural disasters, and their access to
social services and protection is very limited.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“There is
an urgent need to develop policies so that, in the next few years, the emission
of carbon dioxide and other highly polluting gases can be drastically reduced,
for example, substituting for fossil fuels and developing sources of renewable
energy.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">THE ECOLOGICAL IS THE SOCIAL<o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“We are
faced not with two separate crises, one environmental and the other social, but
rather with one complex crisis which is both social and environmental.
Strategies for a solution demand an integrated approach to combating poverty,
restoring dignity to the excluded, and at the same time protecting nature.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“. . . we
have to realize that a true ecological approach always becomes a social
approach; it must integrate questions of justice in debates on the environment,
so as to hear both the cry of the earth and the cry of the poor.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“A true
‘ecological debt’ exists, particularly between the global north and south,
connected to commercial imbalances with effects on the environment, and the
disproportionate use of natural resources by certain countries over long
periods of time . . .<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The warming caused
by huge consumption on the part of some rich countries has repercussions on the
poorest areas of the world, especially Africa, where a rise in temperature,
together with drought, has proved devastating for farming.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">RETURN TO THE COMMON GOOD<o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Human
ecology is inseparable from the notion of the common good, a central and
unifying principle of social ethics.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“In
the present condition of global society, where injustices abound and growing
numbers of people are deprived of basic human rights and considered expendable,
the principle of the common good immediately becomes, logically and inevitably,
a summons to solidarity and a preferential option for the poorest of our
brothers and sisters.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 59.2pt; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 59.2pt; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“The
notion of the common good also extends to future generations. . . . Once we
start to think about the kind of world we are leaving to future generations, we
look at things differently; we realize that the world is a gift which we have
freely received and must share with others . . . Intergenerational solidarity
is not optional, but rather a basic question of justice, since the world we
have received also belongs to those who will follow us.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 59.2pt; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; tab-stops: 59.2pt; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“. .
. if these issues are courageously faced, we are led inexorably to ask other
pointed questions: What is the purpose of our life in this world? Why are we
here? What is the goal of our work and all our efforts? What need does the
earth have of us? It is no longer enough, then, simply to state that we should
be concerned for future generations. We need to see that what is at stake is
our own dignity. Leaving an inhabitable planet to future generations is, first and
foremost, up to us. The issue is one which dramatically affects us, for it has
to do with the ultimate meaning of our earthly sojourn.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">RECOGNIZE OUR INTERDEPENDENCE<o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“As the
Catechism teaches: 'God wills the interdependence of creatures. The sun and the
moon, the cedar and the little flower, the eagle and the sparrow: the spectacle
of their countless diversities and inequalities tells us that no creature is
self-sufficient. Creatures exist only in dependence on each other, to complete
each other, in the service of each other.'”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Everything
is related, and we human beings are united as brothers and sisters on a
wonderful pilgrimage, woven together by the love God has for each of his
creatures and which also unites us in fond affection with brother sun, sister
moon, brother river and mother earth.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">A MOTIVATING SPIRITUAL PATHWAY<o:p></o:p></span></b></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“. . . all
is not lost. Human beings, while capable of the worst, are also capable of
rising above themselves, choosing again what is good, and making a new start,
despite their mental and social conditioning.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Disinterested
concern for others, and the rejection of every form of self-centeredness and
self-absorption, are essential if we truly wish to care for our brothers and
sisters and for the natural environment. These attitudes also attune us to the
moral imperative of assessing the impact of our every action and personal
decision on the world around us. If we can overcome individualism, we will
truly be able to develop a different lifestyle and bring about significant
changes in society.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“ A
commitment this lofty cannot be sustained by doctrine alone, without a
spirituality capable of inspiring us . . . the ecological crisis is also a
summons to profound interior conversion . . .<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>(to) a prophetic and contemplative lifestyle, one capable of deep
enjoyment free of the obsession with consumption . . .<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>a return to that simplicity which allows us
to stop and appreciate the small things, to be grateful for the opportunities
which life affords us, to be spiritually detached from what we possess, and not
to succumb to sadness for what we lack.” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Happiness
means knowing how to limit some needs which only diminish us, and being open to
the many different possibilities which life can offer.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="tab-stops: 53.85pt;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="tab-stops: 53.85pt;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“We are speaking of an attitude of the heart, one which
approaches life with serene attentiveness, which is capable of being fully
present to someone without thinking of what comes next, which accepts each
moment as a gift from God to be lived to the full.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="tab-stops: 53.85pt;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="tab-stops: 53.85pt;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Saint Therese of Lisieux invites us to practice the little
way of love, not to miss out on a kind word, a smile or any small gesture which
sows peace and friendship. An integral ecology is also made up of simple daily
gestures which break with the logic of violence, exploitation and selfishness .
. . Love, overflowing with small gestures of mutual care, is also civic and
political, and it makes itself felt in every action that seeks to build a
better world.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-62253015834656313982015-05-15T13:21:00.002-07:002015-05-15T14:21:02.787-07:00Citizen-led WA ballot initiative pushes politician climate action<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">If
Washington Gov. Jay Inslee manages to pass his carbon cap proposal this
legislative session, he will owe a debt of gratitude to Carbon Washington and
its effort to place a carbon tax on the ballot.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Democratic
House members this week revived Inslee’s proposal in a modified form after
having run away from it in the regular session.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>The House may finally stand up for a climate bill, a vital necessity to
have carbon revenues considered in budget negotiations with Senate
Republicans.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">This
apparently would not have happened without climate action pressure from
grassroots activists now seeking 315,000 signatures to place CarbonWA’s I-732
on the November 2016 ballot.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A critical
point is that climate-denier Republicans are not the only hurdle to putting a
price on carbon pollution.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #262626; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Democrats have not been able to publicly say that they have the
50 votes to guarantee passage,” John Stang <a href="http://crosscut.com/2015/05/inslee-sees-little-budget-progress-still-hopes-for-carbon-tax/">reported
in Crosscut</a>.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“However, Democratic
leaders and Inslee have been . . . trying to create a package that would gain
50 votes out of 98 House members. Legislators have looked warily at signature
gathering by the group Carbon Washington . . . I-732 would install a
$25-per-ton tax on carbon emissions beginning July 1, 2017 — a much more
drastic approach than proposed by Inslee and his Democratic supporters.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #262626; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Stang
last month was the <a href="http://crosscut.com/2015/04/carbon-tax-rising-from-the-ashes-in-olympia/">first
to report</a> on prospects for a carbon package revival.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“The prospect of a blunt initiative rather
than a more nuanced bill has prompted legislators to huddle about Inslee’s
carbon emissions tax proposal . . . “<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEie9EVuIvsGenf9WeY2VpjeINszY59Z3RBs1owgjGm6CCzkgzcpGrI2CidXEuv4GkANqIppVDRVIYaDf8r7ceFVwkrD_3BUnldXrwzm0Ppn1kuahJQhPexXAIZXpdasHyy-sfiHovujCNQ/s1600/wind-turbines17.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="512" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEie9EVuIvsGenf9WeY2VpjeINszY59Z3RBs1owgjGm6CCzkgzcpGrI2CidXEuv4GkANqIppVDRVIYaDf8r7ceFVwkrD_3BUnldXrwzm0Ppn1kuahJQhPexXAIZXpdasHyy-sfiHovujCNQ/s640/wind-turbines17.jpg" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b>Passing any climate ballot initiative in 2016 will require a massive public education campaign on the need for carbon pricing to rapidly move clean energy forward. That campaign should start now.</b></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #262626; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p><br /></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #262626; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p><br /></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="color: #262626; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The package announced Monday clearly points to where Democratic
support must be bolstered. The message is in re-allocation of proposed carbon
revenues.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>For coastal and rural
Democrats, over $280 million in forest industry benefits plus a $10,000 tax
credit for each new employee hired for at least six months. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>For business-friendly centrist Democrats, new
rebates of $333 million to the fuel industry and more for other industries to
offset higher energy costs (even though this reduces the incentive to switch to
clean energy or use energy more efficiently).<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>The package would also increase education funding to $500 million
annually, exceeding the $380 million originally proposed by Inslee, building
support broadly in the Democratic caucus. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-pagination: none; text-autospace: none;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
Alliance for Jobs and Clean Energy, the coalition of groups supporting the
Inslee bill, is also creating some pressure by announcing it is considering its
own 2016 initiative effort.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But it will
not announce a decision until fall.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Because
the Alliance is working closely with Inslee and state legislators, a nuanced initiative
similar to the current package can be expected.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>CarbonWA, with its <a href="http://carbonwa.org/policy/">outright
$25/ton price</a> on all carbon emissions, recycling all revenues to taxpayers
in the form of tax reductions and credits, seems to be the more potent driver
of politician concern. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">CarbonWA is
definitely picking up momentum.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It just
received the endorsement of Ron Sims, who positioned King County as one of the
nation’s climate leaders when he was executive. “<span style="color: #1d1d1d; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">I strongly support the Carbon Washington
revenue-neutral carbon tax ballot measure. It is a bipartisan approach that
will reduce carbon emissions, make our state tax code less regressive, and
protect manufacturing jobs. We are running out of time to address the growing
threat of global climate disruption. Let’s all work together to pass Initiative
732.”</span> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Also just
announced are endorsements by Mike McGinn, former Seattle mayor and Sierra Club
leader, and Seattle City Councilmember Nick Licata. I-732 in addition recently
added 350 Seattle and Resources for Sustainable Communities to the list of
citizen group endorsers.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The revival
of the climate bill in Olympia speaks volumes about the need for grassroots
climate pressure on Democratic Party electeds.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> For sure there are some genuine climate champions. But politicians</span> are caught in a constant crossfire between many interests,
business, labor, civic groups, social justice advocates.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Climate is easily lost in the shuffle unless
there is an active and vocal citizen presence willing to take matters into its
own hands.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">That is
what Carbon Washington has done.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>CarbonWA
is doing this with an organizing model based on working with local
climate-oriented groups such as Climate Action Bainbridge and Climate Action
Olympia, and building new local groups where there are none.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This granular, social organizing approach
plants a climate movement deeply rooted in communities, shaped from circles of
active and caring citizens.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Once planted
these circles can work on climate from multiple angles, from direct democracy
to direct action.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That seems to be the
typical pattern.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The major
danger confronting citizen climate politics in Washington state has been the
prospect of competing initiatives.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It
has created tensions between the groups, as reported in Cascadia Planet <a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/04/environmental-nonprofits-seek-to-kill.html">here</a>
and <a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/04/competing-wa-cap-and-trade-ballot.html">here</a>.
<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This has caused concerns among many
climate movement people caught in between.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>They have expressed those concerns to the groups. That has had a
beneficial effect, a <a href="http://carbonwa.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/joint-statement-final-5-2-15.pdf">joint
statement</a> by the groups announced May 4.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="Default">
<br /></div>
<div class="Default">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Our
organizations are committed to working together, and in particular we are
committed to avoiding two competing carbon pollution-pricing measures on the
ballot in November 2016,” the statement says.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>The two groups will work together on public opinion research to
determine the most viable strategy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="Default">
<br /></div>
<div class="Default">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The statement
concluded, “Because of the ongoing activities of both groups, we are not
currently endorsing each other’s efforts. But we have no objections to
individuals or groups supporting or working with either or both groups (or
making a joint endorsement). We respect each other’s efforts to build a strong
movement for climate action and will stay in close contact in the months ahead
as the Alliance completes its research work and as Carbon Washington moves
forward with its signature-gathering campaign for I-732.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="Default">
<br /></div>
<div class="Default">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">This
represents significant progress.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Alliance members had been sending negative messages about I-732, both
public and private.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That proved
unacceptable to many people, and the Alliance proved responsive.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Now a prospectively more consultative relationship
is developing.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It is hard to say how the
two groups will thread the needle if indeed CarbonWA is successful in gaining
enough signatures to place I-732 on the ballot.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>But at least the two groups are talking to each other now, which is what
climate-concerned citizens were demanding. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">There is
room for further collaboration.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>If any
climate initiative is to make it against the deluge of fossil fuel money that
would be thrown against it in 2016, a massive public campaign should be
undertaken now.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We should not wait until
fall or 2016. The campaign should focus the promise of clean energy and climate
solutions to create a better world and healthier economy. Such a campaign can
and should be agnostic on the specific carbon pricing tools, whether a direct
tax or a cap-and-trade.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But it should
make the carbon pricing connection, how a price on carbon is needed to tip the
balance to clean energy rapidly enough to avoid disastrous global warming.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">A public
campaign should include everything – social media, earned media, public
meetings, outreach to civic groups, developing and providing educational materials
to citizen groups of all sorts.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It
should empower volunteers to act, and seek to be viral.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It should reach into every community.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The <a href="http://www.betterfutureproject.org/">Better Future Project</a> has built
one of the nation’s more successful public engagement models.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Organizing 350 Massachusetts since 2012, Better
Future has provided the paid staff infrastructure that has joined hundreds of
citizen volunteers working through nine community nodes around the state. They
are engaged in a series of campaigns both to keep fossil fuels in the ground
and bring on clean energy solutions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Efforts have shut down all coal plants in the state, and supported
offshore wind development.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Citizens are
opposing a gas pipeline and forwarding state divestment from fossil fuels.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">People
power is what it’s going to take to win the climate struggle, people on the
ground talking to their neighbors, presenting to local groups, being a
face-to-face climate presence in their communities. But volunteers can’t do it
all on their own.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They need materials,
training and guidance. The combined resources of the Alliance and CarbonWA can provide
what citizens need to propel a public education campaign <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">It is now
16 months and some days until the November 2016 election. Let’s get a deep-rooted,
citizen-driven public campaign going now to demonstrate the viability of clean
energy and the need for carbon pricing to rapidly drive it forward.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>There is no time to waste.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-64195410248778147002015-05-03T10:50:00.000-07:002015-05-03T11:23:31.109-07:00From the Greenland Coast to the Jersey Shore: Dead Cities Walking<i><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">This is the second part of the story that I began several
weeks ago about a journey to the New Jersey shore in 2009.
In the first part, <a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/04/ocean-city-cities-in-ocean.html">Ocean
City, Cities in the Ocean</a>, I wrote of sharing my youthful shore experience
with my daughter, and of sensing the fleeting nature of the shore towns in the
face of rising sea levels. Here my muse
connects to another journey I took much earlier that came to mind during the Jersey journey, flying over the melting glaciers of Greenland nine years
before. </span></i><br />
<i><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><br /></span></i>
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">By 2009 I had been working
full time as a professional climate advocate for over 10 years.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I had been aware of the global warming threat
and calling it out in my writing since the 1980s.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I had written many articles and papers on
climate science and solutions, <a href="http://www.earthfuture.com/stormyweather/reviews.asp">even co-authored a book</a>. But the Jersey shore
trip with its visceral sense of death and inevitable loss opened a new
dimension. I started writing poetry and songs for sunken cities.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The shore inspired a Springsteen-ish lyric I
called “Dead Cities Walking.” <o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Seen the rotting casino
towers<o:p></o:p></span><br />
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">fall before the rising tide<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Their salt corroded skeletal remains<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">relics of a reckless age<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">crumble into the sea<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Seen the rising tides devour<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">the Trump and Harrah towers<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">One day the ocean got an urge<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">sent the shore a big storm surge<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Where the lights were once so pretty<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">now a real Atlantic City<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Where the city<span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>now the sea<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Wrecked remains now underneath<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">We take tours out there by submarine<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">to see what’s left of the gambler’s
dream<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Cruise old shore town Ocean City to
Cape May<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Drowned boardwalks where they used
to play<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Where they used to tour old homes of
ghosts<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">now we tour the ghosted coast<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">They’re building New Atlantic City<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">up north there on Kitantitty<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">They’ve moved the roulette wheels<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">and one-armed bandits<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">beyond the reach of the sea<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">New Philadelphia rises out toward
Phoenixville<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">They’re building New New York<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">where Yonkers used to be<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">now that the City’s submerged<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">They’ve saved the Lady<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Deconstructed her<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Put her back together up there<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">in New Times Square<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">We see the old skyline<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">dying in the sunset<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Driving down ghost highways<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Garden State Parkways<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Memories of former days<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Old Led Zepp playing<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Signs are saying<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Ocean City<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Cape May<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Driving on my way<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0in; mso-pagination: widow-orphan lines-together;">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">to dead cities walking<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<br />
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">My venture into the poetic
was partly inspired by an incident driving down the Garden State Parkway to the
shore. Flipping the radio dial we caught Don McLean’s “America Pie,” the obtuse
one-hit wonder about ‘60s rock.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It is the
subject of intense hermeneutical debate over which lyrics refer to which stars.
As I listened it recalled an epiphany that came to me flying over the west
coast of Greenland one August afternoon in 2000 on the top-of-the-world route
from Amsterdam to Seattle.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">I had been in Europe at the
Ardennes Forest summer retreat of Ecola, the Green Party of French-speaking
Belgians, to speak about global Green Party statements to the Kyoto and Buenos
Aires U.N. climate summits.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>As a
co-chair of the U.S. Association of State Green Parties, predecessor to today’s
Green Party of the United States, I had been asked in 1997 by Ralph Monoe,
chair of the European Federation of Green Parties, to lead author the Kyoto
document.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>With signatories from six
continents it was the first global statement ever by the world’s Green
parties.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I was asked back to do the same
for the follow-up conference in Buenos Aires in 1998.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In the region where the great World War II
Battle of the Bulge took place, I spoke to the Belgian Greens about the statements and the great
struggles that would face us to overcome the political corruption that held
back needed action to address the climate crisis (and still does today).<o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><br /></span>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Returning
home, some six or seven miles above the west coast of Greenland jagged fjords
stretched hundreds of miles north out the window to the horizon beneath a deep
blue sky. Rocky brown earth along the coast pushed back miles to the white line
of the ice pack. On this late summer day fleets of icebergs were sailing in
lines out of the fjords into Disko Bay </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;">west of Godhavn</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> and then into the Davis Strait, the passage
between Baffin Bay and the Labrador Sea. Dozens of white glacial fragments
freshly calved from the ice pack were sharply outlined against in the dark blue
waters.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Though they seemed small from
six miles up, their fractal, crystalline shapes were clearly visible,
indicating just how massive these immense ships of ice were at ocean level.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiNXai8NvOXIhoGmjOBCAZNHU4Ryj2uR5JtNSJEX4eQ5L4ozhPSySRhKeUNi53bIdgHpgt2_rEIjzLmcvhyphenhyphenwKBifinn_wwVMBIzlaqN5xY5zvOKJxqeEY_vtr54g-p2KMEZC0WyHZhWpxY/s1600/iceberg-in-disco-bay-greenland_4dd9-2013x1356px.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiNXai8NvOXIhoGmjOBCAZNHU4Ryj2uR5JtNSJEX4eQ5L4ozhPSySRhKeUNi53bIdgHpgt2_rEIjzLmcvhyphenhyphenwKBifinn_wwVMBIzlaqN5xY5zvOKJxqeEY_vtr54g-p2KMEZC0WyHZhWpxY/s1600/iceberg-in-disco-bay-greenland_4dd9-2013x1356px.jpg" height="430" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Iceberg in Disko Bay, Greenland, by <a href="http://www.grida.no/photolib/detail/iceberg-in-disco-bay-greenland_4dd9">Peter Prokosch</a></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Aboard the
plane the last moments of the movie were playing, “American Pie” with
Madonna.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">The memory of that moment came back
while listening to the original McClean version riding down the Parkway. Her
version formed the soundtrack to the scenes unfolding outside the plane window.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Bye-bye,
Miss American Pie<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Drove my
Chevy to the levee <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">But the
levee was dry<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">And them
good old boys were drinkin’ whiskey and rye<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Singin’
this’ll be the day that I die<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">This’ll be
the day that I die.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">By
coincidence, or synchronicity, I’d been reading Brian Fagan’s <i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;">Floods, Famines and Emperors</i>. Waiting at
Schipol Airport before the flight<i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"> </i>I
had just gone through his narrative about cold snaps that ensue when too much
fresh water suddenly invades the Labrador and Greenland Seas. The saltiness of
waters flowing north makes them heavy and causes them to sink to deeper levels,
thus pulling water north and driving the North Atlantic circulation. Too much
fresh water shuts down the Gulf Stream circulation that brings that warm water
to the Jersey shore and far north of it.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>This happened during a great glacial outflow flood at the end of the
last ice age, plunging the planet back into cold conditions for many centuries.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Was I
seeing the modality for the end of the world as we know it?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Scientists now tend toward the conclusion the
planet is overall too warm for a new <i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;">The
Day After Tomorrow</i>-style ice age to break out, but that does not mean a
shutdown of North Atlantic circulation would not have serious impacts, mucking
with weather systems in ways that bring drought across the planet and make
Superstorm Sandys a common event.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">As the
jetliner winged forward and Greenland faded to the rear the tune was
concluding:<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“And in the
streets the children screamed<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The lovers
cried, and the poets dreamed<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">But not a
word was spoken<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The church
bells all were broken<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">And the
three men I admire most<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The Father,
Son and the Holy Ghost<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">They caught
the last train for the coast<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The day the
music died.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
soundtrack keyed to the sight of the Greenland coast slowly receding to the
rear, framed by the wing and engines determinedly plowing forward across the
curvature of the Earth<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“And they
were singing bye-bye Miss American Pie . . . “<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">”This’ll be
the day that I die ....”.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">As the
thrum of the jet engines drove beyond the Greenland coast making their own full
complement of greenhouse gases I thought about rock’n’roll, automobiles, the fossil fuel age, the exuberant expressions of our technological adolescence mostly
made in U.S.A., and all the excrescences of that time now up here inexorably
warming the atmosphere and melting those glaciers.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>How much we are at the end of that age, I
thought.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Bye Bye, Miss American Pie
indeed.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The day the music died, the day
our happy world of pleasant summer days at the shore began to end.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Flying over
Greenland in August 2000 I was indeed seeing the early onset of ice melt that
has only accelerated since.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I was flying
just north of one of its ground zeros, the Jacobshavn Isbrae glacier, one of
Greenland’s three biggest. Jacobhavn, the largest, is a 400-mile long ice river
that drains seven percent of the subcontinent and “for some decades . . .<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>the world’s most prolific producer of
icebergs,” Fred Pearce notes in his <i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;">With
Speed and Violence: Why Scientists Fear Tipping Points in Climate Change</i>,
cover appropriately decorated with a picture of ice falling from a polar
glacier front and splashing into the sea.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>My beach reading at Ocean City.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>See, I told you I was a curmudgeon.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Jacobshavn
was the likely source of the most famous iceberg of all – the one that sunk the
Titanic in 1912,” Pearce reports.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“But
is has been in overdrive since 1997, after suddenly doubling the speed of its
flow to the sea.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It is now also the
world’s fastest moving glacier, at better than seven miles a year.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The white stream could now be dumping the
equivalent of a Nile River into the sea every year.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It is sending a message that polar ice does
not behave in a gradual manner, but abruptly change. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Thought
responsible for four percent of 20<sup>th</sup> century sea level rise,
Jacobshavn’s flow shot up two times between 1997 and 2003, dissolving its
floating ice shelf into icebergs such as the fleet I saw out the plane
window.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Scientists such as Pennsylvania
State University glaciologist Richard Alley are discovering that glaciers are
being speeded up and sent on their way by rivers of meltwater flowing beneath
their base. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“Greenland
is a different animal from what we thought it was just a few years ago,” Alley
says. “We are still thinking it might take centuries to go, but if things go
wrong, it could just be decades.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Everything points in one direction, and it’s not a good direction.” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
watchword is feedback.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>As the Arctic
becomes warmer it promotes processes that add to the effect.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>White ice and snow repel sunlight, send it
back toward space.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Blue water absorbs
it.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Ice melt water plunges water deep
into the heart of the ice, melting it yet more.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">There was a
time 14,000 years ago, Mark Lynas notes in <i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;">Six
Degrees: Our Future on a Hotter World</i>, when “the giant ice sheets of the
last glacial age crumbled and gave way to the Holocene.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Every 20 years sea levels escalated by over
three feet. That went on for 400 years.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>This was the result of climate feedbacks generated by small changes in
sunlight due to orbital fluctuations.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Humanity today is also changing the degree to which the planet absorbs
sunlight at a rate several times greater. “Just as they were in the past,
ice-sheet changes in the future could be, to use (James) Hansen’s phrase,
‘explosively rapid.’” <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">As I viewed
those iceberg fleets sailing out the fjords, I sensed even in August 2000 it
was already too late to prevent a severe level of climate change.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Between the physical reality of accumulating
warming and the human reality of a politics blocked by self-interested avarice,
there was too much inertia locked into the system, rolling like an unstoppable
juggernaut or an accelerating glacier.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Nonetheless, I thought to myself, it was important to keep doing
everything I was doing.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It would all be
needed.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Perhaps the real project would
be something other than I immediately conceived.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Diffuse,
ambiguous, it rested at the edges of my consciousness.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But I sensed it would be about planetary
survival, about coming to a fundamental awareness of our new position on the
planet and making a start on the tools to work with that new awareness.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>If solar panels, wind turbines, clean
vehicles, better ways of building human settlements and using the land, could
not now prevent severe global change, they could at least mitigate its
consequences and form the foundation for a way of life fitting to new
conditions. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">And that is
the point for all of us who care and work for the future of our children and
our planet.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We cannot pretend we have
not left a legacy of climate disruption to our coming generations.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We cannot stop either in trying to leave the
best inheritance we can of human societies and economies prepared to take the
battering.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Despair is not an
option.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The more we understand the
conditions we have created, the more motivated we must be to act, to do the
best we can.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">In those
bergs that day over Godhavn and Disko Bay, I sensed the end of the world as we
knew it.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Now, another August nine years
later I felt the approaching of that darker day driving along highways to
places where that melted ice water would come. It somehow felt fitting to be
reminded by the car radio of a song I rarely hear about the end of youthful
innocence, the day the music died.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The
day the Jersey Shore of my younger days would go under the waves. For weeks
after that flight I experienced life as a temporariness.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Driving through standard, autofied
urban/suburban development, the sense of passing came with an immediacy, as if
this will not be here tomorrow.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The feeling
of immediacy passed, but the apparition remains.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Life is impermanent.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>There is wisdom in accepting this.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Nothing lasts long but Earth and Sky, goes
the Native American saying.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Holding on
to what must inevitably change causes suffering, as the Buddha said.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We must accept the passing of things.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But I cannot do so without a certain sense of
grief, cannot take the realities of climate change into my soul without feeling
a leaden heaviness of dying pasts.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>All
things must pass, and we must too.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But
what shall we leave, above all to our children?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>From that question I cannot be detached.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Erika’s
generation will know a changed world of drowned cities and possibilities
past.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>At least I had a chance to share
with her a little of the joy I felt in my youth’s warm summer waves and
boardwalk playfulness. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I will work for
her generation, to leave the best I can, as we all should. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It’s the least we can do.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Postscript – In March Stefan
Ramsdorf, one of the world’s leading scientists studying the North Atlantic
circulation, wrote in <a href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2015/03/whats-going-on-in-the-north-atlantic/">Real
Climate</a>:<o:p></o:p></span></i></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">“</span></i><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-fareast-font-family: "MS 明朝"; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast;">The
North Atlantic between Newfoundland and Ireland is practically the only region
of the world that has defied global warming and even cooled. Last winter there
even was the coldest on record – while globally it was the hottest on record.
Our recent study attributes this to a weakening of the Gulf Stream System,
which is apparently unique in the last thousand years<b> . . . <o:p></o:p></b></span></i></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<b><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "MS 明朝"; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast;">“</span></i></b><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "MS 明朝"; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast;">It happens to be just that area
for which climate models predict a cooling when the Gulf Stream System weakens
. . .<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That this might happen as a result
of global warming is discussed in the scientific community since the 1980s –
since Wally Broecker’s classical <span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic;">Nature</span>
article 'Unpleasant surprises in the greenhouse?' Meanwhile evidence is
mounting that the long-feared circulation decline is already well underway . .
. <o:p></o:p></span></i></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "MS 明朝"; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast;">“Another new aspect is the importance of
the increasing mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet, which causes extra
freshwater to enter the North Atlantic that dilutes the sea water . . . The ice
loss amounts to a freshwater volume which should have made an important
contribution to the observed decrease in salinity in the northern Atlantic.”</span></i><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></i></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-86440276123682223662015-04-22T16:11:00.000-07:002015-04-22T18:12:33.666-07:00“Beginning of a revolution” – Earth Day’s first organizer on the 45th<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13pt;">Forty-five
years ago today as a 17-year-old growing up in the Philly area I hitchhiked
down to Fairmont Park to take part in the first Earth Day, April 22, 1970.</span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13pt;"> </span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13pt;">I had been reading </span><i style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13pt;">The Environmental Handbook</i><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13pt;">, created for the event. For all the problems it depicted it also portrayed remarkably hopeful possibilities for building a sustainable
world.</span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13pt;"> </span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13pt;">In the midst of the fractures of
the Vietnam War era, there was a ray of sunlight in all this.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13.0pt;">Sitting
on a grass hill on a sunny day with the Philadelphia skyline in the background,
I heard an inspiring line-up. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Where else
could you see Allen Ginsberg and Edmund Muskie on the same stage?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The range embodied the essential significance
of Earth Day, the unification of what had been many disparate movements –
wilderness and wildlife preservation, anti-pollution, opposition to freeways,
worker safety, etc. – into a unified “big tent” environmental movement that led
to an environmental revolution.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13.0pt;">More
than two dozen environmental acts were passed in the wake of Earth Day, laws to
strengthen protections for clean air and clean water, the Endangered Species
Act, the law that mandates environmental impact statements for large projects. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It was the foundation for the environmental
protections we have today. Earth Day planted the seeds of my own work as a
sustainability writer and advocate from the 1980s to today.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13.0pt;">A
young man was there that day.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I’m sure
he was on stage but I can’t say I recall him.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>It was Denis Hayes, the first organizer of Earth Day.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>He was travelling by train up the East Coast
with Muskie, Ginsberg and the crew visiting different rallies. I later made my
way to Seattle and came to know Denis as president of the Bullitt Foundation.
Denis has wryly shared with me his ironic feelings about being primarily known
for something he did in his 20s.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But those
in the know understand he’s done a lot more since.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13.0pt;">As
Jimmy Carter’s solar energy head, Denis shaped what is now the National
Renewable Energy Laboratory.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>When Ronald
Reagan came in to rip the solar panels Carter had installed off the White House
roof and tear down the renewable energy programs Carter had started, Denis
successfully preserved the core of the most important research efforts. We owe a great deal of today’s clean energy revolution to the seeds he planted, and saved.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13.0pt;">As
president of Bullitt Foundation, Denis was a seminal funder of climate work in
the Northwest, how I got to know him.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Safe to say without important start-up and continuing funding from Bullitt the regional
climate movement would not be the powerful presence it is today. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
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<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13.0pt;">Over
recent years Denis led construction of the world’s greenest office building,
the Bullitt Center, which generates its own energy from a solar roof and its
own water from a rain-gathering system.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>It is a true zero-energy building.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>He also has a new book out, <i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><a href="file:///Cowed/%20The%20Hidden%20Impact%20of%2093%20Million%20Cows%20on%20America%E2%80%99s%20Health,%20Economy,%20Politics,%20Culture,%20and%20Environment">Cowed:
The Hidden Impact of 93 Million Cows on America’s Health, Economy, Politics,
Culture, and Environment</a>. <o:p></o:p></i></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
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<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13.0pt;">Though
most people might know Denis from Earth Day, clearly he’s never stopped being a
sustainability pioneer.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>So it was a
pleasure to see him give a short talk at the Earth Day Climate Action Festival at Seattle Central
College on this 45<sup>th</sup> Earth Day.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> Under a sunny sky, and a</span>ppropriately for the heavily youthful crowd, Denis called on a new
generation to seize the day.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13.0pt;"><o:p><br /></o:p></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgRiidBJLMJW2yjSl0X0ZOG3soLFgrDkUmtHTBuMnvZHJVRflWX_KgP-LcaN4B8ZEsVwDYSnGN8gi_MrUWzh2UG_pWRrCd-d3BpJQMqQZxK9miuizodrfJrhEqOkZsKc-CEYcW2r9nEG9c/s1600/Earth+Day+at+SCC.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgRiidBJLMJW2yjSl0X0ZOG3soLFgrDkUmtHTBuMnvZHJVRflWX_KgP-LcaN4B8ZEsVwDYSnGN8gi_MrUWzh2UG_pWRrCd-d3BpJQMqQZxK9miuizodrfJrhEqOkZsKc-CEYcW2r9nEG9c/s1600/Earth+Day+at+SCC.jpg" height="145" width="400" /></a></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13pt;">"Today
we’re talking about passing the torch to a new generation,” he started.</span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13pt;"> </span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13pt;">“That has probably never happened in
history.”</span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13.0pt;">Instead,
the new generation is going to have to wrestle the torch out of the grasping fingers
of those who hold it now.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Much as his
and my generation had to seize its own day, “The new generation is going to
have to struggle.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13.0pt;">Denis
overviewed the environmental crisis that was emerging in the years before the
first Earth Day, pollution, pesticides, freeways ripping through cities, and
compared it to China today.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>These were
national struggles that yielded national victories.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13.0pt;">“What
you have facing you today is very different that what was facing us,” he
noted.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“You’re addressing global
issues,” such as climate, ocean acidification, overfishing, migratory species. To
address these, “We have to come together not as a nation, but as a
people.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13.0pt;">Denis
called to a moral obligation to stand up for the poorest. “Those who have done
the least to change the planet will suffer the most.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13.0pt;">“The
important stuff is always done by young people,” Denis said to the young
crowd.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“This is not just a rally.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This is the beginning of a revolution.”<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 13.0pt;">Truly
we need as profound a global sustainability revolution as the environmental
revolution spurred by the first Earth Day.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>And many young people are coming to the fore to make it happen.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Denis is still in the fight, and so I am and
many of our generation.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But it is the
young who are our hope and inspiration. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>You
will seize the torch, and our aging bodies will keep up with you as long as we
can.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Now as then – For the Earth.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-587269714441869938.post-15947990411822405762015-04-19T11:55:00.001-07:002015-07-16T13:18:31.017-07:00Competing WA cap-and-trade ballot initiative? A modest proposal to stop the insanity<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">The rise of
competing Washington state climate ballot initiatives has been in the cards for
several years now.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Last week, <a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/04/environmental-nonprofits-seek-to-kill.html">as
reported in Cascadia Planet</a>, Climate Solutions and Washington Environmental
Council, the two Washington state environmental nonprofits leading the
legislative charge for Gov. Jay Inslee’s carbon cap-and-trade bill, announced
that they are considering running their own 2016 initiative if the governor’s bill
fails.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That seems an increasingly likely
outcome. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The initiative could well be a cap-and-trade, which is problematic for a number of reasons. One is competition with a 2016 carbon tax ballot initiative already on the streets. Another is the sheer complexity of cap-and-trade. Below I will delve into the pitfalls of a cap-and-trade initiative and offer a modest proposal to conduct complementary initiative efforts. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Consideration of ballot initiatives far predates the governor's bill.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In 2012 and 2013 when I still served as
Research Director of Climate Solutions, a group I helped found in 1998, talk of
an initiative filled office meetings and staff retreats.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We were briefed on polling around different
initiative options, and big funder money was in prospect.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Perhaps the biggest funder of all, California
hedge fund billionaire Tom Steyer, raised the possibility of a ballot
initiative in keynoters at major 2013 Climate Solutions fundraisers in Seattle
and Portland.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">An
independent effort was stirring though.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Frustrated
with the failure of <a href="http://climatesolutions.org/">Climate Solutions</a>
and allied groups to pass meaningful climate policy, either in the state or
nationally, economist Yorum Bauman was organizing <a href="http://carbonwa.org/">Carbon
Washington</a> to join climate-concerned citizens around the idea of a carbon
tax ballot initiative.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>An alum of Sightline
Institute, Bauman had in 1998 co-authored a book on the topic entitled <a href="http://www.greensense.com/Site/Features/Books/Vision/Tax%20Shift.html">Tax
Shift</a> with Sightline founder Alan Durning and Rachel Gusset. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It was about a concept pioneered at Worldwatch
Institute, from which Durning had emerged, to shift the tax burden from what we
want to encourage by taxing what we want to discourage.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Carbon pollution, for instance.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Of course,
that aroused substantial tensions between the groups.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>CarbonWA’s consideration of a 2014 ballot
initiative stirred some heated discussions between leaders of the groups.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>CarbonWA in the end opted against a 2014 run,
instead continuing to organize and educate the public.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Climate
Solutions was meanwhile busy getting ready for a legislative push. In 2012 the
prospect that Jay Inslee would be elected governor stirred great
enthusiasm.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>As a congressman, Inslee was
one of Capitol Hill’s climate leaders.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>As governor, it was thought, the guy who challenged Barack Obama to a
basketball game (He’s told me the story) would rain down threes on the
opposition in the state legislature and finally get a climate bill with teeth
passed.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That would be in contrast to
2008, when the somewhat reticent Gov. Christine Gregoire did not push hard for
a binding carbon cap, and so a bill that set only goals was passed. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">It looked
like that scenario would come about until in early 2013 two turncoat Democrats
lined up with Republicans in the state senate, turning over control to the Rs
and locking out the possibility of a carbon pricing bill.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>For all we know, it was for precisely that
reason that the two conservative Democrats sold off their party.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Attention
turned to the 2014 session, when it was thought a strong effort could turn the
Senate back to the Democrats and re-open the legislative track.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Inslee was successful in gaining Senate
Republican agreement for a public engagement process to set up for 2014, the <a href="http://www.governor.wa.gov/boards-commissions/workgroups-and-task-forces/climate-legislative-and-executive-workgroup-clew">Climate
Legislative and Executive Workgroup</a>, which held hearings around the state
in 2013.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The four-member group included
two Democratic climate action supporters, and two Republican
legislators who are climate change deniers.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Predictably there was a majority and minority report.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Then
in 2014 Inslee appointed a group of citizens representing business, labor and
public interests to serve on the <a href="http://www.governor.wa.gov/boards-commissions/workgroups-and-task-forces/carbon-emissions-reduction-taskforce-cert">Carbon
Emissions Reduction Taskforce</a> (CERT).<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>The governor’s instructions clearly pointed to a cap-and-trade system,
in which carbon trading markets seek the lowest-cost carbon reductions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Though the <a href="http://www.governor.wa.gov/sites/default/files/documents/CERT_Final_Report.pdf">CERT
report</a> looked at both carbon tax and cap-and-trade options, the path was
clearly toward the latter.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Inslee likes
the certainty of a cap and is skeptical of the efficacy of carbon taxes.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“<span style="color: #1a1a1a;">If you’re going
to limit carbon, you should <i>limit carbon</i>. Don’t bring a feather to a
knife fight,” <a href="http://grist.org/climate-energy/washington-governor-jay-inslee-cap-and-trade-carbon-tax/">Inslee
told Grist</a></span>.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">As
the CERT was meeting the political campaign was ramping up.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>With support from Steyer and other
high-net-worth funders, a number of Republican state senators thought to be
vulnerable were targeted.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>One funder
told me that with a concerted get-out-the-vote effort up to six seats could be
turned. But Democrats were fighting uphill in an off-year election in which
Republican turnout tends to be higher.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>It was also the sixth year of a presidential term in which the party of
the president typically does not do well.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>That was especially the case with Obama, whose policies had turned off
the youth and ethnic voters who once flocked enthusiastically to his side.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>When election day came in November dismal
results in the U.S. Senate were paralleled in Washington state. Republicans
stayed in control.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Nonetheless,
the legislative track had already been grooved too deeply to turn back.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In December Inslee proposed the <a href="http://www.governor.wa.gov/sites/default/files/policy_briefs/pb_Carbon_pollution_reduction_2014.pdf">Carbon
Pollution Accountability Act</a>, a cap-and-trade.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In an effort to win supporters on the
Republican side he directed most revenues that would be raised in the carbon
auction to education and road maintenance, two areas where the state faces
genuine funding crises.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">To
this date, Republicans have not taken the bait.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Demonstrating their allegiance to fossil fuel interests they have lined
up solidly against the carbon cap, and even put a “poison pill” in a
gas-tax-funded transportation package that would effectively make it impossible
for Inslee to implement standards for lower-carbon fuels.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Perhaps the governor can still pull it out.
But the clock is ticking down and he’s behind on the boards.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Thus
the initiative option being discussed at Climate Solutions and by allied groups
comes into play.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Climate Solutions has
spent significant resources and time building an impressive
coalition to push climate action, the Alliance for Jobs and Clean Energy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The <a href="http://jobscleanenergywa.com/alliance/">group line-up</a> includes
environmentalists, labor, ethnic community advocates and health advocates.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>If a statewide initiative is to be passed, it
will indeed require the progressive unity embodied in the Alliance.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It will also require the substantial
grassroots citizen networks that have been assembled by CarbonWA.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Plus around twenty million or so bucks.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This is why it’s time to get together around
something that works, and, with genuine respect for the governor, that is not a
cap-and-trade ballot initiative.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">This
is not about policy design.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It’s about
politics.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> Competing initiatives open vulnerabilities for the opposition to attack a climate movement that can't seem to get its stuff together. Making one of them cap-and-trade amplifies the problem. </span>Cap-and-trade is simply too
complex a measure to present to voters at the ballot box, as the graphic
accompanying this post illustrates. Try to explain that to voters when you are
out gathering signatures, or running 30- and 60-second radio and TV adds.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It just doesn’t work.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiH1pZFHeIBQnNNpijp-EFe8MTyYPmmIWdkJG7lRUb-B-DDIp3cuxnoZtj-e-Uwd807Esxi97XqqYKFDXiBM1d_koh80Cy9ul6JUtGuMy42iGCIVrr0O3nqmmxh52eAuSiw0SLpQ8U_Gto/s1600/cap-and-trade.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="488" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiH1pZFHeIBQnNNpijp-EFe8MTyYPmmIWdkJG7lRUb-B-DDIp3cuxnoZtj-e-Uwd807Esxi97XqqYKFDXiBM1d_koh80Cy9ul6JUtGuMy42iGCIVrr0O3nqmmxh52eAuSiw0SLpQ8U_Gto/s1600/cap-and-trade.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">There’s
an additional reason not to take cap-and-trade to the ballot.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Its complexity draws skepticism from many
people, including sophisticated climate experts.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>There is a reason <a href="http://carbonwa.org/economists/">38 Washington state economists</a>
endorsed the far simpler revenue-neutral carbon tax forwarded in CarbonWA’s
I-732.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Carbon trading markets hold many <a href="http://www.foe.org/sites/default/.../10WaystoGametheCarbonMarkets_Web.pdf">potentials
for gaming</a>, as has been documented with the European Union system.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Even the best systems require complex verification
to prove that a offset purchased in a carbon market is actually reducing
carbon.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Verification costs typically are
in the 30 percent range.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Yes,
as the governor argues, we have learned from Europe and the California system
with which Washington would align <a href="http://daily.sightline.org/2011/02/01/eu-carbon-fraud-could-it-happen-here/">averts
the pitfalls</a>.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A logical case can be
made, but reason does not rule political debate.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In politics, perception is reality, and a
cap-and-trade initiative opens the door to creating all kinds of
misperceptions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://cascadiaplanet.blogspot.com/2015/04/environmental-nonprofits-seek-to-kill.html">My last blog post </a>on tensions between competing initiative efforts drew many positive comments and exactly two negative responses. One came from one of the governor’s closest climate policy
advisors.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>“<span style="color: #1a1a1a;">If
your interest is establishing carbon pricing in Washington, this blog post is
in no way helpful," </span></span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 19px;">he wrote. "</span><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">But, on the bright side, I’m sure Frank Holmes enjoyed
it immensely."</span></div>
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<span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Holmes is Northwest regional director for Western States
Petroleum Association, the lead oil industry lobby group in Olympia, and a devious and cunning bunch they are.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>My response to the governor’s advisor was
that a cap-and-trade initiative would be </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">a gift to Frank Holmes and the Koch Brothers.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The opposition forces will have the “job-killing
energy tax” charge to use against any carbon pricing measure.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>With cap-and-trade they will have an
additional attack vector. They will also be able to paint the carbon trading market
as a Goldman Sachs-friendly vampire squid in the face of climate policy, a
blood funnel to suck money to Wall Street.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>They will use neo-populist arguments to wedge off the many <a href="http://www.carbontradewatch.org/">progressive constituencies already
skeptical about cap-and-trade.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></a><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>All they other side has to do is create
confusion.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The oil industry and the
Kochs are world-class masters in the dark art of throwing shade, and
cap-and-trade presents many juicy opportunities to do just this.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">I
think if we get anywhere it’s with <a href="http://carbonwa.org/policy/">something simple like I-732</a>, a straight-up
tax on carbon pollution that recycles the revenues to reduce sales taxes one
percent, fund a credit for working families and eliminate business & occupation
taxes on manufacturers, helping them defray competitive pressures from higher
energy prices.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">I
understand the attraction of a cap-and-trade initiative framed as “Polluters
Pay,” putting costs on major industrial and institutional carbon emitters as
the governor’s bill does and an initiative would likely do.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But voters are not fools.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They realize that costs will be passed
on.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We all use fossil fuels, and it is
indeed the effect of generally higher prices that spurs a shift to efficiency
and clean energy alternatives. We can’t pretend otherwise. As well, polluters
are also employers, and people are nervous about their jobs.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">So
let me make a modest proposal to thread this needle, one that allows different
initiative efforts to proceed in a complementary rather than competitive
fashion.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>First, I am told by one of the
state process insiders that their initiative is “not necessarily” cap and
trade.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That is good because it opens the
door to other options.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">One
might be a cap-and-auction in which polluters must buy permits for all carbon
they emit.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>There is no trading market,
just an auction that sets the price.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Revenues can be recycled back to taxpayers or devoted to other
expenditures such as clean energy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><a href="http://www.c2es.org/federal/congress/111/clear-act-cantwell-collins">Sen.
Maria Cantwell’s CLEAR Act</a> does both.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">The
problem is it still sets up a competition among different policy designs.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Even experts find the hermeneutics of policy
design a brain twister.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Voters will
simply boggle on it and fossil fuel interests will use it to create
confusion.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Instead,
here is my suggestion – Have the carbon pricing policy design of a second
initiative mimic I-732.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Make it a carbon
tax that starts at $15/ton, goes up to $25/ton in the second year and then rises with inflation.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">Let the contrast between
the two initiatives not be in policy design, but in how carbon revenues are
spent – fully recycled to a tax shift, or partially recycled with some of the
money going to public investments, perhaps in education, transit and green
jobs. Don’t argue about policy design. Make it a referendum that lets
Washington citizens choose between two sets of objectives based on the
merits.</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14pt;">If both win, make the initiative
with the higher margin the one that is implemented.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">Yes,
I agree with the governor that Washington needs a binding carbon cap.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A carbon tax is one pricing system that can
meet a cap.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The British Columbia
revenue-neutral carbon tax has achieved something like a <a href="http://carbonwa.org/carbon-taxes-even-better-think-part-transportation/">10
percent emissions reduction</a>, which the governor’s proposal would not reach
until the mid-2020s.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>So we have some
time to give carbon taxes a test drive to see how they work in Washington.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>As people become comfortable with carbon
pricing and see that it works and produces economic benefits for them, the
political atmosphere to pass a binding state carbon cap will improve.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Then it can be done in the legislature, where
such a complex measure should be handled, not at the ballot box.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">There
is an argument that carbon taxes will have to be dialed up very high to meet
state carbon goals by the 2030s.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The
CERT report contains modeling that indicates this.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But the modeling does not take into account
technology change in a clean energy field that is racing forward beyond all
expectations.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We are on the threshold of
truly cost-competitive solar and wind power, energy storage and electric
vehicles.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>These developments could well
magnify the price-tipping effects of carbon taxes beyond what is projected. Let's at least give it a try. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">It
is time to draw back from a potentially destructive competition between
initiative processes and work in a complementary fashion.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>There are genuinely good arguments to be made
for different options, and we should give voters a chance to weigh those
arguments.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>A friendly competition around
destinations for carbon revenues is far preferable to a mind-boggling debate
over policy design that will turn off voters.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Let’s go for a simple design that can be easily explained to voters, and
work for a legislatively-enacted carbon cap in the longer term, based on success at the ballot
box.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Since CarbonWA’s signature
gathering is taking place in 2015, while a second initiative would stage that
process in 2016, it is even conceivable the same citizens will be carrying
signature boards for both.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;">If
all the participants in the process care about stabilizing the climate and leaving a habitable world for
our children and theirs, and I know you all do, it’s time to work out a mutual pathway
that addresses all concerns.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Please
consider my modest proposal.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 14.0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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Patrick Mazzahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265715717280522959noreply@blogger.com9